Ethiopian belligerents agree cessation of hostilities, TPLF to disarm

[InaShaqalle]

Afwerki is the real winner of all this. I think Ethiopia will still eventually balkanize, the OLA keeps taking towns everyday from Amhara and they are the biggest threat to destabilizing all of Ethiopia, they also have the capital. If Oromos were united they would take it very easily

OLA and TDF if strong enough to overthrow Abiy would be persuaded by the West to keep Ethiopia united

 

[Burqad]

OLA and TDF if strong enough to overthrow Abiy would be persuaded by the West to keep Ethiopia united

Their own people would overthrow them. In Tigray ARENA outnumbers TPLF even now, and the only reason the OLF agreed to stay in Ethiopia last time was because Cohen promised TPLF would share power, which they immediately broke.

 

[Burqad]

Exactly what I was thinking. US has been sending several envoys to Addis Abebe. They had a failed meeting in Djibouti and they still kept pushing the peace process.

There was no effort like that during the beginning years of our civil war. They let us burn our nation to the ground with little to no interference.

not only did they let us burn it down but they poured fuel on the fire.

 

[anon2]

OLA and TDF if strong enough to overthrow Abiy would be persuaded by the West to keep Ethiopia united

I think OLA itself is strong enough to destroy the central government, they just need more support for Oromos who sit on the fence. You have to remember - since 2020 things have rampant up, Amahras who used to believe in "Ethiopinimo" are now FANO supporter who want to form their own country or lead the country, it has lead to fights between FANO and OLA everywhere. The tensions in Ethiopia are downplayed but I think once things reach a boiling point there's no going back

Look up #AmharaGenocide on twitter, you will see thousands of Amahra calling for the death of Oromos.


If you go on Tiktok you will see Oromos making fun of Amahras being genocided, for example here is a group of girls dancing and making fun of Amahras being killed. There are thousands of Oromos on social media who do this. Their FKD is next level

 

[Deleted L]

The bastard Abiy Ahmad is an “Ethiopianist” and a Centralist while TPLF are ethnic federalists. If Abiy decisively wins the war, what does this mean for Somalis and other Muslims in the Horn? It means loss of self-governance, loss of Somali identity and the free movement of people while the ruling elites in Addis Ababa have absolute control over our affairs. TPLF were evil but they are the lesser of two evils.

 

[El Nino]

4D chess from Abiy, the habeshas are fighting among themselves while his oromos continue roach upon their land and queitly populate them, fair play to him.

Mark my words, by 2050 it will be evident that oromos have won in Ethiopia, they will be de facto leaders in the country and they will rule with an iron fist. We now have to think of the possibility of them assimilating all of the horn into their ethnicity. All the small ethnicities that are in the southern regions will be assimilated and all muslim groups except somalis and afaris. Ethiopia has 80 ethnic groups and that number will die down to 10.

There is close to 40 million of them and soon in 20 years, 80 million due to their high fertility. They will continue assimilating people like they always have. Im not insulting oromos, Im complementing them. In the horn of africa, controlling other ethnic groups is a must and what not better then just straight up assimilating them. 5G chess being played right infront of our eyes.

Somalis could have done this but we got people yelling everyday about ”sheegatos” like who the f*ck cares, honestly we could have been controlling all of the highlands if we changed our mindset smh.

 

[Burqad]

Amxaar are already yelling that “if we don’t get Raya and Wolkait we will rebel”. Abiy is fucked, make peace with Eritrea and give them Badme, Tigray rebels, make peace with Tigray and give them Wolkait Amhara rebels, make peace with Amhara and give them Shewa, Oromo rebels, make peace with Oromo and give them all of Haraghe, Somali rebels.

no way out for abiy qooto

 

[Burqad]

It’s over for Tigray-Cels

 

[TekNiKo]

Good news Ethiopia used to be highest gdp in Africa stability good for us

Guul Brother Abby

#EthiopiaPrevails

Now she shall turn her attention to Kismayo!

 

[InaShaqalle]

Guul Brother Abby

#EthiopiaPrevails

Now she shall turn her attention to Kismayo!

Either HAG or Kenya will rule Kismayo

 

[ZUBAYR+_]

absolute pussies fk em

 

[Gadhwayne]

Le the dust settle first but lets remember that upper echelon TPLF cadre are docile unionists who have seen the comfort of ruling Xabashistaan for almost 30 years they couldnt handle the heat of 2 front war maybe what happened here is Abiy will let TPLF duke it out with Fanno for Wolqayit Eritrea will stay out ENDF will focus on the Qoti liberation army

 

[Abba Sadacha]

The bastard Abiy Ahmad is an “Ethiopianist” and a Centralist while TPLF are ethnic federalists. If Abiy decisively wins the war, what does this mean for Somalis and other Muslims in the Horn? It means loss of self-governance, loss of Somali identity and the free movement of people while the ruling elites in Addis Ababa have absolute control over our affairs. TPLF were evil but they are the lesser of two evils.

I am not an Abiy supporter, but let's be honest, he cannot dismantle federalism anytime soon, because if he does, oromo's in general will unite and make oromia ungovernable as it did during the last years of the tplf's rule. the sidama state, which was just established, will also join us.
the Somali may dislike us, but even they'd join us for their own sake and their own interests, assuming they'd know that of course; with all due respect.
He wants to rule like the rulers of the past, perhaps, and he is inclined towards amara culture, because his wife is one, and of course, ones wife will influence you, but...

 

[Burqad]

I am not an Abiy supporter, but let's be honest, he cannot dismantle federalism anytime soon, because if he does, oromo's in general will unite and make oromia ungovernable as it did during the last years of the tplf's rule. the sidama state, which was just established, will also join us.
the Somali may dislike us, but even they'd join us for their own sake and their own interests, assuming they'd know that of course; with all due respect.
He wants to rule like the rulers of the past, perhaps, and he is inclined towards amara culture, because his wife is one, and of course, ones wife will influence you, but...

we don’t dislike you. Ignore FKD trolls with bullets in their brains. Oromos and Somalis
Wa wiil iyo abtigis/ gurbaa fi eessuma

 

[InaShaqalle]

I am not an Abiy supporter, but let's be honest, he cannot dismantle federalism anytime soon, because if he does, oromo's in general will unite and make oromia ungovernable as it did during the last years of the tplf's rule. the sidama state, which was just established, will also join us.
the Somali may dislike us, but even they'd join us for their own sake and their own interests, assuming they'd know that of course; with all due respect.
He wants to rule like the rulers of the past, perhaps, and he is inclined towards amara culture, because his wife is one, and of course, ones wife will influence you, but...

Ethiopia has remained unofficially a unitary state with a one party system even after having a constitution that establishes federalism and ethnic based regions

 

[Aurelian]

 

[Aurelian]

 

[HiraanBorn]

I think this only amounts to a temporary peace settlement. Also, I don't want to see 10/10 Tigrayan women being raped & genocided anymore.

 

[Abba Sadacha]

Ethiopia has remained unofficially a unitary state with a one party system even after having a constitution that establishes federalism and ethnic based regions

It is in the sense that the central government has a lot of power, but compared to the old forms of an unitary state, this is much better.
At the very least, the various states can teach in their own languages, administer their own affairs (albeit to a certain extent), have their local security forces as opposed to having northern elites harshly subjugating them, etc.

 

[InaShaqalle]

It is in the sense that the central government has a lot of power, but compared to the old forms of an unitary state, this is much better.
At the very least, the various states can teach in their own languages, administer their own affairs (albeit to a certain extent), have their local security forces as opposed to having northern elites harshly subjugating them, etc.

Fair but with Tigray set to be subjugated by Addis it seems separatism is no longer feasible for any Ethiopian group