Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Cirro) elected as President of Somaliland

[Garaad Awal]

Next step is retiring Taani & handing the army over to Gen Dolaal.

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It's Habar Xabusheed era.

War will erupt in Hargeisa & Berbera. Taxes from the Wajaale border will be used to fund a JB army in Gabiley region. Any HJ caught in Hargeisa will unfortunately be lynched by the locals

 

[Garaad Awal]

Just like Dhulos were enough to destroy the HJ militias. JB is enough to completely capture Hargeisa alongside the Hussein Abokor,CM & Makahiil of Hargeisa. Alliances will be made with Beesha Arab and the Eastern Daroods (making sure they hit Sool and make incursions into Western Sanaa). The HA movement must switch allegiances to Somalia superficially and receive sympathies from Somaliweyn. CM will be enough to hold Berbera from an HY force and once Hargeisa is taken the HY forces will be hit from behind by the SM

Politically; Sacrificing the East can help get Daarood support while promising Xamar the allegiance of Waqooyi Galbeed alongside a Presidential visit when Hargeisa has been secured.

There are no permanent friends or enemies in war or politics. If HY + HJ wanted an escalation. An escalation is what will happen. These events will take years, but the first bullets being shot will probably happen few months from now.

Once Cirro attempts to cleanse the Govt & Military of HA and replacing them with HY & CG. This will be the casus bellis as even the most patriotic HA will accept that the only solution is war.

My job and the jobs of others like me online is to fan the rhetoric and the flames of war to our clansmen to mentally prepare them.