The Case for Jubaland Independence
- Thread starter Abaq
- Start date
Have you forgotten that Jubaland Somalis never had any interest in independence to begin with? It doesn't matter if Jubaland was potentially economically viable, so would an independent Puntland/Majeerteen kingdom yet none of them cared for that, only a united Somalia matter.
It may be hard to believe, but Somalis born from the 1880s-1930s weren't nearly as qabilist as the Somalis today. Secessionism is literally a modern phenomena. Its easy to claim how things should have been in hindsight but you neglect to understand the political, social and cultural context of early-mid 20th century Somalia.
They were less qabili and had far better social relations back in the day no doubt, how or why that ended is as clear as bloody day, they were put into one state, one govt, something never experimented before. Infact I've seen this quite systemic not just in govt but even in social things where there is an element of management or leadership like diaspora groups, sporting groups, women's groups, youth groups.
Now why extend these people pain when it's clear they don't like ruling one another. I think that's the cruelest thing you can do.
Abaq
VIP
Reer Jubaland have no issues with each other. It’s only foreigners in towns such as Caabudwaaq that have issues
Delusional
The biggest issue in all of this is your inability to liberate JL from the Khawarij.
Why place expectations on the FGS to support your campaign against AS or complain about obstacles to your efforts when millions of Ogadens across the border in the SR are armed with Ethiopian backing? And another million+ able bodied men in NFD? You also have the support of Kenya, while the FGS is bullied by both nations. You can do it with your kinsmen alone but you have no proper clan unity.
The failure to turn JL into the paradise you envision lies squarely with the Ogaden themselves, not anyone else. It’s always easier to blame outsiders than to hold yourselves accountable. There’s no point in running from the problem when it will still be there, even if you escape the hellhole you’ll always be tied to.
Why place expectations on the FGS to support your campaign against AS or complain about obstacles to your efforts when millions of Ogadens across the border in the SR are armed with Ethiopian backing? And another million+ able bodied men in NFD? You also have the support of Kenya, while the FGS is bullied by both nations. You can do it with your kinsmen alone but you have no proper clan unity.
The failure to turn JL into the paradise you envision lies squarely with the Ogaden themselves, not anyone else. It’s always easier to blame outsiders than to hold yourselves accountable. There’s no point in running from the problem when it will still be there, even if you escape the hellhole you’ll always be tied to.
Abaq
VIP
We appreciate all criticism. Like you we are also aware of the current challenges and possible shortcomings that might exist. The terrorist issue is complex. Unfortunately, we haven’t had the time and space to focus on the terrorists. The plan was to capture Kismayo first then continue to Bu’ale. However, unfortunately as soon as Kismayo was liberated Villa Somalia attacked Kismayo and has spent the past 12 years either directly attacking or preparing for an attack. We can’t fight on two fronts
Ok I want you to imagine a scenario, you’re at the voting booth in 2026 or 2031 and it’s between HSM and Deni, who you voting for and why?
If we have actual democracy and either of them win or they are the only two candidates who can win, I will kill myself. I will only accept them as leaders if it’s out of the everyday persons control.
It is truly depressing
I think some people have a problem interpreting one persons view as the most popular one. Kinda like the somaliland nuts, now we have @Abaq Who Ive had my suspicions about peddling this Bs.
neither because if those two are the only options somalia as a country is finished. finished.
when it comes nfd and dds you say we are busy developing land and happy with arrangement. when it comes to somalia its always splitting up land like its that simple and wont result in massive civil war. fgs is weak yet everyone always blaming them for all their problems. this is atmis couple days ago bragging about providing security in middle shabelle lol.
people in jubbaland live in alternative reality 1/3 under kenya, 1/3 under ethiopia, and 1/3 under al shabab. then kisamyo under madobe. everyone got scapegoat and saying things life if it wasnt for kenya i would be king of jubbaland lol. but when ethiopia shutting down airports and arresting somali citizens in gedo i dont hear peep. and vice versa for areas under kenya
people in jubbaland live in alternative reality 1/3 under kenya, 1/3 under ethiopia, and 1/3 under al shabab. then kisamyo under madobe. everyone got scapegoat and saying things life if it wasnt for kenya i would be king of jubbaland lol. but when ethiopia shutting down airports and arresting somali citizens in gedo i dont hear peep. and vice versa for areas under kenya
If secessionists in Somaliland are rewarded by the federal government and praised for holding democratic elections and establishing a governance system aimed at separating from Somalia, Jubaland should also adopt a similar approach. The next administration, with Ahmed Mohamed Islam as the leading candidate, is predicted to continue his presidency based on current data and public sentiment. The elections in Jubaland are fair and transparent, further legitimizing the governance process.
To strengthen this foundation, the new administration must ensure that government authority and services reach all areas of Jubaland. 1M1V elections will be conducted to reinforce inclusivity and local representation. Following this, the government will engage with citizens to share its vision of transforming Jubaland into an independent republic, building trust and confidence among its people. Based on my extensive experience and analysis, I am confident that Jubaland will achieve independence far sooner than the 30 years it took Somaliland to reach its current stage.
To strengthen this foundation, the new administration must ensure that government authority and services reach all areas of Jubaland. 1M1V elections will be conducted to reinforce inclusivity and local representation. Following this, the government will engage with citizens to share its vision of transforming Jubaland into an independent republic, building trust and confidence among its people. Based on my extensive experience and analysis, I am confident that Jubaland will achieve independence far sooner than the 30 years it took Somaliland to reach its current stage.
Tiyeglow
A Laandheere always pays his debts
That is because there was a direct and new enemy/opposition which had to be defeated in mostly everyone's interest. Today, that enemy/opposition is dependent on who feeds you and who doesn't. 1940-1960 was an unprecedented time which we will never go back to. Somalia is more of a concept than a reality, to unite all Somalis is a dream long gone. All these political possibilities just goes to show how bleak our future prospects are, its quite depressing really. What I'd do to live in the last century.
I think you have deluded yourself into thinking your own nonsense is fact.
Abaq
VIP
Arrintaas Xiriirland ka ahow. You clearly don't know much about Jubaland.
How many KDF bases are there in Jubaland? How many have they left in the past 2 years? Geriley, Buulo Xaaji, Kudhaa, Buur Gaabo etc all bases left by KDF and currently controlled by Jubaland alone. Not to mention impotant towns such as Janaay Cabdalla and the whole corridor to Afmadow that was opened by Jubaland alone and manned by Jubaland alone.
We don't need FGS or ATMIS to survive unlike the paper states and FGS
Hell so far being separatists actually improves cooperation with the FGS. SL has indiscriminately shelled pro-government regions and sold land to Ethiopia with no problems.
The FMS are at war over the audacity of controlling their own elections(which happens even in the USA). Can you blame people for feeling like we should seperate?
This is similiar to what @Arkan said and an answer was already provided but you need to be walked through it.
Aid is vital in Somalia so constant obstruction is naturally a problem. JL pushed AS further in the last 1-2 years then in the prior 6 due to temporary peace with the FGS. The same FGS had just attempted: complete sanctions, obstructed flights, rejected JLs share of international training, armed opposition militias, funded breakaway subclan regions, obstructed aid projects, established parallel admins etc in JL.
Highlighting that endless hostility with the FGS as an obstacle or contemplating solutions for it isnt ‘scapegoating’. We are literally devolved back into a potential political war because Hawiyes want Afmadows mayor picked in Wardhiigley.
Since when was KDF shutting down airports and arresting citizens? KDF doesnt ‘control’ JL any more then Atmis controls the FGS.
Gedo is a complex region itself and Ethiopia is a unique enemy you cant just map their relationship onto ours with Atmis.
Hotchick12
VIP
as if jilib ain’t free anc you want independence lol
This is sort of how colonization works lol, they all had agreements..... until they didn't.
Go to a Cree or Cherokee 'Indian' and they will reference some dusty old paper a British official wrote up that recognizes them as some sort of sovereign chiefdom. Just take the L - they should've listened to the Sayyid.
"We weren't colonized like the rest of them. Bro - I swear it was an agreement, it even has the seal of the British crown. Look at the detailed map they drew up - why would they lie? You just don't get it. This is legit. Bro...."
Even in theory, Jubbaland can't play into the ictiraaf/independence political game like its counterparts. Unlike Somaliland and Puntland, Jubbaland is the home base of a group that lays direct claims to ruling Somalia and are actively at war with the federal gov - the dynamic is not the same. The issue of Jubbaland is a national security threat.
Any Somali president worth their own salt would have Jubbaland infiltrated/surrounded by air and by land but alas, the airport of the capital city is guarded by Ugandans.
Any Somali president worth their own salt would have Jubba
Trending
-
Horn Africans are migrating to South Africa in large numbers
- Started by Chaseyourdreamzz
- Replies: 47
-
Matt Walsh says Somalis are low IQ, "Ilhan Omar comes from one of the most dangerous, violent, poorest countries on earth."- Started by capricornqueen
- Replies: 52
