Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (Cirro) elected as President of Somaliland

AlteKartel

AlteKartel

Sophisticate said:
Some people may be basking in the glow of orange, but Awdal will likely see little change over the next five years. The typical cycle of emotional fanfare, fueled by shifting political tides, will likely lead to disillusionment as the region faces the same stagnation and broken promises. There’s a recurring pattern of short-term, superficial solutions and a lack of a clear long-term vision. If, in the coming years, there are tangible efforts, such as rebuilding and fully operationalizing Aden Issaq Airport, significant road development connecting Djibouti, Awdal, and Ethiopia, and port development. Then, I will stand corrected. Until then, I remain a receptive skeptic, expecting the historical lack of progress to continue, with little intention or a lacklustre effort to truly address the needs of the people.
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The three major Somaliland parties now coresspond to the major Isaaq clans. Since Somalis are low IQ fools who mostly toe the clan line, Gadabursi are now the most important swing voters and not HJ. Hopefully you can parlay that into some development in Awdal.
 
FBIsomalia

FBIsomalia

True Puntlander
VIP
AlteKartel said:
The three major Somaliland parties now coresspond to the major Isaaq clans. Since Somalis are low IQ fools who mostly toe the clan line, Gadabursi are now the most important swing voters and not HJ. Hopefully you can parlay that into some development in Awdal.
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Three major party leaders from one sub-clan. HJ :farole: .
 
Tiyeglow

Tiyeglow

A Laandheere always pays his debts
This will prove whether SL is a HA ran project or if they are mature enough to share the power and resources to others, not least the largest, more historic yet ostracised HY. So I genuinely welcome this
 
Arkan

Arkan

RMR
VIP
AlteKartel said:
The three major Somaliland parties now coresspond to the major Isaaq clans. Since Somalis are low IQ fools who mostly toe the clan line, Gadabursi are now the most important swing voters and not HJ. Hopefully you can parlay that into some development in Awdal.
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GB lost because they didn’t toe the clan line. Note that 33k of their votes went elsewhere than their prime contender, Hilaac.

GB have likely secured more concessions by strongly aligning with the coalition formed by the former opposition. One of those concessions is likely to be the chairmanship of the parliament and other positions.

Also the plan by Wadani and Kaah now is to maintain GX, HJ, and Gadabursi presidential candidates for the next 30 years or so.
 
A

Araabi

Awdalite
Yazi said:
Agree with everything except the 2nd part. Nobody in Somaliland is truly opposed to the MoU, except maybe the Sameroon in Awdal. Bixii's" manipulation of the opposition had the adverse effect in 2022. He threatened them (Waddani & UCID) with political association elections prior to presidential elections which led them to reluctantly approve the 2 year extension which surprisingly led to his downfall (Lascanood & coalition forming against him) also, he went back on his words and held political association elections anyway which comprised his own collation as now other partys could never trust him again. That's why he barely made it in 3rd place. He was lucky that Sameroon & Arap party's fumbled the bag especially Sameroon who didn't learn from GX 20 year mistake of fielding 2 party's & dividing their numbers.


Also, in 2016 he resorted to violence and intimidation to hijack Kulmiye Chairmanship citing the unwritten agreement between HJ and HA when Siilanyo initially decided to run again for elections in the infamous Shaani incident. When he got what he wanted, and it was his turn to handover the party to Kahin or Xaashi in 2021 he refused which showed his hypocrisy circa 2016. It backfired in Kaah splintering away led by his former ally Xaashi becoming an official party in his own right taking away most of HJ vote and actually accumulating more vote than original party of Kulmiye with a strong collation that included Wadani & Hilaac. This lead to Kulmiye's decisive defeat in all 3 eastern regions which HJ split in 2017. When counting all 3 regions Sool, Sanaag & Togdheer Cirro was leading with +130k ... Bixii was leading these same regions with a thin 1k margin back in 2017.


This election was basically HA vs everyone. No body really voted for Kulmiye in Sool, Sanaag, Togdheer & Awdal. Bixii overestimated Kahin's pull and toke the eastern as granted. The Garxajis somehow managed to successfully split Maroodi Jeex & Saaxil despite it being HA powerhouse. All in all, a humiliating defeat for Bixii and Kulmiye party who failed to come up with a viable coalition and barley made it as a party.
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Absolutely great analysis. You hit the nail on the head. Reer Awdal will now throw in their lot with Kaah and Waddani moving forward. Kulmiye is the new Ucid and I don't see them recovering from this. Also the HA are now in the same position as the HJ in 2017. Both Kaah and Waddani will compete for HA and Gadabursi votes in the future.
 
SilentE1001

SilentE1001

Reformation of Somaliland
VIP
Without elections Somaliland wouldn't have survived it would be like most where 1 group would've had the power and the rest would've constantly rebelled.

Atleast with this there is some hope for change every few years
 
Garaad Awal

Garaad Awal

War is coming.
Tiyeglow said:
This will prove whether SL is a HA ran project or if they are mature enough to share the power and resources to others, not least the largest, more historic yet ostracised HY. So I genuinely welcome this
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Who said HY was the largest. Only they believe in their own propaganda
 
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