i can defo see the future demographics change if Barawe becomes SWS capital city. Look at Mogadishu how many RX are there huge numbers, Same will happen in Barawe if it becomes the capital city for SWS, the difference however is theyâll have power and influence they dont have in Mogadishu which will result in their domination not only by population.
Relying on âhawiyoâ like Biden is pure desperation. Aint no non HG who aint born there gone care about SWS capital city meanwhile RX will settle there in masses.
Barawe isnât even about HG or anything. Most of shabellaha hooseâs HG influence is military. But weâre outnumbered by Mudulood, Gaaljecel.
Barawe is populated by abgaal, Murusade, hg (mostly Cayr) and hilibi Darandole. The city is hawiye dominated by a combination of military and population.
Itâs also the case Hawiye dominate the route in and out of the place. To change demographics would require a lot and to change military dynamics is impossible. Just look at the last fighting in Barawe where KG darawish surrendered as they had no connection by land to Barawe while SNA had direct resupply and reinforcements from Marka, Afgoye, Xamar route.
Itâs not in Kg interest to move closer to Xamar/shabellaha hoose. Gaaljecel will benefit, HG will benefit, Mudulood will benefit. And the FGS will benefit as Ethiopia is out of the picture. Thereâs more likelihood of hawiye SNA taking Baydhabo in post ENDF scenario than the other way round