67 dead + 213 injured in pro-Jawar protests - likely to run for PM after messy divorce with Abiy.

[Ibrahim hassan]

@Tukraq @embarassing
View attachment 80944
you guys are arguing which of the two wolfs should decide what dinners gonna be.

And who's the goat? Baby boy we are the tiger in this thing. We will rough up those soyboys either ways.

 

[Abba Sadacha]

thats when they were in charge, now they want to split, we do to, so we have similar interests

If they ran away from your alliance when they had power ... There's very little they can do for you now...

 

[Tukraq]

If they ran away from your alliance when they had power ... There's very little they can do for you now...

They can start splitting while we do too

 

[Abba Sadacha]

They can start splitting while we do too

And no-one will recognize you. Nor is it guaranteed that they'd split just to make some somalis happy. Tigray cannot afford to be independent, landlocked and sandwiched between at least 2 enemies (Amhara and Eritrea).

 

[Tukraq]

And no-one will recognize you. Nor is it guaranteed that they'd split just to make some somalis happy. Tigray cannot afford to be independent, landlocked and sandwiched between at least 2 enemies (Amhara and Eritrea).

once oromiya Tigray and somali secede there won't even be an Ethiopia

 

[Abba Sadacha]

once oromiya Tigray and somali secede there won't even be an Ethiopia

That sounds nice but let's be honest.. If America and/or European elites don't see Ethiopia disintegrating as being in their interests; any secessionist movements will have the odds against them indeed.
Eritrea had borders already established since colonial times, and won overwhelmingly in war to the point no one could stop their independence.

 

[embarassing]

And no-one will recognize you. Nor is it guaranteed that they'd split just to make some somalis happy. Tigray cannot afford to be independent, landlocked and sandwiched between at least 2 enemies (Amhara and Eritrea).

We wouldn’t need recognition. It would join an already existing nation.

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

That sounds nice but let's be honest.. If America and/or European elites don't see Ethiopia disintegrating as being in their interests; any secessionist movements will have the odds against them indeed.
Eritrea had borders already established since colonial times, and won overwhelmingly in war to the point no one could stop their independence.

Somalis stand no chance because Ethiopia's mechanized divisions would roll across our plains in under 48 hours. We have nowhere to hide. The Oromos though can wage a war of independence because they have mountains. If the Oromo rose up as a state in rebellion, there is nothing the US or the EU could do to stop Ethiopia from falling apart.

 

[embarassing]

Somalis stand no chance because Ethiopia's mechanized divisions would roll across our plains in under 48 hours. We have nowhere to hide. The Oromos though can wage a war of independence because they have mountains. If the Oromo rose up as a state in rebellion, there is nothing the US or the EU could do to stop Ethiopia from falling apart.

Do you see Galbeed rejoining Somalia?

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

Do you see Galbeed rejoining Somalia?

No. I don't even see Somaliland rejoining. Somalia as a single state is probably too far gone.

 

[embarassing]

No. I don't even see Somaliland rejoining. Somalia as a single state is probably too far gone.

Are you a secessionist yourself?

 

[Tukraq]

Do you see Galbeed rejoining Somalia?

I'm guessing not as they would rather there own separate country although parts of it will be land grabs for puntland, somaliland and somalia(border regions) due to tribal ties, heck even Djibouti might swoop in

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

Are you a secessionist yourself?

No, but I think that Isaaq & Gadabursi should be allowed to leave. I don't see the point in maintaining the status quo. Do I think Puntland should split from Somalia? No.

 

[Tukraq]

No, but I think that Isaaq & Gadabursi should be allowed to leave. I don't see the point in maintaining the status quo. Do I think Puntland should split from Somalia? No.

how do we know Issaq and gadabusri want to leave?

 

[embarassing]

No, but I think that Isaaq & Gadabursi should be allowed to leave. I don't see the point in maintaining the status quo. Do I think Puntland should split from Somalia? No.

In what world does any country give up territory? What would be the benefit? Its not like the SL govt is friendly or reasonable, so why do you feel that way?

Personally I do think Galbeed will rejoin eventually, and I dont support any secessionism, for the record. Reading SL secessionists posts online/the news over the past couple years solidified that for me. I was more sympathetic before.

 

[tyrannicalmanager]

Somalis stand no chance because Ethiopia's mechanized divisions would roll across our plains in under 48 hours. We have nowhere to hide. The Oromos though can wage a war of independence because they have mountains. If the Oromo rose up as a state in rebellion, there is nothing the US or the EU could do to stop Ethiopia from falling apart.

a well equiped ogaden can fight a defensive war against ethiopia. it took them 30+ to "take down" onlf, the us even proposed a referdum to ethiopia.
imagine what would happenen when all somalis decided to rebel against ethiopia.

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

In what world does any country give up territory? What would be the benefit? Its not like the SL govt is friendly or reasonable, so why do you feel that way?

Personally I do think Galbeed will rejoin eventually, and I dont support any secessionism, for the record. Reading SL secessionists posts online/the news over the past couple years solidified that for me. I was more sympathetic before.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Quebec_referendum\
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Scottish_independence_referendum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_South_Sudanese_independence_referendum

Indho adeeg is not a good trait. If they want to leave they can leave. A clear majority of Isaaq & Gadabursi want to leave, and I don't see the point in denying them their wish. Somaliland will never rejoin Somalia, it has been almost 30 years, they are not coming back. The best you can now get is open borders.

@Tukaraq an overwhelming majority of the Isaaq want to leave, that much is clear to anyone. I used to think the Gadabursi were opposed to secession, but it seems that their largest subclan is pro secession. What the Gadabursi want does not really matter because of geography.

 

[embarassing]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Quebec_referendum\
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Scottish_independence_referendum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_South_Sudanese_independence_referendum

Indho adeeg is not a good trait. If they want to leave they can leave. A clear majority of Isaaq & Gadabursi want to leave, and I don't see the point in denying them their wish. Somaliland will never rejoin Somalia, it has been almost 30 years, they are not coming back. The best you can now get is open borders.

@Tukaraq an overwhelming majority of the Isaaq want to leave, that much is clear to anyone. I used to think the Gadabursi were opposed to secession, but it seems that their largest subclan is pro secession. What the Gadabursi want does not really matter because of geography.

So you don’t support their proposed colonial borders? Just the clans you mentioned? There is no benefit to support that kind of qabyalad. A clan seceding. It’ll never happen tbh.

The 30 years was mostly civil war throughout the country it doesn’t really mean anything.

 

[Tukraq]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1995_Quebec_referendum\
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Scottish_independence_referendum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_South_Sudanese_independence_referendum

Indho adeeg is not a good trait. If they want to leave they can leave. A clear majority of Isaaq & Gadabursi want to leave, and I don't see the point in denying them their wish. Somaliland will never rejoin Somalia, it has been almost 30 years, they are not coming back. The best you can now get is open borders.

@Tukaraq an overwhelming majority of the Isaaq want to leave, that much is clear to anyone. I used to think the Gadabursi were opposed to secession, but it seems that their largest subclan is pro secession. What the Gadabursi want does not really matter because of geography.

I ont believe a clear majority want to leave, has to be proven by fair votes done by a group outside the SL government

 

[CanoGeel]

No. Jawars arsi.
Jarso are oromos who were somali-ized btw. We trace jarso ancestors to bareentu.

bareentu oromiyaa barsanee