Syria Updates: The Fall of Bashar al-Assad

Israel won, I predict Syria will turn into something like post-Gaddafi Libya or worse. It will be a nation perpetually divided by sectarian squabbles that will be fueled on the sidelines by Israel and the US/Turkey. The US will continue to occupy Syria & steal from Syria's oil + gas reserves, farmland, & other natural resources.

Turkey will probably annex land from Syria's north, Israel from the South, it's also GGs for Hezbollah, it's no coincidence all this coincided the moment the ceasefire was implemented with Israel.

Palestine is finished, no one's going to help them, they're all on their own now.




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Somali Saayid

Nabad & Nolol
VIP


Israel is destroying all the remaining Assad weapons stockpiles to prevent them from falling into the hands of literally anyone.
Assad confirmed alive by Russia, most likely in Tehran or Moscow.


Netanyahu is just as happy as his friend @Galool he also claims he helped the rebels out by distracting hezbollah and Iran from Syria.
 

Aurelian

Forza Somalia!
VIP
Its a lot simpler. Bashar ran out of money. 🇸🇾 run at the top by a tiny Alawite minority and a middle class of sunni uncle Tom's paid for muscle. bashar kept paying the alawites and cut corners on the paychecks for the sunni seculars. No ideology. So they gave up to the islamists.

If HTS dont improve the economy and try to implement Sharia Law across the country you will see the Alawi/Christian/Middle class Sunni create an Assad 2.0
You know why Iran and Hezbullah didn't fight for him, because they were certain that he talked to Israel and passed on infos for isreal.
 
These people are too shortsighted to see the aftereffects of this.

It's begun, like an exact re-enactment of the USC hordes in Mogadishu, we can get mad as much as we want, but these countries using Somalia as a failed State example of not what to do when it comes to state building aren't exactly lying if we're being honest with ourselves.



 

Idilinaa

inactive
It's begun, like an exact re-enactment of the USC hordes in Mogadishu, we can get mad as much as we want, but these countries using Somalia as a failed State example of not what to do when it comes to state building aren't exactly lying if we're being honest with ourselves.




It's not really about a lesson in state building. It's a lesson in proxy wars and transition of power you can see what happen in Libya that how it's gonna become more or less.

Unless the toppling of government comes through a real local populous resistance with a regime plan , it is bound to not succeed, especially with that many foreign states having their hand in the cookie jar.

You can't have foreign countries invade, funding and arming factions that destabilize a country to ensure their own geo-political interests and then call that country a failed state. So neither Libya, Syria or Somalia is a failed state. A regime change has to happen from within not from without.
 
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