I know we all talk about federalism good points and bad points. Like Federalism makes us weaker and vulnerable to foreign powers while the flip side says lets build from the ground up bit by bit not in one swoop like national govt. I understand and accept these ideas and I am pro federal but I think there is far more sinister reasons for it. Alot focus on foreigners wanting to keep Somalia divided. I honestly don't think that's true. Foreigners could care less if your one house or not as long as your not working against their interest. That's why every national conference was centralized approach, they weren't pushing their agenda on us, noone can tell you how you rule yourself. They didn't turn around and say if you don't follow our model of govt you can't hold your conference here.
I think there is far sinister reasons for it and based on my analysis, I think it was a daarood invention for the pure reason to keep Hawiye divided. Hawiye strategically is located close to each other and their power is very central, it hasn't scattered everywhere like Darod. So a Super Hawiye state would basically eat the smaller fragmented Darod states due to the fact they are so far apart from each other, their power isn't concentrated and can't assist each other. It would be strategically suicidal for Darod to support a Super Hawiye State. We saw what happened with the USC. If Abdilahi yusuf didn't shift gear and support Ali Mahdi and cause a war among hawiyes, it would've been over for Darod. A Super Hawiye state would easily swallow jubbaland and once it does that. It can then move on and swallow Puntland and the main reason is the hawiye power is centralized while the darod is scattered. Outcome is in favor of hawiye. Hence comes in the federal project, break hawiye down and fragment them similar to Darod, now you have balanced any outcome and kept the status quo. Somalia has been in a status quo ever since, have you noticed?
The re-emergence of a Hawiye central authority is totally devastating to Darod and can never occurr. As sub-clans the odds are far better because the clan playing field is fragmented. Unfortunately there were some Darods who weren't long-sighted back then like Omar Jess, Barre Hiraale, etc. But I think since Jubaland creation, the Darod are united in their political position, that a Federal Somalia is a must and the points used to support that are really just things that are sold to the public, but behind close doors, I feel there is far more sinister reasons for it!!! I even noticed how Darod get rattled when they hear of a Super Hawiye conference or something, imagine a Super Hawiye state or authority and the out-cries that will start?
So all you federal supporters, Know even though federalism has benefits, there was always a safety reason for it!!!!
Darod-Rahanwayn should automatically be pro federalism and never support centralism as they are fragmented where-as hawiye is close to each and can centralize it's power. I am Suprised there isn't more unity between those two clans as we share very similar interests!!!
I think there is far sinister reasons for it and based on my analysis, I think it was a daarood invention for the pure reason to keep Hawiye divided. Hawiye strategically is located close to each other and their power is very central, it hasn't scattered everywhere like Darod. So a Super Hawiye state would basically eat the smaller fragmented Darod states due to the fact they are so far apart from each other, their power isn't concentrated and can't assist each other. It would be strategically suicidal for Darod to support a Super Hawiye State. We saw what happened with the USC. If Abdilahi yusuf didn't shift gear and support Ali Mahdi and cause a war among hawiyes, it would've been over for Darod. A Super Hawiye state would easily swallow jubbaland and once it does that. It can then move on and swallow Puntland and the main reason is the hawiye power is centralized while the darod is scattered. Outcome is in favor of hawiye. Hence comes in the federal project, break hawiye down and fragment them similar to Darod, now you have balanced any outcome and kept the status quo. Somalia has been in a status quo ever since, have you noticed?
The re-emergence of a Hawiye central authority is totally devastating to Darod and can never occurr. As sub-clans the odds are far better because the clan playing field is fragmented. Unfortunately there were some Darods who weren't long-sighted back then like Omar Jess, Barre Hiraale, etc. But I think since Jubaland creation, the Darod are united in their political position, that a Federal Somalia is a must and the points used to support that are really just things that are sold to the public, but behind close doors, I feel there is far more sinister reasons for it!!! I even noticed how Darod get rattled when they hear of a Super Hawiye conference or something, imagine a Super Hawiye state or authority and the out-cries that will start?
So all you federal supporters, Know even though federalism has benefits, there was always a safety reason for it!!!!
Darod-Rahanwayn should automatically be pro federalism and never support centralism as they are fragmented where-as hawiye is close to each and can centralize it's power. I am Suprised there isn't more unity between those two clans as we share very similar interests!!!
