Predicting Somali Politics

[Lion of Tanade]

Late 2021 - Farmajo is back after an uncontested election. The army secure Sakow, and Bu'aale district making Madoobe to come to his capital and face a similar end to Waare.
2022 - Most Amisom troops withdraw after another year of a mandate extension - Al Shabab abandon their guerilla warfare seeing the withdrawal and attempt an offensive to recapture many areas closed to Mogadishu - Deni is tossed out of Puntland by the Parliament and a more Pro Government leader is sworn in
2023 - The Presidents meets with the opposition and FMS states and they agree to form a unitary government abolishing clan federalism and 4.5 - All regional police are combined into the Somali Police force and the National Army - After joint patrols done by the Police and the Army, 99% of the country is secured of Al Shabab bases and hideouts.
2024 - Roads are secured, Minimal terrorist attacks, and major highways funded by Turkey, Qatar, and the EU are rebuilt - Now it is time for the 1 man 1 vote elections.
2025 - Ahmed Abdi Kaariye Qorqoor is Elected as the 10 president of Somalia. He's known as the uniter of the city of Galkayo, Mudug, and played a crucial role in destroying clan federalism and unting the tribes of Mudug, Galgudud, and Hiiraan after decades of colaad. Inshallah my guess is true.

 

[CanoGeel]

Late 2021 - Farmajo is back after an uncontested election. The army secure Sakow, and Bu'aale district forcing Madoobe to come and face a similar and as Waare.
2022 - Most Amisom troops withdraw after another year of a mandate extension - Al Shabab abandon their guerilla warfare seeing the withdrawal and attempt an offensive to recapture many areas closed to Mogadishu - Deni is tossed out of Puntland by the Parliament and a Pro Government leader is sworn in
2023 - The Presidents meats with the opposition and FMS states and forms a unitary government abolishing getting rid of federalism - All regional polices are combined into the Somali Police force and the National Army - After joint patrols done by the Police and the Army 99% of the country is cleared of Al Shabab bases and hideouts.
2024 - Roads are secured, Minimal terrorist attacks, and major highways funded by Turkey, Qatar, and the EU are rebuilt - Now it is time for the 1 man 1 vote elections.
2025 - Ahmed Abdi Kaariye Qorqoor is Elected as the 10 president of Somalia. He's known as the uniter of the city of Galkayo, Mudug, and played a crucial role in destroying clan federalism and unting the tribes of Mudug, Galgudud, and Hiiraan after decades of colaad. Inshallah my guess is true.

ur political prediction is as good as a wink

 

[Macawisley]

Late 2021 - Farmajo is back after an uncontested election. The army secure Sakow, and Bu'aale district forcing Madoobe to come and face a similar and as Waare.
2022 - Most Amisom troops withdraw after another year of a mandate extension - Al Shabab abandon their guerilla warfare seeing the withdrawal and attempt an offensive to recapture many areas closed to Mogadishu - Deni is tossed out of Puntland by the Parliament and a more Pro Government leader is sworn in
2023 - The Presidents meets with the opposition and FMS states and they agree to form a unitary government abolishing clan federalism and 4.5 - All regional police are combined into the Somali Police force and the National Army - After joint patrols done by the Police and the Army, 99% of the country is secured of Al Shabab bases and hideouts.
2024 - Roads are secured, Minimal terrorist attacks, and major highways funded by Turkey, Qatar, and the EU are rebuilt - Now it is time for the 1 man 1 vote elections.
2025 - Ahmed Abdi Kaariye Qorqoor is Elected as the 10 president of Somalia. He's known as the uniter of the city of Galkayo, Mudug, and played a crucial role in destroying clan federalism and unting the tribes of Mudug, Galgudud, and Hiiraan after decades of colaad. Inshallah my guess is true.

Waare didn’t even finish his constitutional term of 4 years. The reason why NN got rid of Waare is because he was a Mucaraad secretly aligned with Jubaland and Puntland. If Waare was still around it would 3 FMS against 2 FMS + a Gobal. + Waare was a signatory of September 17th and would have had leverage to turn the game to the Mucaraad side.

Farmaajo needed a man that can’t say yes or no. Guudlaawe was perfect. Therefore Farmaajo’s greediness got him to this point of basically no return.

You can dream tho young man, you can dream. This is not even close.

 

[Jiron]

I have a great feeling Deni + Madobe + Farmajo will come to an agreement and all the misunderstanding will be water under bridge, we will have all the FMS and FGS onboard the train of progress. CHOOO CHOOO

 

[Kanan]

It will take more than 5 years to secure Bua'ale or Jilib. Somalia should stabilize by 2035 unless Ethiopia collapses or a great calamity take place.

 

[Lion of Tanade]

I don't think so at all. My uncle was in the Somali Army during the kacaan and told me that Al shabab can easily be defeated in every city but that is if your willing to take the chance that 30% of the army dies in landmines, 20% starves in areas supply roots can't reach as well, and the other 50% to patrol and replace the 50% and continuously recruit. These are risks farmajo is wiling to make because it could make him loose power but it would eventually lead to the destruction of a gorilla militia that has been uncontested in the countryside.

 

[Lion of Tanade]

It to 1 year to secure Janale, Awdheegle, and Kurtunwarey but the reason why Al shabab keeps attacking is because they have more areas to attack from. Just attack from every direction and they'll be surrounded.

 

[Taliso]

@Lion of Tanade more like kitty of tanade, you wish Deni would be tossed out, Deni owns the parliament. Don't make me roll up in goldogob and teach your people couple of lessons.

 

[Ferrari]

And then Farmaajo finds the fountain of youth, turns time back and sits on the throne until the end of time and Allah folds up the heavens and the land.

I know they said be imaginative but this ain't what they meant waryaa.

 

[Aseer]

Lol this aged well, Only thing you predicted right was 1m1v being put in but even right now the process of it being implemented is getting dragged out

 

[hayran]

Capeshit

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Prediction aged badly 3 and a half years later

 

[TheLand]

Lol this aged well, Only thing you predicted right was 1m1v being put in but even right now the process of it being implemented is getting dragged out

Do you mean PL 1m1v? That’s the only new one that has been accomplished