Inquisitive_
VIP
This morning I had a sit down with the relative of a person campaigning for Farmaajo (Murursade) as well as one campaigning for sheikh shariif to catch up with information on the ground and other worrying things I have heard.
I have totally underestimated the sheer influence of Ethiopia, while overestimating the UAE/Turkey influence.
Anyone that has been reading the news lately or has relatives in Xamar will tell you the massive amounts of clan militia's that have entered the city from outside of Xamar and a massive split within the SNA camp. but no explanation why.
You would have also read the reports that every opposition leader has formed an alliance against HSM/Damul Jadiid and that both Tarzan & the vice-president of P/land as well other others have come out today asking for Gabre to leave the country, as well as the election to be held in Xalane (IC base)
The plan of the Ethiopian's, whom have intelligence offices next door were the election is taking place along with thousand spies, and even influence over a portion of the SNA, have instructed the MP's they control (Xidig camp estimated at a 60+) and another 70 they are not so sure about, for photographic evidence that they will vote for HSM.
An SNA whistle blower (recently killed at the hotel blast), leaked plan's to Uganda amisom first then the opposition, that the Ethiopian military plan if HSM doesn't get the 100+ in the first round (which means he will loose), was to instruct some SNA's to abandon their defensive positions around the hall.
This would allow their Al-Shabab lackeys to storm the place, a massive fire fight to start, possibly many candidates killed, with Plan B if that failed, a rogue SNA elements to storm the place masquerading as al-shabab and start shooting after the power is cut to the building
The Ethiopian's are hoping for one of two things, full blown civil war to erupt which is the most likely case, and if the civil war doesn't happen, then HSM would take over through martial law, both desirable options to them.
The opposition have prepared for this, they have managed to split the SNA, 70% of them are now backing the opposition and in addition to this they have deployed 1000 clan militia's inside the city all supporting Shariif/Farmaajo predominantly.
This will hopefully put an end to this clandestine Ethiopian civil war attempt and their Damul Jadiid lackey Mafiaso, but just today it has come out, the Ethiopian are moving towards plan C and that is to start this civil war and shoot out between the SNA and other militia's before the election even takes place so the IC doing monitoring flees the place.
The reason for this is that phones are barred from the election hall, so are any other devices that can be used to monitor or be used as evidence which way an MP voted, as it currently stands right now, the 4 candidates that will progressing
Round 1
Sheikh Shariif - 70-80 votes (estimated)
Hasan Sheikh Mohamoud 60-70 votes (Ethiopian and Damul Jadiid hopeful of 100+)
Farmaajo - 50-60 votes
CC - 30-40 votes.
The final round looks likely to be a shoot out between Sheikh Shariif and Farmaajo, especially since just today both Sheikh Shariif and HSM attacked Farmaajo, you don't attack candidate like this unless there is a real threat.
Please keep Somalia in your prayers that this clandestine Ethiopian plot doesn't go ahead this coming Wednesday. There is a real fear of this in and around the city with Uganda Amisom contingent on high alert, this is the reason for the recent Nigerian police deployments.
The criminality of the 2 decade old Ethiopian stooge network is being abolished and dismantled before our eyes, you seeing the same things happening in S/land and P/land, were every Somali wants full independence from their encroachment, dictations and criminal apparatus and people are now openly speaking out against it.
I have totally underestimated the sheer influence of Ethiopia, while overestimating the UAE/Turkey influence.
Anyone that has been reading the news lately or has relatives in Xamar will tell you the massive amounts of clan militia's that have entered the city from outside of Xamar and a massive split within the SNA camp. but no explanation why.
You would have also read the reports that every opposition leader has formed an alliance against HSM/Damul Jadiid and that both Tarzan & the vice-president of P/land as well other others have come out today asking for Gabre to leave the country, as well as the election to be held in Xalane (IC base)
The plan of the Ethiopian's, whom have intelligence offices next door were the election is taking place along with thousand spies, and even influence over a portion of the SNA, have instructed the MP's they control (Xidig camp estimated at a 60+) and another 70 they are not so sure about, for photographic evidence that they will vote for HSM.
An SNA whistle blower (recently killed at the hotel blast), leaked plan's to Uganda amisom first then the opposition, that the Ethiopian military plan if HSM doesn't get the 100+ in the first round (which means he will loose), was to instruct some SNA's to abandon their defensive positions around the hall.
This would allow their Al-Shabab lackeys to storm the place, a massive fire fight to start, possibly many candidates killed, with Plan B if that failed, a rogue SNA elements to storm the place masquerading as al-shabab and start shooting after the power is cut to the building
The Ethiopian's are hoping for one of two things, full blown civil war to erupt which is the most likely case, and if the civil war doesn't happen, then HSM would take over through martial law, both desirable options to them.
The opposition have prepared for this, they have managed to split the SNA, 70% of them are now backing the opposition and in addition to this they have deployed 1000 clan militia's inside the city all supporting Shariif/Farmaajo predominantly.
This will hopefully put an end to this clandestine Ethiopian civil war attempt and their Damul Jadiid lackey Mafiaso, but just today it has come out, the Ethiopian are moving towards plan C and that is to start this civil war and shoot out between the SNA and other militia's before the election even takes place so the IC doing monitoring flees the place.
The reason for this is that phones are barred from the election hall, so are any other devices that can be used to monitor or be used as evidence which way an MP voted, as it currently stands right now, the 4 candidates that will progressing
Round 1
Sheikh Shariif - 70-80 votes (estimated)
Hasan Sheikh Mohamoud 60-70 votes (Ethiopian and Damul Jadiid hopeful of 100+)
Farmaajo - 50-60 votes
CC - 30-40 votes.
The final round looks likely to be a shoot out between Sheikh Shariif and Farmaajo, especially since just today both Sheikh Shariif and HSM attacked Farmaajo, you don't attack candidate like this unless there is a real threat.
Please keep Somalia in your prayers that this clandestine Ethiopian plot doesn't go ahead this coming Wednesday. There is a real fear of this in and around the city with Uganda Amisom contingent on high alert, this is the reason for the recent Nigerian police deployments.
The criminality of the 2 decade old Ethiopian stooge network is being abolished and dismantled before our eyes, you seeing the same things happening in S/land and P/land, were every Somali wants full independence from their encroachment, dictations and criminal apparatus and people are now openly speaking out against it.