That's after two weeks of bombardments and infantry movements. Remember @xabashi initial claiming that Tigray would be finished in few days? Waiting for her third and forth re-assessment.
Now federal troops will be fighting in the heart of Tigray. The terrain is hilly/mountainous which is an advantage for TPLF. I didn't see federal artillery being moved to the front lines. That's what is usually used to soften enemy's defense lines before infantry assault.
Here is the landscape around the towns of Shire and Alamata in Tigray where the fighting is taking place at the moment. It won't be a cake walk for feds.
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Read carefully what I said. I said I will update my prediction as the data comes in. That’s what sane people do. Emotional people like many here only tell us their wishes without considering facts on the ground, I said first 3 days knowing very well the capacity of the northern command but after new information came that TPLF attacked it during sleep and looted weapons I had to adjust my prediction. Otherwise it would be stupid not to consider hard facts. So I said 2 weeks (max 3). Now we are nearing the 2 weeks and also the army is nearing Mekele. So my prediction is realistic. Today new information came that TPLF has destroyed 4 bridges and a road to Mekele to slow down the advancement of the army. I may consider this data in my prediction of course but I have to wait more data to understand the real impact of this act.
I may be off by 1 or 2 weeks but that will be way better than of all here talking their wishful thinking and saying this war will go for years or Ethiopia will be disintegrated blah blah nonsense.
Btw, the defense minister today agreed with me and said he expects to end the operation in the coming 10-15 days. That is realistic in my view.