There is rumours I am hearing of a split in the Shariif camp, if true, this will give Farmaajo a massive boost because at it currently stands right now, the final is between Sheikh Shariif and Farmaajo, both HSM and CC will loose in the second round.
May the man that is best for Somalia win, they are both my first and second choices, dreadful to see anyone else in the final, if both come to the final, it's a prove that the Ethiopian security apparatus is dismantled.
@Canuck
The second round is were the serious stuff begins once everyone else drops out, so far it's Shariif, HSM, CC and Farmaajo making it through round 2
Farmaajo as it stands right now has around 30 or so D&M votes from Jawaari camp, 1/2 the minority votes, if rumours of split in Shariif camp is confirmed he will run away with 1/2 HAG votes currently he has 1/3 of the HAG votes.
The biggest shock is that he has just 1/5 of the Darood vote (Most of the P/land J/land vote will go with Shariif after second round), I understand why J/land will mostly not vote for him, but P/land is a surprise to me, clearly something up there.
His biggest downfall will be the lack of Darood and DIR votes, I don't know much about the DIR block, but historically they always side with the Hawiye candidate out of fear.
This was told to me by high ranking murursade campaigner that's doing all the work in Xamar for him, believe it or not, if he looses, he will loose because of J/land and P/land due to lack of Darood vote, he needs to get at least 1/2 of the Darood vote while maintaining the others (assuming all of DIR will go the HAG candidate) to stand any chance of winning.