The fast development of Ethiopia

[Idilinaa]

Demographic collapse in China is the reason why I am not so optimistic, you will have decline in domestic demand coupled with wide spread labor shortages which will drive up the cost, automation is still too expensive contrary to popular opinion.

They are already shifting to high value manufacturing with EV's and Semi-conductor focus, Labour cost is already cheaper in Mexico then China, but the reasons companies are not moving away on mass is because China crushes everyones else on infrastructure, so even decentralised manufacturing will not compete on prices.

The global implication for this is terrifying, no country is able to compete with their efficiency and scale of production which they will loose in the next decade or two, this will have a major impact on global prices, your looking at the peak right now, unless we start manufacturing it ourselves your energy needs will be dependent on global supply chains.

You also haven't addressed the land this will occupy, 29x greater then the GERD, for home or small business use no problem, anything at scale, huge risk.

Hydropower is more maintenance heavy and would create more jobs then Solar, the reason you can't adequately predict output is you have a lot of factors outside the sun and cloud that play a role, especially maintenance, we have a lost of dust and sand which have an impact, impossible to calculate when you have 100.000 panels, how much energy you loose just through that or a few cloudy days.

Take a look at the failure of America's $1 billion dollar solar Farm.

I watched the video they are talking about their attempt at a new unconventional use of solar energy technology, that's why it failed and then they later manage to correct the technology so it works now.

But i don't support Solar farms in open area it can create environmental damage. Solar panels should be installed on top of rooftops on homes and its less expensive to do so and you don't need to waste millions of dollars

How solar farms took over the California desert: ‘An oasis has become a dead sea’

Residents feel trapped and choked by dust, while experts warn environmental damage is ‘solving one problem by creating others’

www.theguardian.com

 

[Idilinaa]

Here is the breakdown using the 50 factories as an example.

The most damning thing about Wind Farms for the 50 factory example is that it requires 15x times more land than the factories themselves, this is unsustainable, its much worse then Solar which only requires 2.5x times the land.

You are also restricted to coastal areas were wind is consistent thus forced to run cables to industrial Urban centres which is extremely expensive and we don't have the infrastructure for it, if you add in the cost of land that it requires, you realise very quickly its not feasible at any industrial scale.

It only makes sense for a few fisheries and marine processing plants around the coastal areas, but not for industrialisation.

Wind also has the highest maintenance cost of all, the more I crush the numbers, the more it becomes clear, its Hydrocarbon or BUST! if we want to industrialise.

Category	Solar Farm	Wind Farm	Hydropower	Hydrocarbon	Coal
Capacity Needed	250 MW	143 MW	100 MW	56 MW (Cheapest)	59 MW
Total Land Required	1,250 acres	4,290 acres	Depends on reservoir	Minimal (Cheapest)	Minimal (Cheapest)
Installation Cost	$250M	$214.5M	$250M	$28M (Cheapest)	$177M
Annual Maintenance	$2.5M	$4.29M	$5M	$1.4M (Cheapest)	$5.31M
Lifetime Maintenance	$62.5M	$107.25M	$125M	$35M (Cheapest)	$132.75M
Annual Fuel Cost	$0	$0	$0	$11.2M	$5.9M (Cheapest)
Lifetime Fuel Cost	$0	$0	$0	$280M	$147.5M (Cheapest)
Storage Cost	$75M (optional)	$42.9M (optional)	$0 (Cheapest)	$0 (Cheapest)	$0 (Cheapest)
Total Cost (w/o Storage)	$312.5M (Cheapest)	$321.75M	$375M	$343M	$457.25M
Total Cost (w/ Storage)	$387.5M	$364.65M (Cheapest)	$375M	$343M	$457.25M
Energy Reliability	Requires storage	Requires less storage	Highly reliable (Best)	Highly reliable (Best)	Highly reliable (Best)
Lifetime Energy Output	~43,800 GWh	~43,785 GWh	~54,750 GWh	~110,000 GWh	~111,525 GWh (Highest)

It's more than likely that Somalia is going to use hybrid model of energy use between Hydro, Solar, wind and diesel. Alongside other stuff like geothermal, biomass, and even ocean wave energy way down the line the future.

So it's never going to a sole reliance on wind power.

 

[Idilinaa]

How does the election look right now for the next president

We don't know yet, they have only started making preparations for local elections for this year. The presidential elections will happen in 2026