Young Popeye
Call me pops
I was thinking of the final solution, of course they'll fight to keep leaching off Oromo lands and labour. Addis was going to be expanded and that's what kicked off the protests, Oromo didn't want a population replacement and land grabbing. Oromo going to fight this, it's in the centre of their land and the people most desperate for control of it are the same people who've massacred and sidelined them for centuries/decades. Tigray are a tiny minority and will fall if USA withdraws support and they might if the mass killings get to a point where they can't call it a stampede or blame the protesters any more, US wants a good image in Africa. Amhara would have to get support to be able to do any damage, but Oromo and Somalis are never going to accept them and I suspect a lot of other ethnic groups too because of their grave mistakes in the past.
Oromos stole those lands so nobody is leaching off anything. The main reason Amharas despise Tigray is because Oromia region was granted which meant the destruction of Ethiopia historically. There's no ethnic group that has supported Oromo the most, then Tigray but now they will lose that support because of their greed for more power. US hates Oromo and Amhara therefore none of these groups will get support from western countries. The British always favoured Tigray to rule Ethiopia due to their historic ties with Axum empire. If Tigray decided to allow Somali region independence, the Americans would threaten to annex Tigray region themselves. Geopolitics here is deeper then what it seems.