Exclduing city states or oil economies, All successful development stories have 3 things in common;
low fertility (so local savings)
electricity (so it can have manufacturing)
literacy (so can industrialise)
Countries where half the population are children, grow at about 1% per capita (like the UK in its sluggish industrial Revolution).
Countries where fertility rates drop from 3-5 to 2-3, and get a ratio of 2.5 adults per kid, grow at 3-5% per capita
A large reason Somalis can't afford to reduce fertility is due to fear of Ethiopia and the population disparity, which is justified. Somaliweyn is the only way a Somali state will get the economies of scale (32m) and feels secure enough to reduce fertility, which is what will kickstart actual national development. The two are intertwined.
low fertility (so local savings)
electricity (so it can have manufacturing)
literacy (so can industrialise)
Countries where half the population are children, grow at about 1% per capita (like the UK in its sluggish industrial Revolution).
Countries where fertility rates drop from 3-5 to 2-3, and get a ratio of 2.5 adults per kid, grow at 3-5% per capita
A large reason Somalis can't afford to reduce fertility is due to fear of Ethiopia and the population disparity, which is justified. Somaliweyn is the only way a Somali state will get the economies of scale (32m) and feels secure enough to reduce fertility, which is what will kickstart actual national development. The two are intertwined.