Civil war enters second year in Ethiopia

reer

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Our entire region is pathetic and would be completely overwhelmed in such a scenario. The West won't allow Ethiopia to disintegrate because they would possibly have to contend with millions of migrants trying to reach the West.
the feasible way for stability is to return ethiopia to abyssinia borders. the region cannot be stable so long as the west and amhara rulers are obsessed with somalis arsi clan of oromos afars and hararis as part of their fascist state.
 
the feasible way for stability is to return ethiopia to abyssinia borders. the region cannot be stable so long as the west and amhara rulers are obsessed with somalis arsi clan of oromos afars and hararis as part of their fascist state.

That complete disintegration scenario won't come to pass; the geopolitical fallout from it would be impossible to contain; it would open a Pandora's box for other regions in Africa (like Biafra) to agitate for secession.

The British forced us together with the North; we fought the Empire and were crushed in the 30s; Khartoum was supported by the West for decades before they switched over to us in the 90s, so war is the only way those regions are going to secede.
 

reer

VIP
That complete disintegration scenario won't come to pass; the geopolitical fallout from it would be impossible to contain; it would open a Pandora's box for other regions in Africa (like Biafra) to agitate for secession.

The British forced us together with the North; we fought the Empire and were crushed in the 30s; Khartoum was supported by the West for decades before they switched over to us in the 90s, so war is the only way those regions are going to secede.
if only. :eminemdamn: :eminemdamn:
frfr.jpg
 
Dude take no offense. I am talking relative to Ethiopia. A group their size with their lack of training/resources can only do so much. Don’t forget how many Oromo leaders were arrested also that could have helped organize and recruit for OLA.

They're doing it solo. The west doesn't wanna back a majority ethnicity because they won't be puppets. But the OLA is stronger today than ever bro. Of course it still lacks heavy weapons but will get that eventually especially from the Tigrayan forces soon. But it has captured large parts of Oromia and setup administrations there, over lands bigger than Tigray itself. It takes time to build a strong army from scratch. Doesn't happen overnight. Not to mention Abiy can beg for arms and assistance from foreign countries in the name of "protecting Ethiopia." If Egypt or some powerful country backed the OLA? Oh man. Remember all somalis did was give Oromos old rifles, training and medical aid, and with that they liberated all of Bale and forced Haile Selassie to beg the us, UK and Israel for military aid (in the 1960s).
 

Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
You know what Abiy needs to give the final blow to Tigray? A Tigray General. Yes, I said it.

@Sheikh Kulkuli, a Tigryan General is the only way the TPLF can be submerged into oblivion. Someone like Gebretensae or Gabre :kanyeshrug:
 
You know what Abiy needs to give the final blow to Tigray? A Tigray General. Yes, I said it.

@Sheikh Kulkuli, a Tigryan General is the only way the TPLF can be submerged into oblivion. Someone like Gebretensae or Gabre :kanyeshrug:
Tigrayans are being controlled by Uncle Sam.
So regardless he wouldnt make a difference.
Also this is an ethnic war.
Its like Hutu vs Tutsi at the height if Rwanda civil war do you think
One will be a sellout to his own kind after knowing his folks are about to be ethnic cleansed?
Abye called them a cancer.
Tigrayans are more loyal to their own than somalis.
 

Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
Tigrayans are being controlled by Uncle Sam.
So regardless he wouldnt make a difference.
Also this is an ethnic war.
Its like Hutu vs Tutsi at the height if Rwanda civil war do you think
One will be a sellout to his own kind after knowing his folks are about to be ethnic cleansed?
Abye called them a cancer.
Tigrayans are more loyal to their own than somalis.
Right now, a Tigryan General would be the final blow, Abiy is fighting them under the guise of the State Apparatus. Nobody knows them best except a Tigryan and a Tigryan knows it himself. Hit and run, hiding in the mountains, if Abiy was serious about defeating them.

Uncle Sam influence within the war is long gone, there is no war convention, its basically every man for themselves. Rape, killing women and children, using godknows types of weapons, its unconventional and all sides are feeling the heats.
 
Right now, a Tigryan General would be the final blow, Abiy is fighting them under the guise of the State Apparatus. Nobody knows them best except a Tigryan and a Tigryan knows it himself. Hit and run, hiding in the mountains, if Abiy was serious about defeating them.

Uncle Sam influence within the war is long gone, there is no war convention, its basically every man for themselves. Rape, killing women and children, using godknows types of weapons, its unconventional and all sides are feeling the heats.
WISHFUL THINKING
 

Calaf

Veni Vidi Vici
2022 CHESS CHAMP
GENERALISSIMO
VIP
The better 4 us.
If we have a competent government anywhere, DDSI or Somalia, then it would have been a golden opportunity served on a plate, but no. We sit from the side and watch them burn, hoping we get a grip one day and take use of the opportunity.
 

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