FSNAU Somalia
Source: FSNAU Somalia
Somalia IPC Population Estimates: (Jul-Sep 2022)
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FSNAU Somalia
Source: FSNAU Somalia
Prince of HS
VIP
Lower shabelle and waqooyi is largest population excluding Banadir. This was expected.
Hahaha Middle shabelle is more populous than Hiraan. Hiraan is only 442,073 whilst S/Dhexe is more than double that smh. Not only that but the rural population is 556,000 whilst the urban population is 258,000 so you can’t use the useless Bantu excuse @The Midlands
Hahaha Middle shabelle is more populous than Hiraan. Hiraan is only 442,073 whilst S/Dhexe is more than double that smh. Not only that but the rural population is 556,000 whilst the urban population is 258,000 so you can’t use the useless Bantu excuse @The Midlands
World
VIP
Middle shabelle has more than double the population of hiiraan
Prince of HS
VIP
You seeMiddle shabelle has more than double the population of hiiraan
if you go Google earth that wouldn’t be surprising. If you look at S/dhexe properly there is signs of human presence everywhere as you can see the shape of xiroyaal where people keep their livestock.
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Yusuf Abdi Ali Rashid
King of Prussia
Sanaag only 375k? @Laagite say it ain’t so
0117
Reborn
Here we go again with "estimates"
@Thegoodshepherd I swear these numbers goes against your revolutionary hypothesis that Harti will be the majority in Somaliland within 20 years due to fertility rates
@Thegoodshepherd I swear these numbers goes against your revolutionary hypothesis that Harti will be the majority in Somaliland within 20 years due to fertility rates
World
VIP
compared to 2014 census:
Awdal - dropped 120k
Waqooyi galbeed - same
Toghdeer gained - 30k
Sanaag dropped - 170k
Sool gained - 155k
Bari gained - 370k
Nugaal gained - 160k
North Mudug gained - 665k and tripled in population
South Mudug dropped - 50k
Galgaduud gained - 142k
Hiiraan dropped - 78k
Middle Shabelle gained - 371k
Lower Shabelle gained - 195k
Bakool gained - 108k
Bay gained - 300k
Gedo gained - 350k
Middle Juba gained - 13k
Lower Juba gained - 525k
Darood gained 2.1 million
Hawiye gained 385k
Isaaq dropped 50k
Rahanweyn gained 603k
Awdal - dropped 120k
Waqooyi galbeed - same
Toghdeer gained - 30k
Sanaag dropped - 170k
Sool gained - 155k
Bari gained - 370k
Nugaal gained - 160k
North Mudug gained - 665k and tripled in population
South Mudug dropped - 50k
Galgaduud gained - 142k
Hiiraan dropped - 78k
Middle Shabelle gained - 371k
Lower Shabelle gained - 195k
Bakool gained - 108k
Bay gained - 300k
Gedo gained - 350k
Middle Juba gained - 13k
Lower Juba gained - 525k
Darood gained 2.1 million
Hawiye gained 385k
Isaaq dropped 50k
Rahanweyn gained 603k
dude bantus are rural people too. who do you think lives in all the villages close to the river ?
Prince of HS
VIP
They are counted as urban as none of them are rural. They are connected urban settlements
Laagite
الداروودي
Nah its close to a mill
Conspiracy bro , conspiracy.
everybody knows we got best, most populated tuulos in the land .
Chaseyourdreamzz
VIP
I had a feeling north mudug had a population between 800k-1 million rural population is undercounted as well in Some regions
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FSNAU is a huge joke, that cooks these random numbers. Below is their estimates a year and half before the one OP posted. Many regions according to FSNAU doubled their populations in less than two years
Regions with absurd growth in two years:
Bari got 50% growth
Nugaal got 50% growth
PL controlled Mudug doubled its population
Middle Shabelle doubled its population
Bakool doubled its population
Gedo doubled its population
Lower Jubba doubled its population
Regions with net loss:
Waqooyi Galbeed
Sanaag
Hiiraan
These are absurd shifts in population estimates in a period less than two years. This organisation is completely unreliable.
Regions with absurd growth in two years:
Bari got 50% growth
Nugaal got 50% growth
PL controlled Mudug doubled its population
Middle Shabelle doubled its population
Bakool doubled its population
Gedo doubled its population
Lower Jubba doubled its population
Regions with net loss:
Waqooyi Galbeed
Sanaag
Hiiraan
These are absurd shifts in population estimates in a period less than two years. This organisation is completely unreliable.
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Was there a silent genocide in Sanaag? According to FSNAU the region has lost a 3rd of its population in less than two years.
IPC figures are not reliable. I only consider the 2014 PESS and the 2020 Somaliland Health and Demographic Survey.Here we go again with "estimates"
@Thegoodshepherd I swear these numbers goes against your revolutionary hypothesis that Harti will be the majority in Somaliland within 20 years due to fertility rates
I never claimed Harti would become the majority in 20 years. I said that Isaaq would drop below 50% over the next 10 years, I said this before I had access to the 2020 fertility data.
Post in thread 'A Rational Solution to SL?'
https://www.somalispot.com/threads/a-rational-solution-to-sl.95473/post-2497229
My prediction is that 50% mark will be reached in 12 years. This is without assuming a growth in the fertility gap between Harti and Isaaq, which is very likely given the latter’s higher urbanization rate. To give you an idea of how large it is today, the fertility gap between Isaaq and Harti is about as large as the gap between Muslim and Christian Nigerians or ~2.3 children per woman.
