Recognizing Somaliland as an independent nation will most certainly open Pandora’s box in Africa
As Somalia tries to resume its rightful place on the world stage and sworn in new lawmakers in Mogadishu for the upcoming presidential election, the one-clan dominated administration based in northern Somalia calling itself Somaliland has desperately been trying to break away from the rest of the country since our nation descended into political instability and social anarchy in 1991.
This deeply flawed logic of breaking away from Somalia is solely pushed by one specific clan within the five major clans inhabiting the former British Protectorate in northern Somalia with no regard to the desires of the other four unionist clans.
The top political echelon of this deluded secessionist entity continue to base their unjustifiable separatist view on a fictitious narrative that, there was “an independent country” called Somaliland in 1960 that had voluntarily united with Italian Somaliland four days after the supposed “independent” British Somaliland gained its independence from Britain.
Contrary to their historically distorted assertion of being recognized as an independent nation, what the protectorate received was congratulatory notes from other African countries as was the norm at the time.
The belligerent secessionist leaders in cahoots with some unscrupulous British PMs consumed by their outdated neo-colonial continuity imagination have lately been hard at work to tear Somalia apart with potentially destructive ramifications for Somalia and indeed, the entire African continent which is already brimming with many separatist movements.
Four of the five major clans in Somaliland are manifestly diehard unionists with no intention whatsoever, of being forcefully separated from their brethren in the south as irrationally dreamt by another secessionist clan.
The Issa and Gudubuursi in Awdal region in the west and Dhulbahante and Warsangali in SSC regions of north-east occupy more than 68% of Somaliland territory with uncompromisingly rock-solid communal support for Somali’s unity, territorial integrity and political independence.
Last month, the secessionist’s leader Muse Bihi Abdi visited the United States having been invited by Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank based in Washington DC where he gave an enormously misleading keynote speech to a carefully selected audience in order to court American legislators and sell the call for entity’s recognition.
Contrary to his hyped-expectation from the Biden administration, the American ambassador to Somalia, Larry E. Andre, reassured that his country’s position on Somalias’ unity remains unchanged while the department of State’s Bureau of African Affairs tweeted, “welcomed the opportunity to meet Muse Bihi today and discuss strengthening U.S. engagement with Somaliland within the framework of our single Somalia policy.”
This was a painful slap in the face for the secessionist leaders who have been spoon-feeding lies to their supporters for the last 30 years. With African separatist movements rising in our continent, any foreign-driven attempt to cannibalize Somalia into smaller subordinate fiefdoms will most certainly have a ripple effect on East Africa as well as the wider African continent in general.
Potential negative consequences for recognizing Somaliland
Since the collapse of the Somali central government in 1991, the country has not had a unifying government with functional state institutions that control the entire territory. The country adopted federalism in 2004 to bring the warring parties and already existing semi-autonomous regions including both Somaliland and Puntland together for the greater good of Somali unity.
Another four federal member states were constituted in the south of the country to expand this experimental federal system which was initially viewed, as the only viable governmental model that can prevent any future disintegration of the country.
Therefore, any misguided attempt to recognize Somaliland as an independent country will surely cut the umbilical cord that keeps Somalia’s territorial unity together and would open the gate for other semi-autonomous entities within this experimental federal structure to demand their own independence.
It will also encourage other separatist regions in Ethiopia where the battle-hardened Oromo Liberation Front renewed their national aspiration to secede from the rest of Ethiopia and establish their own “Oromia” country or that of Anglophone Crisis in Cameroon whereby secessionists from the former British ruled regions of Cameroon want to break away from Cameroon and create the newest African country called “Ambazonia.”
From east to west, and from south to north, Africa is brimming with armed tribal-based separatists and recognizing Somaliland as a sovereign nation will undoubtedly open a Pandora’s box in Africa with protracted military conflicts and endless intra-communal violence ensuing.
Upon returning home from his United States visit, Muse Bihi, the product of a ruthless guerrilla movement himself told his welcoming supporters that his delegation met high-ranking officials from both houses of Congress alone with lower-ranking functionaries from the Biden administration to secure deeper U.S. support for the enclave’s search for independence.
While Muse Bihi termed his U.S. visit as a ‘historic success’ for his secessionist enclave, Cameron Hudson, a former U.S. diplomat and an expert on East Africa with the Atlantic Council was quoted by Foreign policy magazine as saying “they’re doing an end run around the African Union and around their own region trying to get Washington to give them what they can’t get locally, that would be sort of like the African Union recognizing Puerto Rico as the 51st U.S state before the U.S does.”
It’s abundantly clear from this quote that their assertion of the visit being a ‘historic success’ is nothing more than a firehose of a false narrative intended for domestic consumption and that, the secessionist leaders have finally scraped the bottom of the barrel for their unilateral Isaaq decision to secede from Somalia.