As many know that Puntland is entering elections on January 8 2024. This date has a special meaning to Puntites since 2005 till now, ON TIME elections(unlike SL) and transfer of power has been smooth and peaceful, it has become a good governance 'tradition' of the region. The opposition are running around saying Deni won't hold elections on time and is seeking extension.
Deni has made it clear that 1m1v election format will take place. So to me it's clear the opposition are causing problems around 'baseless extension allegations' when Deni made it clear their is no extension and their hiding their 'fear' of not being able to stand before the people in direct elections and want a return to the 66 MP election format(without telling the public obviously and hiding under 'extension' allegations).
Anyways that's why I am against the opposition(extension aan jirin bay ku daba wareegayan to hide they don't want direct elections).
Anyways the situation looks scary even from my perspective because this election has many external hands involved such as;
1. Aaran Jaan and Somaliland seeking a puppet PL govt to un-do SSC progress
2. Mogadishu and their backing either Awad-Huruse camp to undo federalism
3. Local candidates trying to make a name for themselves
I remember in 2001-2004 civil war only had 1 external hand involved which was Ina Salad TNG govt and his PM Ali Khalif Galayr and that conflict lasted 4 years in direct war and indirect hit n run. So you can see why I am concerned with the current situation with '2 external hands' definitely getting involved on top of a disgruntled opposition. The following actors can play a significant role;
1. The Isimo who must warn all candidates anyone who resorts to violence or fires the first shot has lost by default and will be exiled from Puntland territories. This will ensure all candidates know if they use violence it will affect them more then it effects anyone else
2. The Mudug political elites must be brought in since their 'neutral' and it's not their 'presidential round' anyways to mediate between Bari-Nugaal camps. A Mudug Commitee that is 50/50 where Govt selects who they want and the opposition select who they want and what decision they reach is final.
Deni has made it clear that 1m1v election format will take place. So to me it's clear the opposition are causing problems around 'baseless extension allegations' when Deni made it clear their is no extension and their hiding their 'fear' of not being able to stand before the people in direct elections and want a return to the 66 MP election format(without telling the public obviously and hiding under 'extension' allegations).
Anyways that's why I am against the opposition(extension aan jirin bay ku daba wareegayan to hide they don't want direct elections).
Anyways the situation looks scary even from my perspective because this election has many external hands involved such as;
1. Aaran Jaan and Somaliland seeking a puppet PL govt to un-do SSC progress
2. Mogadishu and their backing either Awad-Huruse camp to undo federalism
3. Local candidates trying to make a name for themselves
I remember in 2001-2004 civil war only had 1 external hand involved which was Ina Salad TNG govt and his PM Ali Khalif Galayr and that conflict lasted 4 years in direct war and indirect hit n run. So you can see why I am concerned with the current situation with '2 external hands' definitely getting involved on top of a disgruntled opposition. The following actors can play a significant role;
1. The Isimo who must warn all candidates anyone who resorts to violence or fires the first shot has lost by default and will be exiled from Puntland territories. This will ensure all candidates know if they use violence it will affect them more then it effects anyone else
2. The Mudug political elites must be brought in since their 'neutral' and it's not their 'presidential round' anyways to mediate between Bari-Nugaal camps. A Mudug Commitee that is 50/50 where Govt selects who they want and the opposition select who they want and what decision they reach is final.
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