Abiy Ahmed Has Lost It!

Juke

Asagu/Asaga
VIP
It's gonna be Eritrea. They signed MOUs with the Russian navy for port access. America will green light anything that keeps Russia down, maybe even an annex by Ethiopia.
 
It's gonna be Eritrea. They signed MOUs with the Russian navy for port access. America will green light anything that keeps Russia down, maybe even an annex by Ethiopia.

I highly doubt Ethiopia will succeed, even if the US green light such operation. You have to remember that it was Tigrayans who were the mastermind of ENDF during its peak. Despite this, the big Ethiopia-Eritrea war in the 90/00s lead to a stalemate.

Now, after the Tigray war, they're in a state of despair. Most of the Tigrayan generals and army personnel (the most experienced in ENDF) defected. Many of the advanced/sophisticated military equipments were stored in their region. A significant of remaining arsenal have been depleted in the Tigray war.

ENDF even had to continuously be re-supplied by Iran, China, Turkey and UAE in attempt to gain upper hand. Despite this, ENDF with FANO couldn't even gain advantage of Tigrayans. Not to mention how many military personnel they've lost. After broken promises, Amharas surely won't fight for him again.

What makes you think that Eritrean territories will be annexed?
 
I highly doubt Ethiopia will succeed, even if the US green light such operation. You have to remember that it was Tigrayans who were the mastermind of ENDF during its peak. Despite this, the big Ethiopia-Eritrea war in the 90/00s lead to a stalemate.

Now, after the Tigray war, they're in a state of despair. Most of the Tigrayan generals and army personnel (the most experienced in ENDF) defected. Many of the advanced/sophisticated military equipments were stored in their region. A significant of remaining arsenal have been depleted in the Tigray war.

ENDF even had to continuously be re-supplied by Iran, China, Turkey and UAE in attempt to gain upper hand. Despite this, ENDF with FANO couldn't even gain advantage of Tigrayans. Not to mention how many military personnel they've lost. After broken promises, Amharas surely won't fight for him again.

What makes you think that Eritrean territories will be annexed?
The west/gcc want war with Eritrea just look at the amount of military cargo in 8 days time UAE brought to Ethiopia. Even the tigrayans couldn’t defeat Eritreans even after using 115k human wave attacks, the current ENDF is depleted and weak it took a combined EDF,Amhara,Afar, Liyuu to defeat TPLF.

Afwerki is also waging a proxy war inside of Ethiopia using Fano. Abiy disbanded Liyuu police’s for a reason his army was decimated fighting TPLF and he needs new soldiers hopefully the Somalis don’t become cannon fodder, right now their overstretched fighting Fano and OLF at the same time.
 

Nin123

Hunted
VIP
Mate eth
He has pissed of Eritrea, Djibouti and Somalia with his tirades of delusions. He already has a longstanding beef with Egypt over the dam. Sudan are allied with Egypt.

How hard can it be for us all to unite and put an end to the failed project of Ethiopia? I'm sure many Ethiopians would join us and be on the right side of history :mjlaugh:
Mate Ethiopia had several civil wars and still didn’t break up. Let’s face it Ethiopia here to stay for long term while Somalia in less than 10 years will disappear. Each Somali is more loyal to his clan more than the country itself.
 
Mate eth

Mate Ethiopia had several civil wars and still didn’t break up. Let’s face it Ethiopia here to stay for long term while Somalia in less than 10 years will disappear. Each Somali is more loyal to his clan more than the country itself.
Yeah the west will keep Ethiopia together. Somalia won’t survive in the long term. We are far from the teachings of our nabi and too tribalistic I get the feeling Ethiopia will invade Somalila.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
Ethiopia annexing Somalia would be the dumbest thing ever. Literally asking to get replaced. Eritrea makes the most sense, but even then, Abiy would get the Saddam treatment, land grabs are a big no-no.

Having said that if they are stupid enough to go for it, I would welcome a confederation with Ethiopia on the lines of something like Senegambia, just as long as Galbeed is administered by Somalia, and there are border controls.
 

Kizaru

Cast in the name of God Ye not Guilty
Abiy ahmed is the single most dumbest person in the HOA. This guy has his entire country crumbling but wishes for war. If thats what he wants then we should give it to him.
Somalia should just fund separatists in each region
 
Ethiopia annexing Somalia would be the dumbest thing ever. Literally asking to get replaced. Eritrea makes the most sense, but even then, Abiy would get the Saddam treatment, land grabs are a big no-no.

Having said that if they are stupid enough to go for it, I would welcome a confederation with Ethiopia on the lines of something like Senegambia, just as long as Galbeed is administered by Somalia, and there are border controls.

Agreeing to a confederacy with Ethiopia would a slippery-slope move, as you don't know what the future awaits you.

In this speech, Abiy mentioned a common army that will be stationed along the Indian Ocean and Red Sea. Given Ethiopia's dominance in the region, it would mean that they would most likely lead the army when you take into account how much personnel and finance they can contribute.

Considering this, it be we practically impossible to withdraw from such a union. Abiy is already disputing the legality of historical agreements indirectly, such as Eritrea's succession from Ethiopia.

I'm in favor of moving control of DDS from Ethiopia, but if it comes at the expense of putting Somalia's sovereignty in question, would be a grave mistake.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
Agreeing to a confederacy with Ethiopia would a slippery-slope move, as you don't know what the future awaits you.

In this speech, Abiy mentioned a common army that will be stationed along the Indian Ocean and Red Sea. Given Ethiopia's dominance in the region, it would mean that they would most likely lead the army when you take into account how much personnel and finance they can contribute.

Considering this, it be we practically impossible to withdraw from such a union. Abiy is already disputing the legality of historical agreements indirectly, such as Eritrea's succession from Ethiopia.

I'm in favor of moving control of DDS from Ethiopia, but if it comes at the expense of putting Somalia's sovereignty in question, would be a grave mistake.
Nothing ventured, nothing gained. Just like how Turkey's historical mission was taking Constantinople and converting Anatolia, and Russia's mission being ending Nomadism in the Eurasian steppes, the Islamization of Abyssinia is the Somali metahistory.

It's a risk, but it should be taken.
 
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World

VIP
Abiy Ahmed addressed the parliament again. He went on another deranged (diplomatically speaking) rant. Here's some of things he mentioned





What do y'all think about a confederation of Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Eritrea?

Give back Galbeed and I agree
 
Nothing ventured, nothing gained. The Islamization of Abyssinia is the Somali metahistory.

Right now, unfortunately, a Somali's worst enemy is a fellow Somali due to clannism. We need unity amongst ourselves before we destine on that Islamic journey and unite with other Muslims.

You suggested Somalia 'administering' galbeed in your post, but if they recognize it as part of the sovereign territory of Somalia, as @World mentioned, then it would be incentivizing. But nothing less than that.
 

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