The U.S.-backed Kurdish SDF rebels are being handed territories by Assad. Assad is strategically waiting for the SDF and HTS to become embroiled in conflict.
Once HTS becomes entangled and battle-fatigued, Assad likely plans to capitalize on the situation. His forces have retreated from these areas with minimal resistance and without sustaining much damage, preserving their strength and structure.
From a strategic perspective, it’s not the worst move. Assad is clearly betting on the two sides fighting, and once both are weakened, he will likely focus all his strength on HTS and their allies. Flanking operations will likely begin with air support from Russia.
Once HTS becomes entangled and battle-fatigued, Assad likely plans to capitalize on the situation. His forces have retreated from these areas with minimal resistance and without sustaining much damage, preserving their strength and structure.
From a strategic perspective, it’s not the worst move. Assad is clearly betting on the two sides fighting, and once both are weakened, he will likely focus all his strength on HTS and their allies. Flanking operations will likely begin with air support from Russia.