That is why civil wars will always be a thing in Ethiopia, the only thing holding it together is violence. All Ethiopians are ethnic nationalists the only ones that are "Ethiopian nationalists" are those who rule currently hold power.
Civil war enters second year in Ethiopia
- Thread starter Sheikh Kulkuli
- Start date
Is OLA a bigger threat to the government than TPLF?
James Dahl
VIP
Long term, absolutely. If OLA can embed themselves in the Oromo countryside they will be incredibly difficult to dislodge, and they have base areas built up throughout the country. Counterinsurgency efforts would just strengthen OLA as has been demonstrated the Ethiopian military is incapable of not committing horrific massacres everywhere they go
How will the Ethiopian military and its allies manage exactly to reenter Tigray when they had to leave it six months ago?
There are bad and good elements among all groups and sub-groups of people. However, let's be honest, the tplf has a lot of resposiblity for what has occurred on their hands. they used the opdo, to exploit the oromo, rape the oromo, kill the oromo, keep the oromo subjugated on his and her own land, so of course, this made the opdo resent the tplf and hate them, this is natural, and it bred a desire for revenge that is stronger than a man's desire for relations with women, perhaps! all of them are guilty! opdo, tplf, amhara elites, etc- the only innocents are the civilians!
World
VIP
I think this was a planned retreat by the tdf, the endf did not take any of this territory. They overextended their offence, and whilst the endf were crushed on the southern front, they were relatively untouched on tdf’s flanks(afar region). So the tdf realised that their flanks were exposed and vulnerable and withdrew as they predicted there will be a strong offensive against their main army in shewa. There will be heavy fighting on the road to weldiya soon so we will see if this was a decisive shift in the war or a temporary defeat.
Represent all Ethiopia and yet wants to erhnic cleanse one of them while he has jailed majority if oromo political activists and let amhara rule supreme wven their racists are untouchable they go on media curse on Abye sbut its fine.
There was no strong united Somalia in 2006 it was bandits and warlords hiding under Islamic courts.
Somalia was at it's most powerful, in terms of military force, during the 1970s. Somalia along with Egypt was basically running Africa
The military ended up like Egypt only killing Somalis rather than protecting Somalis which led to its down fall.
Because the Somalia military ended up protecting the regime in power rather than peotecting the somali people.
The weapons endd up in rebels and the rest is history.
No one does a tactical retreat from a place that they fought hard to get.
they have too many big allies to collapse. when Somalia collapsed they had zero super power allies or even powerful allies.
Ethiopia has China, Russia and Turkey even UAE is helping them. Ethiopia wont collapse but we will see the end of TPLF and possible occupation of tigray region.
TPLF cannot sustain a long bloody war. What the TPLF tried to do is blitzkrieg all the way to Addis Ababa then negotiate from a position of strength, which is why they ignored western Tigray but captured Amhara and Afar cities on the road to Addis.
Anyway it did not work, now they have nothing left. It is countdown to Mekele.
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