Ethiopia is exposed

[Idilinaa]

Wasn’t she the queen that the king of adal and Abyssinia fought a duel over?

I don't know , the first time i actually heard of her. I doubt they would fight a duel over a single women, that seems like some medieval European practice. She must have been really important if they did.

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

I have known for years that Ethiopia's agricultural data is bullshit. Anyone who knows anything about agricultural transformation could see that Ethiopia had not implemented the best practices of the Green Revolution.

Ethiopia is a city-state with a desperately poor periphery. Ethiopia outside of Addis is probably poorer than Somalia.

 

[Keep it a boqol]

I have known for years that Ethiopia's agricultural data is bullshit. Anyone who knows anything about agricultural transformation could see that Ethiopia had not implemented the best practices of the Green Revolution.

Ethiopia is a city-state with a desperately poor periphery. Ethiopia outside of Addis is probably poorer than Somalia.

Ok so for the last 5+ years they been lying on data and bolsting and continue to get loans and projects what’s gonna happen?

they’re just going to continue to get loans or is there going to be an economic implosion?

 

[Thegoodshepherd]

Ok so for the last 5+ years they been lying on data and bolsting and continue to get loans and projects what’s gonna happen?

they’re just going to continue to get loans or is there going to be an economic implosion?

Remote sensing and AI have made it easier than ever to find out what has been planted and what the expected yield is. CME futures traders have developed these methods to speculate on food prices. If USDA says Ethiopia is lying, then it is lying.

Their growth rates have been inflated for decades.
The IMF did a massive downward revision of their GDP in the October 2024 WEO. This was probably a condition of Ethiopia getting the $3.4 billion loan in July of this year. Some of it is likely to be due to the devaluation of the Birr.

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GDP figures for 2025 have been revised down~50%! Crazy

 

[Keep it a boqol]

Remote sensing and AI have made it easier than ever to find out what has been planted and what the expected yield is. CME futures traders have developed these methods to speculate on food prices. If USDA says Ethiopia is lying, then it is lying.

Damn that’s crazy. Whats going to material occur then in Ethiopia? Great depression? worse economic conditions?

 

[motivation]

The US based organizations after a few honest Ethiopian intellectuals were the first to call BS on it and call attention to fact the Ethiopian government pushes fake growth estimates and overly exaggerated agricultural output

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https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/5q47rn72z/tm70pd08x/n5840d235/production.pdf

I think the Aid organizations like USDA have a vested interest in knowing the real food production capacities of the country since they were the ones supplying the country with food amidst of famine and food shortages.

But you are right, it's surprising nonetheless that an American mainstream news outlet like the Economist is covering this.

How’s Somalia doing in HDI compared to Ethiopia? I can’t seem find any accurate up to date figures on our HDI