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What countries are backing the federalism project, and why?
Who first originated the idea of federalism?
It's clear that our enemies who want to balkanize Somalia are the ones supporting this model.
There are three different forces pushing the clan federalism project. Somalia’s neighbors, Ethiopia and Kenya, are the leading proponents of a clan-based “federal” formula. Addis Ababa and Nairobi have effectively replaced the central government of Somalia in the realms of security and politics for the last two decades. As such, they have been actively involved in the design and implementation of clan-based federalism in Somalia since the late 1990s. According to Matt Bryden, Ethiopia shared a position paper at the partners’ forum of the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) in 1998 in which it designated five or six clan-based regions in Somalia. Bryden quotes from the paper, showing that Addis Ababa prescribed “local administrative structures [that] could constitute building blocks” to the restoration of peace and statehood to Somalia, and that “an important role should be played by civil society – the emergence and role of which should be encouraged by the international community.”8 Bryden notes that the international community “reluctantly accepted” the Ethiopian proposal. Bryden’s interpretation of the proposed clan-division is that regions would be divided up into territories dominated by the four armed clans: Darod, Digil & Mirifle, Hawiye and Isaaq
Strategically, although they sometimes pursue different objectives, Ethiopia and Kenya seek a weak and friendly Somalia as a neighbor for two reasons. First, they believe that if a strong state emerges aspirations of what they call ‘irredentism,’ or a greater Somalia, might return.
Who first originated the idea of federalism?
Federalism, according to Watts, is defined as the “combination of shared-rule and regional self-rule within a single political system so that neither is subordinate to another.” In Somalia, this system has been proposed at the inter-state and intra-state levels. At the inter-state level, some politicians and scholars have suggested that a federal system between Ethiopia and Somalia would address the wider conflict between the two countries. According to British Cabinet documents, Emperor Haile Selassie was the first to propose a federation between Ethiopia and Somalia. According to the document, the “Emperor’s recent speech at Gabredarre, in which the idea of federation between Somalia and Ethiopia was put forward, produced a sharp and hostile reaction from the Prime Minister of Somalia.
In his 1956 speech the emperor proposed that Somalia be absorbed into his empire, arguing that a Somali state was not viable. Years later, at the height of Somali nationalism, I.M. Lewis also came to the conclusion that the long-term solution to regional conflict would be to create a federation between Somalia and Ethiopia. Cuban leader, Fidel Castro, during the Somalia-Ethiopia war in 1977, has also proposed that Somalia, Ethiopia and the People’s Democratic Republic of Yemen to federate in order to end the war and unite the socialist regimes of the region. As recently as 2007, Hussein Aideed, former deputy prime minister and interior minister of Somalia, declared that Ethiopia and Somalia should abolish boundaries and create one passport.
The first attempt to design a ‘federal’ institution took place during the Kenya Reconciliation Conference in 2002-2004. The issue became controversial when a committee was tasked to draft a constitution. The committee broke into two groups. Those managing the conference put together a harmonization committee led by Professor Abdi Samatar. Eventually, Ethiopia, Kenya and IGAD intervened and sided with the group led by Somali warlords. The Transitional Charter that resulted from the conference included articles and clauses explaining how a federal system would be achieved. The current draft constitution is also based on the previous charter and adopts a ‘federal system’ for the country
It's clear that our enemies who want to balkanize Somalia are the ones supporting this model.