1. Kaah - 286/765= 37,38%
2. Mideeye - 211/765= 27,58%
3. Sincad - 133/765= 17,39
4. Ifiye - 78/765= 10.20%
5. Mustaqbal - 57/765= 7.45%
Based on these percentages, the 5 biggest parties would get the following seats in the parliament
Kaah: 0.3738*66= 25 seats
Mideeye: 0.2758*66= 18 seats
Sincad: 0.1739*66= 11 seats
Ifiye: 0.1020*66=7
Mustaqbal: 0.0745*66=5 seats
Road to 34 seats (50%+1 seats in Puntland Parliament)
Kaah + Mideeye= 43 seats, comfortable majority. Highly unlikely
Kaah + Sincad= 36 seats, thin majority. Very fragile majority. Two dissident MPs and they lose majority.
Kaah + Ifiye + Mustaqbal = 37 seats, thin majority but complex three party coalition. Very fragile
Mideeye+Sincad+Ifiye+Mustaqbal= 41 seat, comfortable majority but very complex coalition. 4 parties need to work together. Highly unlikely.
Looking forward to see the coalitions that will be formed.
2. Mideeye - 211/765= 27,58%
3. Sincad - 133/765= 17,39
4. Ifiye - 78/765= 10.20%
5. Mustaqbal - 57/765= 7.45%
Based on these percentages, the 5 biggest parties would get the following seats in the parliament
Kaah: 0.3738*66= 25 seats
Mideeye: 0.2758*66= 18 seats
Sincad: 0.1739*66= 11 seats
Ifiye: 0.1020*66=7
Mustaqbal: 0.0745*66=5 seats
Road to 34 seats (50%+1 seats in Puntland Parliament)
Kaah + Mideeye= 43 seats, comfortable majority. Highly unlikely
Kaah + Sincad= 36 seats, thin majority. Very fragile majority. Two dissident MPs and they lose majority.
Kaah + Ifiye + Mustaqbal = 37 seats, thin majority but complex three party coalition. Very fragile
Mideeye+Sincad+Ifiye+Mustaqbal= 41 seat, comfortable majority but very complex coalition. 4 parties need to work together. Highly unlikely.
Looking forward to see the coalitions that will be formed.
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