bidenkulaha
GalYare
Originally the plan laid out to HSM was to give HG gudoomiya kuxigeen of Ceelbuur and also able to keep our macawiisley and ciidaan based in Ceelbuur similar to Barawe and Marka.
This however was changed after a lot of lobbying from Murusade and Duduble. Hence why there’s been another attempt to liberate Ceelbuur from Abgaal’s side with regular SNA.
I hope HSM succeeds but a lot of horse trading is going on. If HG refuse to join the op this will be a failure imo.
Shabaab will be able to operate in warxoolo and siege Wabxo. They’ll be able to operate in countryside of Cayr and Saleeban in between xarardheere - Galhareeri - Qaayib area. Picking off the SNA one brigade at a time similar to Coosweyne.
SNA will not have enough troops to cover that much land without any macawiisley. And Shabaab won’t have to worry about 80% of their front which is HG from Warxoolo just outside Wabxo to Xarardheere.