They want the Red Sea so bad 😭😭😭

[Midas]

You know he used to go under the alias Suleiman Ismael Hirsi and used a Somali diplomatic passport.

They don't even have vice president. So it will most likely result in a regime change, because Eritea has gone through mutiny from the military and from the governments ministers.

Lol thats crazy
Yeah but in a country like eritrea is regimechange even possible? None of his core guys are gonna give up the opportunity to take the throne. I feel like there's a decent chance they could collapse and be invaded by Ethiopia.

 

[EyiPunter]

I wish them sucessess. My DNA is 5% Habashii

I wish they die of aids all in one moment

 

[CABDULWALI XASAN.]

I dont think they could invaded eritrea now. But I low-key wonder what's gonna happen when afwerki dies. The guy is 78 years old. I don't see him being around in 10 years. In a country like eritre where the guy who led the revolution becoming the leader of the country through his personal charisma . I can't see how they could have a peaceful transition of power. Or how his appointed successor can fight of the people who were likely waiting decades for afwerki to die

I bet ethiopian intelligence agencies are trying to do something about that to install a plant but they cant. He needs to have a sucessor or put in a fool proof government before he dies

 

[Idilinaa]

Lol thats crazy
Yeah but in a country like eritrea is regimechange even possible? None of his core guys are gonna give up the opportunity to take the throne. I feel like there's a decent chance they could collapse and be invaded by Ethiopia.

Nah, Eritreans have less tensions and internal divisions than Ethiopia and the mutinies of the past had to do with demand for reforms and restoration of constitution. So they are more invested in maintaining the political structure but more in favor of reforming it. Ethiopia is more likely to collapse and Eritrea will exploit the situation similar to what they did in the Tigray war when they took the opportunity to occupy a disputed border territory.

 

[Midas]

Nah, Eritreans have less tensions and internal divisions than Ethiopia and the mutinies of the past had to do with demand for reforms and restoration of constitution. So they are more invested in maintaining the political structure but more in favor of reforming it. Ethiopia is more likely to collapse and Eritrea will exploit the situation similar to what they did in the Tigray war when they took the opportunity to occupy a disputed border territory.

I mean the lack of tensions is because this guy controls everything. When i looked into it this guy has been promising reforms for years and hasn't done anything. The kind of absolute control afwerki has doesn't last beyond one generation.

 

[Idilinaa]

I mean the lack of tensions is because this guy controls everything. When i looked into it this guy has been promising reforms for years and hasn't done anything. The kind of absolute control afwerki has doesn't last beyond one generation.

No i think its just have to with the inclusiveness of the government system and development under him and the unitary Eritrean identity they have fostered.

Touched on this briefly before:

Christian and Muslim co-existence in Eritrea has a rich legacy.

https://via.library.depaul.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2527&context=vincentiana

Yeah that's why i think it will probably just result in a regime change and not a collapse.

 

[Midas]

No i think its just have to with the inclusiveness of the government system and development under him and the unitary Eritrean identity they have fostered.

Touched on this briefly before:


Yeah that's why i think it will probably just result in a regime change and not a collapse.

I dont want to hate on eritrea because there not our enemy . But there's a reason people compare them to north Korea. Military service in eritrea essentially never ends. They have almost no internet acess, they have no universites . I mean hundreds of thousands of people fleeing a country of like a couple million is insane and goes to show how bad the situation must be.
Now this is not too say they will collapse or that there can't be a peaceful transition of power. But a revolutionary govt where the first guy is still in charge after 20 years and has silenced many of his froerm allies? I think its unlikely that a power struggle doesn't break out.

 

[Idilinaa]

I dont want to hate on eritrea because there not our enemy . But there's a reason people compare them to north Korea. Military service in eritrea essentially never ends. They have almost no internet acess, they have no universites . I mean hundreds of thousands of people fleeing a country of like a couple million is insane and goes to show how bad the situation must be.
Now this is not too say they will collapse or that there can't be a peaceful transition of power. But a revolutionary govt where the first guy is still in charge after 20 years and has silenced many of his froerm allies? I think its unlikely that a power struggle doesn't break out.

The military conscription's is because they are a small population and they have a neighbor with large population that is antagonistically wants to annex them if given the opportunity.
It actually had similar approach to military enrollment as Somalia back then, 6 months of training and 12 months of free military enrollment, focused on mostly nation building and development but then Ethiopia ignited a border war with them 1998.

It ended in 2000, but what came with it was condition of no-peace, no-war , which led into an indefinite military conscription and mobilization around the border.

I think they have like 1 general university and 6 specialized ones. Their literacy rate is 93% so you cannot say they don't value education or make it widely available, but it's mostly primary and secondary to your point.

I believe the bigger culprit in this is Ethiopia, because without them letting go of their asspirations to claim and annex Eritrea, the situation will most likely sustain itself.