You gotta qarxi that shit for days to do any damage. Plus you think the endf will let you sit there and bomb/strike them. Destroying that dam will definitely effect the region around the Nile not only will Ethiopia suffer so will Sudan and Egypt. Shit is like Pandora’s box wallahi, you don’t know what to expect.
The Egyptian airforce is by far the most capable in Africa, endf is in the middle of a civil war and might lose power, what can they do? Most world powers would support Egypt or stay neutral. I mean trump supported Egypt destroying the dam. Biden probably doesn’t but he will be neutral. They 100 % have the capabilities to destroy it if they want to. The effects of destroying the dam at this early stage won’t be catastrophic, the borderlands of Ethiopia and Sudan will be affected however only 5 billion cubic meters of water has been stored, its not that much flooding. This is the best time for Egypt to strike the GERD.
Burhan's Sudan will side with Egypt and he might also convince Djibouti and Eritrea to side with Egypt/Sudan as well. This week is a game changer.
The dam is a few miles away from the Sudan border, no need to involve Djibouti or Eritrea. Anyway, Sudan and Ethiopia are currently in a border war, and in May they had joint drills with Egypt. They don’t even need to engage Sudan(other than use their airspace), the dam is 1400km from their nearest airfield at Aswan which is in the operational range of their Rafaels(3700km).
Striking the dam would create catastrophic international diplomacy for Egypt as the African nations could turn against Egypt with western nations pushing for some sanctions and let's not forget the flooding it will cause for Ethiopians near the border with Sudan with itself being flooded alongside Egypt as they're low river stream nations. 5 billion cubic meters of water is lots of waters
Cowardice
Abiy has lost war since only days are left to the anniversary of his campagine against TPLF hich spectacularly failed bring Ethiopian economy down creating animosity with your neighbors and western countries who halted their aid
Most of East Africa supports Egypt/Sudan over Ethiopia, since we are majority Sunni Muslim. Ethiopia is on it's own and will be defeated.
5 billion cubic meters of water can be controlled by dams built by Sudan, it’s not that much water.
Yes but Abye thinks he still has a chance till TDF storms his office in Arat Kilo.
ENDF are holding strong to key positions in western tigray and stopping tplf from gaining foreign access via sudan corridor. Whilst tplf is getting successful on their journey to Addis, they are failing on reaching the Sudan border(which is far more important) and breaking the blockade. The war is at a stalemate in my opinion, which is good. This is gonna be a long war that will drag out for at least 5 years hopefully.
Makes sense, since war leads to regression in society. The casualty rates are very high, and the Tigray are enlisting their entire population in the war. Their population will need to be replenished by higher birth rates.
The Tigray region doesn't have high fertility at all. The Ethiopian capital is even below the replacement level, a significant contrast to the Somali region and other rural areas.
I can see that happening. To some degree, the Iraqi fertility rates went up a bit after the war.
