What's more likely, the New York times are overestimating Al Shabab because of the Taliban or Somalis such as you are underestimating Shabab because you want to believe Somalia is making progress?
I know its anecdotal and therefore can't be used as conclusive proof. But I know people irl who have went back to xamar within the last few years and been held for ransom by Shabab fighters when they left the city. When you hear them tell the stories its hard to believe the fgs is making any sort of progress.
As I have stated earlier, I do not underestimate AS or deny their far reaching influence in society back home.
What I reject is the lazy comparisons between Somalia and Afghanistan. Al Shabaab and the Taliban are not the same and Somalia and Afghanistan are not the same.
If you look closely at that article, that was their underlying point. That Somalia could be the next Afghanistan.
One just has to look at the military funding provided to Afghanistan to see that they’re two completely different cases.