What chatgpt says about the likelihood of SL getting recognized

[Abdisamad]

ChatGPT

What are the odds of Somaliand getting recognition?

​

ChatGPT answer:​

The odds of Somaliland achieving international recognition as an independent state remain uncertain and challenging. While Somaliland has maintained de facto independence since 1991, when it declared independence from Somalia, several factors influence the likelihood of its recognition:

1. Regional Dynamics:​

• Somalia's Position: The Federal Government of Somalia strongly opposes Somaliland's independence, considering it a part of its sovereign territory. As long as this stance remains, it will be challenging for Somaliland to gain recognition, especially from African Union (AU) member states, which prioritize territorial integrity.
• African Union: The AU has historically been reluctant to recognize secessionist movements due to concerns about setting a precedent that could encourage other separatist movements across the continent.

2. International Community:​

• Global Powers: Major global powers, including the United States and European Union, have not recognized Somaliland, although they have engaged with it in various ways, particularly in the context of regional security and anti-piracy efforts. However, without support from these powers, formal recognition is difficult.
• UN Stance: The United Nations, like the AU, supports Somalia's territorial integrity. Any change in this stance would likely require a broader consensus within the international community.

3. Internal Stability and Governance:​

• Governance: Somaliland has been praised for its relative stability and democratic governance compared to the rest of Somalia. Its ability to maintain this stability and continue developing its institutions could gradually build a stronger case for recognition.
• Internal Challenges: Despite its relative stability, Somaliland faces internal challenges, including economic issues and limited resources, which could affect its push for recognition.

4. Negotiations with Somalia:​

• Dialogue: Any potential recognition could be tied to successful negotiations between Somaliland and Somalia. If the two entities were to reach a mutually acceptable agreement, it might open the door to international recognition.
• Conflict or Compromise: The nature of the relationship between Somaliland and Somalia will significantly impact the prospects for recognition—whether it leads to conflict or some form of compromise.

5. Precedent and International Law:​

• Precedent: The recognition of South Sudan in 2011 as an independent state following a referendum set a precedent, but it remains an exception rather than the rule. The international community is generally cautious about recognizing new states, particularly in regions with complex political dynamics.

In conclusion, while Somaliland has made significant strides in establishing a functioning state with its own institutions, the odds of it achieving international recognition in the near term remain low. Recognition will likely require a combination of internal stability, regional diplomatic breakthroughs, and shifts in international perspectives, none of which are guaranteed in the current geopolitical climate.


You know things look bleak when even AI tools are rating your chances of getting recognized as low

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[Sa_Male]

ChatGPT

What are the odds of Somaliand getting recognition?

​

ChatGPT answer:​

The odds of Somaliland achieving international recognition as an independent state remain uncertain and challenging. While Somaliland has maintained de facto independence since 1991, when it declared independence from Somalia, several factors influence the likelihood of its recognition:

1. Regional Dynamics:​

• Somalia's Position: The Federal Government of Somalia strongly opposes Somaliland's independence, considering it a part of its sovereign territory. As long as this stance remains, it will be challenging for Somaliland to gain recognition, especially from African Union (AU) member states, which prioritize territorial integrity.
• African Union: The AU has historically been reluctant to recognize secessionist movements due to concerns about setting a precedent that could encourage other separatist movements across the continent.

2. International Community:​

• Global Powers: Major global powers, including the United States and European Union, have not recognized Somaliland, although they have engaged with it in various ways, particularly in the context of regional security and anti-piracy efforts. However, without support from these powers, formal recognition is difficult.
• UN Stance: The United Nations, like the AU, supports Somalia's territorial integrity. Any change in this stance would likely require a broader consensus within the international community.

3. Internal Stability and Governance:​

• Governance: Somaliland has been praised for its relative stability and democratic governance compared to the rest of Somalia. Its ability to maintain this stability and continue developing its institutions could gradually build a stronger case for recognition.
• Internal Challenges: Despite its relative stability, Somaliland faces internal challenges, including economic issues and limited resources, which could affect its push for recognition.

4. Negotiations with Somalia:​

• Dialogue: Any potential recognition could be tied to successful negotiations between Somaliland and Somalia. If the two entities were to reach a mutually acceptable agreement, it might open the door to international recognition.
• Conflict or Compromise: The nature of the relationship between Somaliland and Somalia will significantly impact the prospects for recognition—whether it leads to conflict or some form of compromise.

5. Precedent and International Law:​

• Precedent: The recognition of South Sudan in 2011 as an independent state following a referendum set a precedent, but it remains an exception rather than the rule. The international community is generally cautious about recognizing new states, particularly in regions with complex political dynamics.

In conclusion, while Somaliland has made significant strides in establishing a functioning state with its own institutions, the odds of it achieving international recognition in the near term remain low. Recognition will likely require a combination of internal stability, regional diplomatic breakthroughs, and shifts in international perspectives, none of which are guaranteed in the current geopolitical climate.


You know things look bleak when even AI tools are rating your chances of getting recognized as low

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Dua? Are you a munafiq? And also no lander has denied anything from that text.

 

[Almis]

Living rent free in the minds of the jeberties, lamaoyaans , 0.5s iyo wax aan la garananin asalkooda.

 

[Sa_Male]

Living rent free in the minds of the jeberties, lamaoyaans , 0.5s iyo wax aan la garananin asalkooda.

Another lander? Qabilki waa?

 

[Abdisamad]

Living rent free in the minds of the jeberties, lamaoyaans , 0.5s iyo wax aan la garananin asalkooda.

Greatings my iidorian brethren, I was bored so wanted to see what are the future odds of the Jamhuriyada getting recognition

 

[Abdisamad]

Another lander? Qabilki waa?

Probably something that starts with a habar..

 

[Sa_Male]

Greatings my iidorian brethren, I was bored so wanted to see what are the future odds of the Jamhuriyada getting recognition

Looking better than seeing Al kebab pack up and go because you sure as hell ain't beating them anytime soon

 

[Sa_Male]

Probably something that starts with a habar..

He could've said cidagalle. Or maybe he's dir

 

[Itsnotthateasy]

 

[Sa_Male]

Bro wasn't expecting to get jumped by every lander on sspot

 

[Abdisamad]

It wasn't my review, blame AI chatgpt

 

[FBIsomalia]

AI bot even knows truth better than qaat addict still search after 35 years!!!.

 

[Abdisamad]

Looking better than seeing Al kebab pack up and go because you sure as hell ain't beating them anytime soon

We can't beat because we're missing our northern brothers..

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[The Oponian Guild]

It’s a robber state, it’s presence is just to ensure Isaaq maintain dominance over the north (failed at that), they just mask it under the veneer of self determination and apparent cultural divergences with Somalia (what are they?), it will naturally collapse in the coming decades, question is, who will fill the void left behind?

 

[Sa_Male]

We can't beat because we're missing our northern brothers..

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Ye I was expecting fkd what the heck.

 

[Sa_Male]

We can't beat because we're missing our northern brothers..

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I think alot of landers like southerns are waking up to the idea of politics screwing them over. When that happens on a large enough scale we can get closer together in my opinion.

 

[Sa_Male]

It’s a robber state, it’s presence is just to ensure Isaaq maintain dominance over the north (failed at that), they just mask it under the veneer of self determination and apparent cultural divergences with Somalia (what are they?), it will naturally collapse in the coming decades, question is, who will fill the void left behind?

Sure, somaliland could be 10x better, and as hy I see how the country is basically run by two clans now, but somalia has bigger problems.

 

[Abdisamad]

Ye I was expecting fkd what the heck.

We just look silly doing fkd all the time.. So I figured I would try a a new uproach lol.

 

[Abdisamad]

I think alot of landers like southerns are waking up to the idea of politics screwing them over. When that happens on a large enough scale we can get closer together in my opinion.

Yeah Somalia is a mess mostly due to old ass dudes.. The funny thing is most of our politicians know each other from the old days either from the army or schools etc.. For example eidid and Abdullahi Yusuf knew each other and I think Muse bihi used to be in the Somali airforce..

 

[Sa_Male]

Yeah Somalia is a mess mostly due to old ass dudes.. The funny thing is most of our politicians know each other from the old days either from the army or schools etc.. For example eidid and Abdullahi Yusuf knew each other and I think Muse bihi used to be in the Somali airforce..

It's crazy, and some guy from my sub clan was tng prime minister for a sec. These odays have been using us since Barre
They clearly don't give half a fuk about qabiil until it can help them.