After 6 months have passed since the first capture of Ruunirgood i don't see a military change in Baydhabo till december let alone JL

[The Midlands]

It was december last year when Ruunnirgood the last district in Middle Shabelle was first captured and to this day Al shabaab r full of it's countryside and have have recaptured it all the way to Nuurdugle and Ceelbacad therefore the Galgaduud operation have failed since Al Shabaab is behind them. Yesterday 100 non local ciidan evacuated an area close to Galcad trying to escape "from a war without local support" but got blocked
By Danab forces as a result some of them were killed

We may see more setbacks till next December bc of internal obstacles in Hirshabelle from Al Shabaab enablers and Isbaarists like Guudlawe because he fears the change after liberation that why he started all this Sharanshuur fuss in Hiiraan.

The political and security process are synonymous. Hassan Sheikh has no political loyalists only got the remnants of the previous regime from the army officers to the FMS gareens so they failed him

With the UAE making deal between Ethiopia and Ahmed Madobe i expect to do the same with Laftagareen and the military situation in Baydhabo to remain the same till december when his first term ends.

Another stupid move is to believe that he can change all the FMS at once by January 2023 instead of getting rid of them one by one as they gonna gang up on him. In order to get rid of Laftagareen he will have to accept Madoobe even QoorQoor will fight.

JL willl be independent and i support this bc a man who cant secure his own middle Shabelle what cant he do for JL?

Hassan Sheikhs first year poltically was a waste year and the war in Hiiraan is local initiative he just supported them that is why he cant win in middle shabelle, Galcad, Budbud and masagawaa his own reer and we will see more setbacks if he doesn't change the remnants of former regime in the FMS and the Army.

 

[SPMLegend]

We should take notes from the previous operations that took place in Middle Shabelle & Galgadud. Ask ourselves what succeeded and what did not. The reason why Jubbaland is taking their time with battle planning is because the state is preparing to consolidate full political control. When the fighting time comes all the financial & logistical support given for the operations in Middle Juba should be under the supervision of the state. All the troops taking part in the offensive whether local or foreign must get approval from the state president. Another factor to look at is that the macawisley project only managed to succeed in 1 specific region. the downside to macawisley is when the clan fighters expand operations beyond their borders like the Jalalaqsi - Middle shabelle front or in Ceel Qooxle between Murusade & Duduble where AS took advantage of the internal division & rerouted the clan militias. these small factors which sees other clan fighters expanding on their traditional clan rivals territory under the precondition of fighting AS is a major setback to any upcoming wars against the terrorists.

 

[The Midlands]

Hiiraan Hawadle liberation has nothing to do with Hassan Sh except supporting it the proof is his waceysle militias led by tareedisho evacuated Masagawaa so he the Useless Odowaa ordered non local ciidan in Galcad to be moved to Masaagaa and when they refused they got killed. This is criminal act if Abgaals are useless why are they sending them to hell?

 

[Prince of HS]

We should take notes from the previous operations that took place in Middle Shabelle & Galgadud. Ask ourselves what succeeded and what did not. The reason why Jubbaland is taking their time with battle planning is because the state is preparing to consolidate full political control. When the fighting time comes all the financial & logistical support given for the operations in Middle Juba should be under the supervision of the state. All the troops taking part in the offensive whether local or foreign must get approval from the state president. Another factor to look at is that the macawisley project only managed to succeed in 1 specific region. the downside to macawisley is when the clan fighters expand operations beyond their borders like the Jalalaqsi - Middle shabelle front or in Ceel Qooxle between Murusade & Duduble where AS took advantage of the internal division & rerouted the clan militias. these small factors which sees other clan fighters expanding on their traditional clan rivals territory under the precondition of fighting AS is a major setback to any upcoming wars against the terrorists.

Tell me one deegan that was liberated November to date that was retaken by Shabaab and still under Shabaab today. You can’t. You also can’t talk shit about middle Shabelle and galgaduud when our land is free and Shabaab are 10KM outside of kismaayo. That’s shameless behaviour sxb

 

[SPMLegend]

Tell me one deegan that was liberated November to date that was retaken by Shabaab and still under Shabaab today. You can’t. You also can’t talk shit about middle Shabelle and galgaduud when our land is free and Shabaab are 10KM outside of kismaayo. That’s shameless behaviour sxb

AS Goal is not to capture land that they’ve lost. Their Goal is to slowly bleed you out and refuse your forces to replenish and to fight another day. Holding territory is useless when one day after another the Army bases are being overrun.

The SNA soldiers on tiktok are even asking where are the citizens? The liberated Abgaal lands are isolated and now only resided by soldiers. The only remaining civilians are actual spies for AS.

 

[Rationale]

AS Goal is not to capture land that they’ve lost. Their Goal is to slowly bleed you out and refuse your forces to replenish and to fight another day. Holding territory is useless when one day after another the Army bases are being overrun.

The SNA soldiers on tiktok are even asking where are the citizens? The liberated Abgaal lands are isolated and now only resided by soldiers. The only remaining civilians are actual spies for AS.

We are still waiting....

 

[repo]

I asked ChatGPT if Abgaal can hold Middle Shabelle and they said the situation remains fluid.

 

[SPMLegend]

We are still waiting....

The tectonic plates will shake once the tides gather

 

[Nomadic lord]

I asked ChatGPT if Abgaal can hold Middle Shabelle and they said the situation remains fluid.

So? chatgpt doesn't know anything about Somalia that isn't surface level.