What would Ethiopia reaction be if somalia started to Produce large amount of oil

[mrdeeni]

Do you think they wounderstand be worried and what tactics would they use,pay tribe members and agents of choas shabab or just invade on a false pretense again?

 

[Garaad Darawiish]

Oil and Gas are things of the past sxb. No one values oil or gas anymore

 

[XamarCade]

Oil and Gas are things of the past sxb. No one values oil or gas anymore

Are u dumb, oil and gas will always be king till it runs out, electric vehicles are too expensive, their maintenance is a nightmare, and if u havent noticed electric vehicles can't go farther than gas powered cars. And by 2050 there's gonna be over 1billion ppl added to Africa alone, selling it with in Africa alone is enough to make us wealthy.

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

Are u dumb, oil and gas will always be king till it runs out, electric vehicles are too expensive, their maintenance is a nightmare, and if u havent noticed electric vehicles can't go farther than gas powered cars. And by 2050 there's gonna be over 1billion ppl added to Africa alone, selling it with in Africa alone is enough to make us wealthy.

People don't seem to realize that oil and gas will remain relevant far into the future. Plastics, pharmaceuticals and much of heavy industry are basically derivatives of oil.

 

[XamarCade]

People don't seem to realize that oil and gas will remain relevant far into the future. Plastics, pharmaceuticals and much of heavy industry are basically derivatives of oil.

There's over 280million cars on the road and only 500k of it are electric

An electric car is pointless, the newly released tesla model x has a range of 280miles, where as a new Ford fusion can achieve that with 8 gallons of gas and still cost 60k$ less.

Plus the demands of gasoline powered cars will always supersede electric cars 1000x more, and then u gotta take into effect maintenance.

Besides fuel, crude is used for many other things, demand will always increase over time

 

[Garaad Darawiish]

Are u dumb, oil and gas will always be king till it runs out, electric vehicles are too expensive, their maintenance is a nightmare, and if u havent noticed electric vehicles can't go farther than gas powered cars. And by 2050 there's gonna be over 1billion ppl added to Africa alone, selling it with in Africa alone is enough to make us wealthy.

What this means is that wind energy is now economically competitive with fossil fuel energy, and solar is soon to follow. As clean energy technology and financing costs continue to drop, coal, oil and natural gas will become increasingly marginalized.

While all of this is taking place, electric cars are finally becoming cheap and common enough to make a serious impact on the market, and that impact will only continue to grow over time.

 

[Menelik III]

Ethiopia wouldn't be fazed much, but it really depends on what type of government is in Mogadishu. If Somalia was peaceful and had signed border agreements then Ethiopia would be fine. Ethiopia could also import oil. If Somalia was belligerent and were escalating hostilities then Ethiopia would more than likely do a preemptive invasion/strike. We don't have to be enemies for eternity.

 

[Von]

Ethiopia wouldn't be fazed much, but it really depends on what type of government is in Mogadishu. If Somalia was peaceful and had signed border agreements then Ethiopia would be fine. Ethiopia could also import oil. If Somalia was belligerent and were escalating hostilities then Ethiopia would more than likely do a preemptive invasion/strike. We don't have to be enemies for eternity.

Somalia isn't going to attack Ethiopia but a preemptive strike against an oil producing nation (Iraq/ Kuwait) That's game over for Ethiopia, missiles will rain down on you. Freedom and Democracy for Ethiopia will be knocking

 

[mrdeeni]

Are u dumb, oil and gas will always be king till it runs out, electric vehicles are too expensive, their maintenance is a nightmare, and if u havent noticed electric vehicles can't go farther than gas powered cars. And by 2050 there's gonna be over 1billion ppl added to Africa alone, selling it with in Africa alone is enough to make us wealthy.

This ! We have a wise man here. It's also true barring a iran suadi war ,that oil prices probably won't ever hit the crazy figures of 100-150 again

selling it to domestic non-western markets as well as using for other process (plastic,shipping boats ect) means it will stay around $40-50 for a while.

That's more than enough revenue stream for somalia to completely rebuild itself in the next 50 years .

 

[mrdeeni]

Somalia isn't going to attack Ethiopia but a preemptive strike against an oil producing nation (Iraq/ Kuwait) That's game over for Ethiopia, missiles will rain down on you. Freedom and Democracy for Ethiopia will be knocking

Lol very true could you imagine if Siyaad barre first let in the oil gaints of the US in the 70 and went to war for ogaden 80 when Reagan was sworn in...

 

[TSP]

They would love it. They will get a cut of the oil revenues until we evict gabre and his stooges

 

[Menelik III]

Somalia isn't going to attack Ethiopia but a preemptive strike against an oil producing nation (Iraq/ Kuwait) That's game over for Ethiopia, missiles will rain down on you. Freedom and Democracy for Ethiopia will be knocking

Iraq was a botched operation by the US. Somalia will not play a significant role in the world market to warrant interference by third parties. Plus how much money would somalia even make? Im guessing but it would probably be around 10-15% of revenue of foreign oil drillers.
Ethiopia with its booming industry and electricity exports wouldn't worry much.

 

[XamarCade]

They would love it. They will get a cut of the oil revenues until we evict gabre and his stooges

I highly doubt they would get any cut, it'll be easy to see where the money is going, Ethiopia will be happy in the sense we can sell them oil but they would also catch feelings cause we have oil, either way there's nothing they can do about it.

 

[TSP]

I highly doubt they would get any cut, it'll be easy to see where the money is going, Ethiopia will be happy in the sense we can sell them oil but they would also catch feelings cause we have oil, either way there's nothing they can do about it.

unless we become truly a sovereign state, every and any state will get their cut through their stooges. Even if by chance we do become independent again we would need to be militarily strong enough to repel them from the oil field

 

[Von]

Iraq was a botched operation by the US. Somalia will not play a significant role in the world market to warrant interference by third parties. Plus how much money would somalia even make? Im guessing but it would probably be around 10-15% of revenue of foreign oil drillers.
Ethiopia with its booming industry and electricity exports shouldn't worry much.

I was talking about Kuwait but okay. Somali oil doesn't need to play a huge role, it just needs to be there. how much does Ethiopia make for its Chinese investment that strip the country bare? probably pennies. Somalia's GDP will outpace Ethiopia based on population. Good luck playing caught up with population growth and being the sweatshop of China. Industrialization will be easier for us

 

[A Dot]

This would be their reaction in the form of an image:

 

[Descendent-Of-Fiqi]

Somalia isn't going to attack Ethiopia but a preemptive strike against an oil producing nation (Iraq/ Kuwait) That's game over for Ethiopia, missiles will rain down on you. Freedom and Democracy for Ethiopia will be knocking

Ethiopia is a Washington backed state, in this scenario they'll let Ethiopia invade Somalia and just trade the oil with them. We all know what happened in 2006.

 

[XamarCade]

unless we become truly a sovereign state, every and any state will get their cut through their stooges. Even if by chance we do become independent again we would need to be militarily strong enough to repel them from the oil field

Sxb Somalis never seen oil money, plus majority of the oil is in the offshore (especially Galmudug), once they see the wealth that can be produced I believe that's gonna be the end of infighting disputes. Angola has went thru 27yrs of a devastating civil war and look at them now, they have a GDP that surpassed Ethiopia (peaceful country for a long time) years ago, and they only have 9billion barrel of oils.

Iraq was a botched operation by the US. Somalia will not play a significant role in the world market to warrant interference by third parties. Plus how much money would somalia even make? Im guessing but it would probably be around 10-15% of revenue of foreign oil drillers.
Ethiopia with its booming industry and electricity exports wouldn't worry much.

No need to get jealous, ur our biggest future customers, we're basically gonna become rich of Ethiopia, 228million Ethiopians by 2050 is alot of customers for somalia. Tell me how did Angola who had a devastating 27 yr civil war surpassed Ethiopias GDP by 17billion$ with only 9billion barrels of oil? I know u hate to see Somalia rise but there's really nothing Ethiopia or any other country can do anything about it.

 

[Von]

Ethiopia is a Washington backed state, in this scenario they'll let Ethiopia invade Somalia and just trade the oil with them. We all know what happened in 2006.

relax man, Somalia is a different place 11 years ago when Ethiopia/Amison leaves and the Ethios try to invade Somalia its Bye Bye nation state for them. Remember America and the Saudis pushing Iraq to invade Iran? where is Iraq today? best thing to ever happen to Iran.

 

[Menelik III]

I was talking about Kuwait but okay. Somali oil doesn't need to play a huge role, it just needs to be there. how much does Ethiopia make for its Chinese investment that strip the country bare? probably pennies. Somalia's GDP will outpace Ethiopia based on population. Good luck playing caught up with population growth and being the sweatshop of China. Industrialization will be easier for us

You don't even make sense. Each industrial complex will generate a billion dollars in revenue for the country, the supply of inputs will generate another billion, and the increased infrastructure and income will generate another hundred million. Somalia will be used for input resources and not much else.

Sxb Somalis never seen oil money, plus majority of the oil is in the offshore (especially Galmudug), once they see the wealth that can be produced I believe that's gonna be the end of infighting disputes. Angola has went thru 27yrs of a devastating civil war and look at them now, they have a GDP that surpassed Ethiopia (peaceful country for a long time) years ago, and they only have 9billion barrel of oils.

No need to get jealous, ur our biggest future customers, we're basically gonna become rich of Ethiopia, 228million Ethiopians by 2050 is alot of customers for somalia. Tell me how did Angola who had a devastating 27 yr civil war surpassed Ethiopias GDP by 17billion$ with only 9billion barrels of oil? I know u hate to see Somalia rise but there's really nothing Ethiopia or any other country can do anything about it.

lol more like we will be your biggest supplier. What does somalia produce or is capable of producing besides basic inputs? We export more khat to you guys than what your country makes in revenue. Ethiopia won't even import "oil" from Somalia as it in the process of purchasing 300 oil wagons to cut costs of importing oil from the new refinery in Djibouti. We will import basic crude, refine it then proceed to import through the railway. Besides we don't even use much oil. Idk where you're getting your numbers from but 9b of oil isn't a lot, we have 4.7trillion barrels in Ogaden and will be exporting it by 2018/2019 Ethiopia could potentially benefit from the cheap basic resources in somalia for our new industrial base. I know you guys have huge hopes but you should always remain grounded in expectations...