The offensive against Al-Shabaab in Central Somalia

[bidenkulaha]

Halow Abgaal

Duduble Murusade are much worse so far.

Ceel lahely/Garas are comparable to Xinlabi and there’s not a single person there, where did they all go

 

[Hafiiid]

@The Midlands

 

[KawhiLeonard]

walahi SNA learned a lesson if you go to a town and the people aren't there than get out ASAP. Xinlabi a small town was full of people mashallah. Those who want freedom will get it.

 

[bidenkulaha]

walahi SNA learned a lesson if you go to a town and the people aren't there than get out ASAP. Xinlabi a small town was full of people mashallah. Those who want freedom will get it.

But that literally means we can never liberate Eastern galgaduud except the HG bits saxib

HSM would fail and I don’t think he’s ready to give up liberating all of a Galmudug

 

[KawhiLeonard]

But that literally means we can never liberate Eastern galgaduud except the HG bits saxib

HSM would fail and I don’t think he’s ready to give up liberating all of a Galmudug

Sure in those areas the better bet is to not hold towns first but to chase alshabaab down in baadiyo, then return to the cities.

 

[geeljre49]

Sure in those areas the better bet is to not hold towns first but to chase alshabaab down in baadiyo, then return to the cities.

Can’t speak on Mursade and duduble but main problem with waceysle is they have jokers as MP’s that are N&N with no strong relationship with their tol. You know just before they retreated due to cosweyne attack, Yasiin fareey visited some place north of Ceeldheer called Hul Caduur that still had the locals present. Posted videos of him meeting with elders on camera just to ran away to Cadale couple days later. How do you expect the people to trust goverment

 

[bidenkulaha]

@Themusketeer what do you think happens as advances happen from all sides. Shabaab will have to pick which clan to attack, this could cause break up within them

 

[Hafiiid]

 

[KawhiLeonard]

Can’t speak on Mursade and duduble but main problem with waceysle is they have jokers as MP’s that are N&N with no strong relationship with their tol. You know just before they retreated due to cosweyne attack, Yasiin fareey visited some place north of Ceeldheer called Hul Caduur that still had the locals present. Posted videos of him meeting with elders on camera just to ran away to Cadale couple days later. How do you expect the people to trust goverment

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waceysle are playing games bro, they are the president of somalia, they should give their boy a win.

 

[geeljre49]

@Themusketeer what do you think happens as advances happen from all sides. Shabaab will have to pick which clan to attack, this could cause break up within them

Shabaab will definitely choose the Waceysle side as kabakutukade is brain dead. Mursade Shabaab who are the bulk of local clan Shabaab fighters in East GM avoid conflict with their SNA in Wabxo - Ceelbuur plus they can see flaws in this front. Cosweyne attack was launched from Jacar which is a Mursade town.

Not sure if you’re aware but they started a new tactic which is to show Mursade and waceysle relationship is getting stronger just to fight SNA. Sign of desperation but we will see

 

[bidenkulaha]

Shabaab will definitely choose the Waceysle side as kabakutukade is brain dead. Mursade Shabaab who are the bulk of local clan Shabaab fighters in East GM avoid conflict with their SNA in Wabxo - Ceelbuur plus they can see flaws in this front. Cosweyne attack was launched from Jacar which is a Mursade town.

Not sure if you’re aware but they started a new tactic which is to show Mursade and waceysle relationship is getting stronger just to fight SNA. Sign of desperation but we will see

A small part of that clip they admitted duduble and them (Murusade waceysle) are not on the same fronts

 

[geeljre49]

A small part of that clip they admitted duduble and them (Murusade waceysle) are not on the same fronts

All in all, only way to secure Waceysle land completly in GM is to get rid of kabakutukade. Either for him to get killed or leave Gobolada dhexe completely. Doesn’t strike me as one to surrender to fgs. Reer Galcad and masagawaay are sufi so they aren’t fleeing due to shared ideology that’s for certain

waceysle are playing games bro, they are the president of somalia, they should give their boy a win.

true they should have been at the front of this war. Tbf they lost a lot of men fighting in Middle Shabelle like Cali Gaduud back in October all until last month. Hopefully things will change

 

[bidenkulaha]

All in all, only way to secure Waceysle land completly in GM is to get rid of kabakutukade. Either for him to get killed or leave Gobolada dhexe completely. Doesn’t strike me as one to surrender to fgs. Reer Galcad and masagawaay are sufi so they aren’t fleeing due to shared ideology that’s for certain

yeah they should have been at the front of this war. Hopefully things will change

The airstrikes could make the difference, if it gets rid of their gurmad ability and supply lines.

I think a lot has changed with the many different fronts plus air support. They can’t focus 2-3k troops on one base. But they’ll still be about to hide in bushes and holes they dig so we’ll see

But Yh can dynamics change a lot. Rumours are Shabaab don’t want to focus on duduble and Murusade because of potential infighting if one side feel their ppl being targetted more. They are the big bulk of Shabaab there

 

[geeljre49]

The airstrikes could make the difference, if it gets rid of their gurmad ability and supply lines.

I think a lot has changed with the many different fronts plus air support. They can’t focus 2-3k troops on one base. But they’ll still be about to hide in bushes and holes they dig so we’ll see

But Yh can dynamics change a lot. Rumours are Shabaab don’t want to focus on duduble and Murusade because of potential infighting if one side feel their ppl being targetted more. They are the big bulk of Shabaab there

Airstrikes are the key to this offensive as well as multiple fronts. Do you know when Odawaa and his troops will enter Galcad? I know 2k wcysle macawisley who left Cadale should head back to Ceeldheer very soon. That front should be straightforward considering hardly any Shabaab near the coast

 

[bidenkulaha]

Yeah airstrikes are the key to this offensive as well as multiple fronts. Do you know when Odawaa and his troops will enter Galcad? I know 2k wcysle macawisley who left Cadale should head back to Ceeldheer very soon which should be straightforward considering hardly any Shabaab near the coast

He left with new SNA a few hours ago apparently, seems the galcad report was premature but Wabxo was right

 

[bidenkulaha]

Shabaab bombed in a tuulo under Ruunirgood after attempted assault

 

[bidenkulaha]

Shabaab seemed to plan an attack so signs they will at least try defend duduble land and attack the Cayr/duduble offensive.

 

[bidenkulaha]

Good to see HG and Murusade working together in the Guriceel to Ceelbuur region as well as the Galhareeri - Wisil region. Warxoolo-Wabxo cleared is key to keeping Wabxo safe and Galhareeri isn’t safe without Jowle

 

[bidenkulaha]

QoorQoor and Mahad Salad currently in Xinlabi

 

[bidenkulaha]

Interview from Ceel Garas