Disintegration of Ethiopia

[Idilinaa]

plus in any event Ethiopia was to invade and annex Assab, Egypt and all other countries who are part of the Redsea council they would block Ethiopian forces access to the sea

Egypt controls the entire Suez canal

Btw what's your thoughts on this analysis i shared?

https://www.somalispot.com/threads/5-reasons-why-abyis-ethiopias-attempt-to-reach-the-red-sea-will-end-up-in-failure-and-will-be-political-economic-sabotage

1- Egypt will strongly reject, simply because Ethiopia presence in the Red Sea will touch Cairo national security

2- Eritrea too will not allow as it see Ethiopia as a threat to it’s sovereignty and national security and any attempt to have Ethiopia boots on the Red Sea water will boost it’s distress

3- Djibouti GDP and domestic revenue significantly relays on Ethiopia usage of its port infrastructure as it has heavily invested on that and any Addis aim to get red sea will not be welcomed and that will be national security threat.

4- UAE whom we understand support Abiy economically will also reject his dream unless they are part of that destructive agenda, since it has invested on Berbera purely for Ethiopia market and any attempt to derail their outlay will not work

5- Houthis will confront Ethiopia as it could sense Israel presence in the event Abiy manage to acquire sea. It will also encourage Houthis to support and provide missiles to the arm groups like Al-Shabab, ISIS, and any other nationalist movements to fight off Addis’s attempt to access the Red Sea.

View attachment 351211

 

[New World]

any update ?

 

[Idilinaa]

any update ?

Ethiopian Military taken L's to Fano militia

 

[X29]

Ethiopian Military taken L's to Fano militia
View attachment 353328

How long is this going to be going before abiy is either killed or flees

 

[New World]

Ethiopian Military taken L's to Fano militia
View attachment 353328

How trustworthy is amahra new services, they could be lying about this.

 

[Midas]

Another thing for the people thinking america is gonna take Ethiopia side is that you guys are forgetting Ethiopia joined brics. Trump is coming for them.



<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Trump: They are brics nation, Spain? Do you know what a brics nation is? You will figure it out. <a href="https://t.co/APkdaw1D9f">pic.twitter.com/APkdaw1D9f</a></p>&mdash; Acyn (@Acyn) <a href="">January 21, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[Idilinaa]

How long is this going to be going before abiy is either killed or flees

I mean they are showing footage and video evidence.

I figure they are more trustworthy than the Ethiopian government who blatantly lies or suppresses news.

 

[Idilinaa]

@New World some more updates

 

[Idilinaa]

How long is this going to be going before abiy is either killed or flees

I suspect within this year. You saw how fast rebels took down Assad, something similar will happen. He will most likely flee to Isreal for refuge.

 

[New World]

Wait, Does he only control the capital, not the other regions? I know he had lost control over Tigray and some part of Amhara Region.

 

[New World]

 

[Idilinaa]

View attachment 353376

What that Ethiopian lady told @Shimbiris wasn't kidding, if you so much as step into the surounding areas oustide of Addis you are finished. Yikes!

 

[Idilinaa]

Wait, Does he only control the capital, not the other regions? I know he had lost control over Tigray and some part of Amhara Region.

Thats what the news reporter said that the government is consolidating power at the center of Addis but rural areas the have lost control just few distances away from the city.

 

[New World]

This website is trying to track all of the conflicts in Ethiopia. It looks like Ethiopia has a good amount of control over it media and how much information it allows out. Sadly for us, any bomb that goes off is on the news. https://epo.acleddata.com/#1706690450692-9e23f0d7-e872

 

[New World]

 

[Midas]

It looks like somalia is consider just below kenya when it comes to conflict on the index.


<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Somalia is more secure than Ethiopia in 2024 and two slots above Kenya.<br><br>Source: <a href="https://t.co/pXKRkQdS9j">https://t.co/pXKRkQdS9j</a><br><br>This explains the strong interest shown by the World Economic Forum and todays award &quot;Africa Presidential Leadership Award&quot; <br><br>Men lie,women lie, NUMBERS DONT <a href="https://t.co/nnHHqSnlGY">pic.twitter.com/nnHHqSnlGY</a></p>&mdash; Dean Stoic (@DeanStoick17532) <a href="">January 21, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[Shimbiris]

What that Ethiopian lady told @Shimbiris wasn't kidding, if you so much as step into the surounding areas oustide of Addis you are finished. Yikes!

Yeah, she legit said "You can only fly out of Addis to other places." Basically good luck driving out of there without a military transport.



I was in shock. Can you even claim to have a functioning country when you can't even safely drive out of your capital city? Imagine being scared to drive out of DC because you'd immediately be nabbed by bandits?!