No Red Sea Access For Ethiopia
- Thread starter IKHALIIL
- Start date
How about the fact they've got an air force and Somalia doesn't have one? Is that not a big problem
Nope. Air superiority can't compensate for a weak , deflated, underfunded and famished military.
We cover this in this thread the state Ethiopia is in
Disintegration of Ethiopia
plus in any event Ethiopia was to invade and annex Assab, Egypt and all other countries who are part of the Redsea council they would block Ethiopian forces access to the sea Egypt controls the entire Suez canal Btw what's your thoughts on this analysis i shared...
www.somalispot.com
So using their air force against Somalia for example wouldn't do much at all?
Ethiopia’s air force may seem like an advantage on paper, but air superiority alone cannot win a war - especially against a determined and well-organized resistance
Here's why:
Ethiopia’s army is overstretched, having fought multiple conflicts (Tigray War, Amhara-Fano uprisings, Oromo insurgencies).
Their military budget is drained, and soldiers are unpaid, underfed, and demoralized.
The government is facing economic collapse, even maintaining military aircraft is expensive.
Air power is useless if you don’t have a strong, well-funded military to back it up.
Plus we know from the past, that Somalia’s terrain and urban warfare tactics would make airstrikes far less effective. You can bomb a country, but unless you have a strong ground force to take over territory, air power alone is useless.
Ethiopia used their Airforce superiority on Somalia during the Ogaden still got defeated and we took over large parts with our ground forces. They and Americans used air superiority in Somali interventions/invasions still got pushed out after receiving heavy resistance
Also Ethiopia’s air force consists mostly of outdated Russian and Soviet-era jets (SU-27, MiG-23, MiG-21). Aging aircraft require expensive maintenance, and Ethiopia’s struggling economy makes this difficult.
Modern air defenses (drones, MANPADS, radar systems) can counter air superiority. Somalia’s private sector can fund national defense—if needed, drones and air defense systems can be acquired.
Ethiopia’s air force is not a modern, high-tech power like the U.S. or China—it has serious limitations.
I could mention other things like Somalia's strenght in assymetrical warfare etc
There is so many reasons why i could say they are a paper tiger. If Ethiopia were truly strong, it wouldn’t be struggling with internal revolts, famine, and economic disaster. A paper tiger with jets is still just a paper tiger.
They still haven't given up yet. Here's general berhanu jula saying it's a matter of time until Ethiopia joins the red sea community 
Some hours ago he said Ethiopian military is preparing for an invasion from "outside foreign forces"
Some hours ago he said Ethiopian military is preparing for an invasion from "outside foreign forces"
Fair enough hopefully with a better government an actual army can be built with proper air defences
Hope this is done peacefully?? These people are sick. I wish they would just leave us alone and tend their own affairs.They still haven't given up yet. Here's general berhanu jula saying it's a matter of time until Ethiopia joins the red sea community
Some hours ago he said Ethiopian military is preparing for an invasion from "outside foreign forces"
Alas we have reason for why he is doing this. He is using Ethiopians as political leverage against Ahmed Madobe and Jubbaland.
They signed a defence agreement that will enable Somalia to build it's military industry.
The military also plans on trying to aquire and rebuilds their airforce
Somali Military Plans to Acquire A-10 Thunderbolt Aircraft to Boost Fight against Al-Shabaab - Somali News today Live
The potential acquisition of three A-10 Thunderbolt aircraft by Somali defense officials could be a strategic move to bolster the country’s military capabilities against Al-Shabaab. The A-10 Thunderbolt, known for its durability and effectiveness in close air support roles, is particularly...
www.ftlsomalia.com
Somalia Hopes to Reconstitute its Air Force with Renewed US Partnership | Air & Space Forces Magazine
The Somali Air Force was once the most powerful in the Horn of Africa. The terrorism-ravaged nation hopes a U.S. Air Force partnership will help it rebuild.
www.airandspaceforces.com
But most of this was put in motion by Farmaajo, i haven't seen any real evidence of meaningful progress over the years and months these aspirations have been reported.
TheLand
VIP
That’s what it always was about. The problem for him is he is a lame duck running out of time both in terms of his presidency and financial support/shabaab encroachment. He is an utter fool and the Ethiopians know it. He has a little over a year left and he will try to get an extension but I doubt it works out.Alas we have reason for why he is doing this. He is using Ethiopians as political leverage against Ahmed Madobe and Jubbaland.
They signed a defence agreement that will enable Somalia to build it's military industry.
View attachment 356384
The military also plans on trying to aquire and rebuilds their airforce
Somali Military Plans to Acquire A-10 Thunderbolt Aircraft to Boost Fight against Al-Shabaab - Somali News today Live
The potential acquisition of three A-10 Thunderbolt aircraft by Somali defense officials could be a strategic move to bolster the country’s military capabilities against Al-Shabaab. The A-10 Thunderbolt, known for its durability and effectiveness in close air support roles, is particularly...Somalia Hopes to Reconstitute its Air Force with Renewed US Partnership | Air & Space Forces Magazine
The Somali Air Force was once the most powerful in the Horn of Africa. The terrorism-ravaged nation hopes a U.S. Air Force partnership will help it rebuild.
But most of this was put in motion by Farmaajo, i haven't seen any real evidence of meaningful progress over the years and months these aspirations have been reported.
Did you watch the interview with Ahmed Madobe?
Ahmed Madobe, the Jubaland leader, accuses him of undermining the military campaign by allowing Al-Shabaab escape routes instead of coordinating a multi-front offensive.
He said instead of surrounding them on all fronts, he made it so that they only face them from one front and while they escape into another area without being met there. Their strategy doesn't work because AS is using guerilla war tactics, he mentioned how AS can't even enter Puntland and uses Puntland as an example of succesful approach as we can see in their war against Daesh"
The claim is that Puntland’s approach effectively blocking militant movement has been more successful, whereas HSM’s approach has allowed Al-Shabaab to regroup and persist.
TheLand
VIP
Yes, that’s why Deni left early on. He told Culusow to his face at the NCC that he needed to coordinate the entire war with the whole country but Culusow refused and Deni said kiss my ass.
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