My prediction of Somali politics for the upcoming 20 months!!

I've made more than 20 predictions in this thread plenty of them came true already:
  • Ahmed Madobe forming his own electoral commission and winning it.
  • Shabaab regaining ground in south central Somalia.
  • Awdal not raising up against Somaliland.
  • Warsangali not agreeing to join SSC (dhulbahante elders went to Badhan and only came back with a promise to recapture Erigavo), anything can happen in the future tho.
  • Ethiopia gradually retreating from the MOU they signed with Somaliland.

Somaliland losing Erigavo was also in the prediction but Harti elders postponed the attack until PL finish off ISIS in Almiskaat mountains.
Muse bihi rigging the election was a wrong prediction.

But the rest of the predictions are pending and will see what happens for the next two years.
Ceerigaabo has been peaceful ever since the security intervention. In fact I would go on to say it is the safest city in the North.

It was narrated that Abu'l-Darda' (may Allaah be pleased with him) said:
The Prophet s.a.w said,
Shall I not tell you of something that is better than fasting, prayer and charity?” They said: Yes. He said: “Reconciling between two people, for the corruption of that which is between the hearts is the shaver (destroyer). It is the shaver, and I do not say that it shaves hair, rather that it shaves religious commitment.”
 
Ceerigaabo has been peaceful ever since the security intervention. In fact I would go on to say it is the safest city in the North.

It was narrated that Abu'l-Darda' (may Allaah be pleased with him) said:
The Prophet s.a.w said,
Shall I not tell you of something that is better than fasting, prayer and charity?” They said: Yes. He said: “Reconciling between two people, for the corruption of that which is between the hearts is the shaver (destroyer). It is the shaver, and I do not say that it shaves hair, rather that it shaves religious commitment.”
Can’t believe you are engaging in this munaafaqad in Ramadan after you celebrated the fitna that occurred in Ceerigaabo.
 
Am I not allowed to try and be a better person this month? Smh
But after Ramadan….
Well Be Back Donald Trump GIF by GIPHY News
 

Karim

I could agree with you but then we’d both be wrong
HALYEEY
VIP
How can Somaliland “lose” Ceerigaabo but warsangeli won’t join ssc? So what happens to the city then?

This stinks of 91 all over again.
Not sure if you read the result of the conference between dhulbahante and Warsangali elders back in February, they all agreed that they'd capture the city but only under the tribal name of "Harti", so no SSC, PL or Makhir etc. they'll capture the city and then hold a larger conference afterwards to decide how they'll rule it.
 

Yami

Trudeau Must Go #CCP2025
VIP
Not sure if you read the result of the conference between dhulbahante and Warsangali elders back in February, they all agreed that they'd capture the city but only under the tribal name of "Harti", so no SSC, PL or Makhir etc. they'll capture the city and then hold a larger conference afterwards to decide how they'll rule it.
Bro you are a retarded langaab Harti attacked ceerigabo on december 18 and got fucked raw😂 Kulaha they decided to postpone until ISIS 😂 wallahi you got xooged little nigga
 

Yami

Trudeau Must Go #CCP2025
VIP
Can’t believe you are engaging in this munaafaqad in Ramadan after you celebrated the fitna that occurred in Ceerigaabo.
Fitna caused by harti😂 they chimped out and we taught them a lesson. You are lucky the mayors wife and mother are both harti he made us take it easy on you guys
 
Bro you are a retarded langaab Harti attacked ceerigabo on december 18 and got fucked raw😂 Kulaha they decided to postpone until ISIS 😂 wallahi you got xooged little nigga
walaal it’s Ramadan not worth catching sins and ruining your fast for something as meaningless as this
 

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