Southern Somalia is going the way of Afghanistan

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Taliban are Nationalists in deep analysis. Hence beef with ISIS. Amrikkka and ISIS are in the same boat.:qri8gs7:
 
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The similarities are hard to ignore. Afghanistan has been going through this for 16 years now, Southern Somalia maybe in the same boat.

http://www.mauldineconomics.com/thi...collapse-and-a-us-withdrawal-from-afghanistan

How do you see as a daroodist this will end up, Amisom (kenya and Ethiopia) are exhausted and they will pull out within no later than 2 Years Max, what do you think will happen to Jubaland and south as whole,.....will your boogieman Hawiye hmmhmhmh i mean Alshabaab take over like ICS did within 6 month whole of South Somalia and then be in your door steps.
 

Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
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How do you see as a daroodist this will end up, Amisom (kenya and Ethiopia) are exhausted and they will pull out within no later than 2 Years Max, what do you think will happen to Jubaland and south as whole,.....will your boogieman Hawiye hmmhmhmh i mean Alshabaab take over like ICS did within 6 month whole of South Somalia and then be in your door steps.

In order for Alshabab to take over Jubaland entirely it would need support from Marehan and Ogaden. Alshabab will rampage the countryside, but the main cities in Gedo, Afmadow and Kismayo will not fall. Marehan and Ogaden have learned a very strong lesson of how dangerous it can be to accept Hawiye leadership in Jubaland. ICU cost them 11 years, 11 years of absolute chaos and they are still dealing with the after effects.
 
In order for Alshabab to take over Jubaland entirely it would need support from Marehan and Ogaden. Alshabab will rampage the countryside, but the main cities in Gedo, Afmadow and Kismayo will not fall. Marehan and Ogaden have learned a very strong lesson of how dangerous it can be to accept Hawiye leadership in Jubaland. ICU cost them 11 years, 11 years of absolute chaos and they are still dealing with the after effects.
Those damn Hawiyes
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