People underestimate this. It really depends on who the nominee is.
If it's Biden, Trump barely wins. If it's Warren or Harris, he'll demolish them. The only one I see beating him handily is Bernie Sanders.
If we're speaking purely on economic measures, the economy rebounded massively under Obama's first term and yet he lost ground and had to have a populist bent to his campaign to win re-election.
I think people really underestimate how hard it is to beat a sitting president. They almost always win if the economy is not in the shitter.
I think Bernie would of beaten him if he wasn’t robbed of the dem nomination, I’m not so sure now. Even with all his populist stances.
Romney campaign were confident of a win but its another story when people get in the booth. All it takes for people to re elect a president is thinking, “ hey, the economy is fine” “my life is not worse now that it was before” “he keeps me safe”
I think trump can do that in the battleground states.