Veteran lawmaker Abdi Hashi Abdullahi re-elected Speaker of the Upper House of Somalia Parliament with 28 votes in the first round

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
@cow @Bariire I want a HAG candidate standing there at round 2 with Deni, becuz if Deni loses, we can back the HAG guy in round 3 or vice versa if HAG can't get past round 2, they back Deni in round 3.

That's how it's always played out in elections before, but that isn't the case in this election. This is ride or die with farmajo n deni only standing in round 2 with no hag in sight to fall back on in-case things don't work out. This will go into round 3(one vote difference needed only) becuz deni n farmajo can't secure 138 in round 2. Waryaa sit back, fall back, let Majerten handle the b22n.
 
no HAG stands a chance waryaa, don't you see how many candidates they field? they won't even get past round 1 securing 30 votes, let alone round 2 where u ned 138 or 51% majority, this election is a tight race between Deni n Farmajo and it will go into third round where one vote means the difference. This is unpredictable when u enter third round.

This is what it looks like on the surface but if this is the case, what was the point of the Ceelwaaq episode?

What do Madoobe and Roble gain, they must have a candidate in mind to give those seats to, and considering the drama, those seats must have been very important number wise.

Either there is a dark horse the opposition will back or there's behind the back deals for the PM we can't see.
 

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
@MXMDy every bloc including 'ceelwaaq' counts becuz this election will go into round 3 where only one vote difference means the winner. Farmajo n Deni are the top 2 candidates with large blocs to get them passed from round 1, but not enough to win a majority in round 2, that's why it will go into round 3 with one vote being difference. Of course they will be ensuring each bloc of vote is contested.

HAG fielded way to many candidates in round 1 where 30 or more votes are needed to get past round 1, I doubt they are even seeking the presidency or else they wud back one or two candidates maximum.
 
another very interesting one. NN candidate got 27 in first round and 25 in second round. those are very good numbers. We lost but the numbers speak volume for presidential race.


the runner up is 100/100 N&N

 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
another very interesting one. NN candidate got 27 in first round and 25 in second round. those are very good numbers. We lost but the numbers speak volume for presidential race.


the runner up is 100/100 N&N

2 Ls. We haven’t even got started. Madoobe is going to win tomorrow and then we can get ahead to electing a new President
 
2 Ls. We haven’t even got started. Madoobe is going to win tomorrow and then we can get ahead to electing a new President

upper house should have been a blow out for mucaaradka as it favours them. lowerhouse you won't stand a chance.

instead in upperhouse N&N got nearly 50 percent of the vote. aqalka sare was always a very tall tree for N&N. if we look at the numbers. puntland + madoobe have 19 votes on aqalka sare compare that to koonfur galbeed with only 8 votes.

now in lower house koonfur galbeed has 69 votes. madoobe has 27 votes and puntland has 37. therefore koonfur galbeed alone has more then puntand + madoobe combined add to that 10 of the puntland MP's where recently seen meeting with gen xijaar and have left deni and joined N&N. it also means N&N have a large hidden support from other maamuls in hiirshabeele and galmudug.

so do you see where the numbers are going? it also means somaliland mps majority of them are N&N going by the aqalka sare votes.
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
upper house should have been a blow out for mucaaradka as it favours them. lowerhouse you won't stand a chance.

instead in upperhouse N&N got nearly 50 percent of the vote. aqalka sare was always a very tall tree for N&N. if we look at the numbers. puntland + madoobe have 19 votes on aqalka sare compare that to koonfur galbeed with only 8 votes.

now in lower house koonfur galbeed has 69 votes. madoobe has 27 votes and puntland has 37. therefore koonfur galbeed alone has more then puntand + madoobe combined add to that 10 of the puntland MP's where recently seen meeting with gen xijaar and have left deni and joined N&N. it also means N&N have a large hidden support from other maamuls in hiirshabeele and galmudug.

so do you see where the numbers are going? it also means somaliland mps majority of them are N&N going by the aqalka sare votes.
I’ll be back tomorrow to share the good news. Opposition is coalescing around one candidate which was always the problem originally.

Easily majority of MPs elected are mucarad. The only issue was who would be number 1 rival to Farmaajo, we’ll see who succeeds in that but they’ll get the support of opposition.

KG Roble got a few of his wasiirs in. Galmudug isn’t split but we’ve got a sizeable MX bloc. Hirshabelle is majority opposition in lower house elections.

Jubaland is 100% opposition with Ceelwaaq now, mostly same with PL (stop believing ur own hype), SL is majority not Farmaajo, it was split by Roble (but who knows they might be bought).

Senate elections were way earlier and few more N&N candidates got in but Farmaajo was karbaashed the longer elections went on in the lower house
 
Last edited:
this is very interesting election result breakdown of round one. to what voting power MM have what Deni has and what Madoobe has

we can clearly see fartaag getting 12 votes which means MM have 11 and he voted for himself which makes it 12

Gaboose is ogadeen and has the support of madoobe he got 7 votes. jubbaland has 8 votes however fartaag voted for himself therefore gaboose has 7 votes.

deni's candidate MJ has 16 which means he got 11 from puntland and deni get 5 others to vote for his man.

so we can conclude MM combined only have 12 total. the deciding factor for who wins between MM candidate and Deni candidate will be N&N senators.

 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
this is very interesting election result breakdown of round one. to what voting power MM have what Deni has and what Madoobe has

we can clearly see fartaag getting 12 votes which means MM have 11 and he voted for himself which makes it 12

Gaboose is ogadeen and has the support of madoobe he got 7 votes. jubbaland has 8 votes however fartaag voted for himself therefore gaboose has 7 votes.

deni's candidate MJ has 16 which means he got 11 from puntland and deni get 5 others to vote for his man.

so we can conclude MM combined only have 12 total. the deciding factor for who wins between MM candidate and Deni candidate will be N&N senators.

Early drop out for N&N.

This is how it most likely will go tomorrow and Presidency. I don’t buy this idea it’ll be Deni vs Farmaajo. Farmaajo’s base N&N support is collapsing because they can see he’s not returning so seeking out jobs from other potential winning candidates
 
Early drop out for N&N.

This is how it most likely will go tomorrow and Presidency. I don’t buy this idea it’ll be Deni vs Farmaajo. Farmaajo’s base N&N support is collapsing

You are looking at who won upperhouse when farmaajo really does not care. last 5 years cabdi xaashi was the speaker and was mucaarid and he couldn't do anything.

what you need to look at is how powerful N&N is inside aqalka sare when it comes to numbers. i will be honest i thought N&N would maximum have 16-17 senators. turns out N&N has 25/26 senators. this is a huge blow for mucaardka

aqalka hoose sxb watch and see how N&N will win. and presidency is game over.

btw when farmaajo wins, all he needs to do is convert 3 senators to switch which would be very easy. he can then put a mooshin and remove cabdi xaashi. there won't be any MM or anyone else that will waste their money to fight against the mooshin.

so it is all good on N&N front. We have more N&N senators today then we had 1 year ago.
 
Last edited:
Senator Ilyaas badal Gaboose has conceded the race to his fellow mate senator Fartaag, who now has majority of the Jubaland votes. Guul Fartaag! Ogaden have made tanasul for their longtime general,best friend and Supporter of Jubbaland Abdullahi sheikh Fartaag.

 
You are looking at who won upperhouse when farmaajo really does not care. last 5 years cabdi xaashi was the speaker and was mucaarid and he couldn't do anything.

what you need to look at is how powerful N&N is inside aqalka sare when it comes to numbers. i will be honest i thought N&N would maximum have 16-17 senators. turns out N&N has 25/26 senators. this is a huge blow for mucaardka

aqalka hoose sxb watch and see how N&N will win. and presidency is game over.

btw when farmaajo wins, all he needs to do is convert 3 senators to switch which would be very easy. he can then put a mooshin and remove cabdi xaashi. there won't be any MM or anyone else that will waste their money to fight against the mooshin.

so it is all good on N&N front. We have more N&N senators today then we had 1 year ago.
You thinking NN will be able to get a win tomorrow? I can already see they have a lot of leverage and backing just by those votes alone, I was surprised tbh and after all that waalaga rayay and isbaheysi from different political elites hashi only managed to win by a few votes. I can see reer NN celebrating tomorrow, it’s a win for maamulka :ummhmm:
 
Senator Ilyaas badal Gaboose has conceded the race to his fellow mate senator Fartaag, who now has majority of the Jubaland votes. Guul Fartaag! Ogaden have made tanasul for their longtime general,best friend and Supporter of Jubbaland Abdullahi sheikh Fartaag.

And Farmaajo will still be president just means beesha getting paid on all corners 😂
 

bidenkulaha

GalYare
You are looking at who won upperhouse when farmaajo really does not care. last 5 years cabdi xaashi was the speaker and was mucaarid and he couldn't do anything.

what you need to look at is how powerful N&N is inside aqalka sare when it comes to numbers. i will be honest i thought N&N would maximum have 16-17 senators. turns out N&N has 25/26 senators. this is a huge blow for mucaardka

aqalka hoose sxb watch and see how N&N will win. and presidency is game over.

btw when farmaajo wins, all he needs to do is convert 3 senators to switch which would be very easy. he can then put a mooshin and remove cabdi xaashi. there won't be any MM or anyone else that will waste their money to fight against the mooshin.

so it is all good on N&N front. We have more N&N senators today then we had 1 year ago.
You obviously aren’t even aware of the House elections over the past year. There really is no base for N&N to even have a chance of beating Madoobe tomorrow.

Senate started off more Farmaajo than last time but the House elections he ran out of cash and support in key states Hirshabelle, GM. He’s finished bro.
 

Trending

Latest posts

Top