Big government and centralism (Hutu rule) has been an utter disaster for that country. It has failed to produce anything remotely resembling a strong government for the past 24 years. What makes you think the next 10 years of more of the same will change anything? That's the definition of insanity. Contrary to what you're trying to push here, qabil states are working perfectly well and exceeding all expectations. Somaliland and Puntland are two great examples of this. The people enjoy greater amounts of security, freedom, and economic prosperity than they ever did under the past 24 years of inept Hutu central rule. Centralism and Somaliweyn are failed concepts that have been unable to produce a strong government. The only reasonable alternative is the balkanization of the overgrown mass that is Somalia and for everyone to go their own way and pave their own futures.
You know I (and no Somali except the truly delusional) have no disagreement with you there, however; as strong as Puntland and Somaliland are when compared to all of Somalia, they will never, ever be competitive internationally. They just don't have the numbers. The only way they could is if they had oil/another natural and are successfully able to exploit it for guwap. Or, if one/both of them magically became the next Singapore.
Lastly, numbers aren't everything in this age. Just look at Israel and how it is practically surrounded on all sides yet it eclipses its neighbors in practically everything.
Why mention a state that is about the same size as all of Somalia and that has received billions upon billions in aide. Not to mention being allied with the only nuclear hegemon. Singapore or... Luxembourg are much better examples.
The romaticization of Israel on SS needs to stop!
The Ethiopians and Kenyans have more things to worry about at home than constantly meddling in the affairs of the very different and diverse peoples located in the Somali peninsula.
It would be utter stupidity to ignore your neighbours. Goes both ways.
You would have a point if this was actually the case, but it patently isn't. The vast majority of the people in the country did not want central hutu rule continuously for the past 24 years, it was merely foisted on them by the international community and dire circumstances.
No disagreements from me.
There were already a significant minority of the people (SL) who wanted to secede long before the civil war, and that number metastasized to a great majority after the civil war. These autonomous tribal states are doing very well and have been functioning as local governments that provide all of the necessities the people need that the failed central government could never hope to provide. Therefore, I don't think it's unreasonable to conclude that continued central rule from Ugandishu is the only thing that can be described as true dysfunction in the current political climate in a.
But we will fail more than likely if we want anything more than local stability, if we want to be able to resist outside forces, as micro-nations with populations of >1 000 000.