I don't think after south sudan, they'll let another African country be created. Most likely they'll put a puppet in that case and make Ethiopia a confederacy
Civil war enters second year in Ethiopia
- Thread starter Sheikh Kulkuli
- Start date
Beginning of the end
www.reuters.com
Ethiopia declares state of emergency as Tigrayan forces gain ground
Ethiopia declared a six-month state of emergency on Tuesday after forces from the northern region of Tigray said they were gaining territory and considering marching on the capital Addis Ababa.
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Onlf needs to take control of Ogaden now, if the ola are able to defeat abiy then we have no excuseBeginning of the end
Ethiopia declares state of emergency as Tigrayan forces gain ground
Ethiopia declared a six-month state of emergency on Tuesday after forces from the northern region of Tigray said they were gaining territory and considering marching on the capital Addis Ababa.
And here therein lies the true issue, Somalis do not as people possess a common interest. It's always what can I do for my immediate kin-group rather than my whole people in their heads.
On the other hand can you really blame them though? People need an incentive to want to work together, they need to be taught that working together is more beneficial for them rather than just their qabil alone.
Our people in the West want independence but it is hard to determine what the people back in Tigray want. We haven’t heard their voices in a year.
TPLF has said they will let the people decide but if they can grab full power of Ethiopia again I doubt they will go for independence. They’re greedy politicians after all.
My preference is a more federal Ethiopia that actually follows the constitution, then second is independence and dead last is whatever is going on right now.
So abye wants to turn Addis Ababa into Stalingrad.Beginning of the end
Ethiopia declares state of emergency as Tigrayan forces gain ground
Ethiopia declared a six-month state of emergency on Tuesday after forces from the northern region of Tigray said they were gaining territory and considering marching on the capital Addis Ababa.
ZodiaK
VIP
Ethiopia is not in compliance with the eligibility requirements of the African Growth and Opportunity Act because of gross violations of internationally recognized human rights, a senior U.S. official told reporters on a conference call. The determination can be reversed if the government addresses human rights, humanitarian and political crises by Jan. 1, the official said.
The suspension of duty-free access is a fresh blow to Ethiopia’s economy, which is already under strain from the growing cost of the conflict in the country’s northern regions and the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The Horn of Africa nation exported goods worth $245 million to the U.S. last year under AGOA, accounting for almost half its shipments to America.
Tuesday’s announcement follows an executive order by the Biden administration authorizing sanctions against individuals and entities deemed to be prolonging the conflict in Ethiopia. The U.S. on Monday reiterated its threat to impose sanctions.
Why is it taking long for sanctions on Ethiopia airlines?
I do beleive Afaworki will send at least 50K soilders to Addis Ababa for final show down and abye will pay for mercenaries to fight.
Afaworki would rather see his forces fight in Addis Ababa than at the border between Tigray and Eritrea.
So he will send his best and even engage on street fight with TDF unlike ENDF.
I have zero confidence that Abye will negotiate because Afaworki will give him Asylum in Eritrea .There is no country willing to accept Abye.
Only Eritrea and Somalia( Mogadishu).
Afaworki would rather see his forces fight in Addis Ababa than at the border between Tigray and Eritrea.
So he will send his best and even engage on street fight with TDF unlike ENDF.
I have zero confidence that Abye will negotiate because Afaworki will give him Asylum in Eritrea .There is no country willing to accept Abye.
Only Eritrea and Somalia( Mogadishu).
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Ethiopian airlines is about to go bankrupt
Yes there is nothing that Afaworki would want rather than to see Addis Ababa destroyed.
You think the West want over 100 million refugees and displaced people?
What will happen to the AU that’s based in Ethiopia?
What will happen to hundreds of millions of dollars worth of Chinese investment?
No major international player wants Ethiopia to collapse.
What will happen to the AU that’s based in Ethiopia?
What will happen to hundreds of millions of dollars worth of Chinese investment?
No major international player wants Ethiopia to collapse.
I thought that first but seeing as the west are busy sanctioning Eithopia instead of the tplf thugs j am not so sure.
Anthony blinken is going to create the Afghanistan of East Africa at this rate
Yes they will collapse, since America and Israel are allied with Egypt and Sudan. This a good outcome for Somalia, Galbeed joins Somalia and East Africa is run by Egypt and Sudan instead of Ethiopia.
They probably want the TPLF to take over but not throw Ethiopia into anarchy.
They will probably pressure Abiy Ahmed to negotiate or leave Ethiopia before any harm done.
Egypt and Sudan don’t want a collapsed Ethiopia.
A weaker Ethiopia is their intention but they don’t Ethiopia to turn into Somalia.
Also, where do you think is the first place these refugees are going?
You guessed it, Somalia.
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