When will Ethiopia reach a breaking point?

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Do you ever see Ethiopia going into full blown civil war or will the TLPF contain these protests?I been following the developments lately in our neighboring country but the lack of organized armed groups means it can still be contained.
The hardest thing is going to be getting arms into the hands of the rebels especially when Ethiopia has tight control over its borders. The reason Syria and Libya fell in to chaos so easily is because arms were being supplied by outside nations like the west and gulf states so the Amhara and Oromos need outside sponsors if they want to pull this off.

As for the Somalis, I honestly don't see a unified movement that will protect our interest there, Abdi Iley and his liyu will probably stay loyal to the tigray and even if he defects nobody will respect his authority thanks to his years of abuse of local communities. The ONLF (doesn't it even exitst anymore?) has a tribal tone to it which might prevent people from working with it. I see each clan controlling it's turf like in Somali today bickering until the the dust settles.


So in an essence we are fucked, we should pray our next overlords are more compassionate than the current ones.

:dj:
 

BebsiBolice

Suicidal men adore me.
Somalis are cursed.

They should not be concerned with qabil politics. This their time to shine. Oromos are busy weeping and getting beaten this it the time to take back Diri Dawa and also claim fertile Oromo land. Amhara are protesting time to fucking unite!! But no they rather not form a group and take advantage of this situation. I wanna feel bad for Somali region in Ethiopia but whatever they lose out on is their own fault.

Hopefully Egypt will be funding weapons as well as Eritrea.
 

waraabe

Your superior
True this is why I don't support a civil war there, that and the Berbera Corridor deal which we have been working so hard on will be halted which I don't want to see.
Definitely but we don't want our people under xabashi and their cagdheer stooges so we have to take it
 

Khathead

tfw no habesha gf
Why ?just build refuge camp at the border and do not let them to come inside SL UN will pay for it
The camps won't do much. Who wants to live in the dessert in a dusty tent? They will go to the cities most likely, just like the Oromos in Somaliland now. So many beggars...
 

BebsiBolice

Suicidal men adore me.
I have a feeling most will flock Sudan and Djibouti. Hopefully Sudan...

Anyways Somali region in Ethiopia will more than likely be flooded with Xabashi trash since it'll most likely be the most stable region.
 
The camps won't do much. Who wants to live in the dessert in a dusty tent? They will go to the cities most likely, just like the Oromos in Somaliland now. So many beggars...

It is the law, refugees stay in camps outside of country. Like Syrian refugees in Jordan 2 1/2 live in camps, same in turkey and Tunisia for Libyan refuges. Also Somalis in Kenya & Ethiopia.
 
I have a feeling most will flock Sudan and Djibouti. Hopefully Sudan...

Anyways Somali region in Ethiopia will more than likely be flooded with Xabashi trash since it'll most likely be the most stable region.
Sudan had Eritreans refugees and built camp for them. No one lets refugees roam free like that expect the brainless SL & PL
 
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Refugee camp, no body Will allow them to go inside the country. Plus they will have UN ID cards for them, if they try to leave, we send them back to Ethiopia.
 
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Khathead

tfw no habesha gf
It is the law, refugees stay in camps outside of country. Like Syrian refugees in Jordan 2 1/2 live in camps, same in turkey and Tunisia for Libyan refuges. Also Somalis in Kenya & Ethiopia.

The law means nothing, just look at the Syrians in Europe. They were supposed to stay in the first country they reach (Turkey - whatever arab country), but they go further up north to Germany/Scandinavia, and the Europeans, the most bureaucratic people on earth, don't give a f*ck and still accept them. The UN is a joke. Also we are talking about a country of 100 mil, they can't all live in camps. 100 % they will head to the cities, also the lazy Somali government in Somaliland don't give a shit about the Oromos roaming the streets and begging rn, so I doubt they would care by that time
 
The law means nothing, just look at the Syrians in Europe. They were supposed to stay in the first country they reach (Turkey - whatever arab country), but they go further up north to Germany/Scandinavia, and the Europeans, the most bureaucratic people on earth, don't give a f*ck and still accept them. The UN is a joke. Also we are talking about a country of 100 mil, they can't all live in camps. 100 % they will head to the cities, also the lazy Somali government in Somaliland don't give a shit about the Oromos roaming the streets and begging rn, so I doubt they would care by that time

Simply do not accept them, send them back home. Give them food and water and send them like Bangladesh did with Burma refugees. Always remember Your country comes first and Oromo are expansionist people. Already their government tells them Somalia is region 7 in Ethiopia.
 

Nabeel786

Southie pride
View attachment 5831 Refugee camp, no body Will allow them to go inside the country. Plus they will have UN ID cards for them, if they try to leave, we send them back to Ethiopia.

Sometimes UNHCR are bloody recist.
They gave Somalian used tent for the whole family, and light skinned people they build ordinary houses for them. They f*ck up.
 
Sometimes UNHCR are bloody recist.
They gave Somalian used tent for the whole family, and light skinned people they build ordinary houses for them. They f*ck up.

No there are not racists, if you saw what they had to go through at beginning, tents in winter snow storms. These homes were built after 2 years and were paid by UAE & Saudi after strong leach from the media.
 
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