Al shabab planning on fasting in xamar by the 15th

Shimbiris

بىَر غىَل إيؤ عآنؤ لؤ
VIP
Taliban negotiated with the USA and some of their scholars were writing books in Qatar conceptualising how their governance would like. They actively sought to convince China,Russia, India etc, that their rule would bring no harm and there was no desire for expansion.

Shabab is still following the salafi jihadi model. Unless they pivot to a more pragmatic approach and move away from AQ vision like the HTS in Syria, there is a huge risk of Somalia getting hitting with sanctions and being cut off from the world ( should they takeover).

Here's to hoping that when they come to power they hold a press conference and say the west's favourite flirting words like Jolani did... Free. Markets.

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Afghanistan is better than somalia idiot. The taliban literally doing massive infrastructure projects in thier country while at the same time strengthening their military.
People hate AS for its brutality. If they were like the Taliban they would have won the civil war in 2013. As for things as they exist, the clans will hold them back from the capital.
 
Here's to hoping that when they come to power they hold a press conference and say the west's favourite flirting words like Jolani did... Free. Markets.

Pray I Hope GIF
There is zero percent chance of America making peace with an open AQ affiliate that celebrates 9/11 every year like eid and has a monument to Bin Laden in Jilib, even if they sell the sand of liido beach to Wall Street. Don’t compare HTS or the Taliban to AS, it proves you know nothing.

America is still killing Hurras members even though they dissolved.
 
There is zero percent chance of America making peace with an open AQ affiliate that celebrates 9/11 every year like eid and has a monument to Bin Laden in Jilib, even if they sell the sand of liido beach to Wall Street. Don’t compare HTS or the Taliban to AS, it proves you know nothing.

America is still killing Hurras members even though they dissolved.
he was being sarcastic.🤣 Grab your Suhoor abti
 

Shimbiris

بىَر غىَل إيؤ عآنؤ لؤ
VIP
he was being sarcastic.🤣 Grab your Suhoor abti

It's genuinely weird how aggressive folks get toward random people they don't know and have never met on an internet forum where people are clearly trolling more than half the time. 💀
 
It's genuinely weird how aggressive folks get toward random people they don't know and have never met on an internet forum where people are clearly trolling more than half the time. 💀
We are genetically predisposed to be on the lookout for rattlesnakes, camel robbers and scorpions. Irony, Sarcasm, you infidel:

IMG_1461.jpeg
 
But in all seriousness, what is your opinion on how things will play out if Shabab does claim the capital?
Shabaab is just a mafia group. HSM knows it’s time to submit to the IC how the country should go forward with the election process. Remember the IC wants “inclusiveness” (all regions have to be involved and agree including PL/JL).

I believe the deadline for this is in a couple of months. HSM made agreements with shabaab to take over the south so he could use it as a pretext to extend this deadline simply by virtue of fighting shabaab.
 
But in all seriousness, what is your opinion on how things will play out if Shabab does claim the capital?
I am not sure bro. Somali clans and politics is too fluid to analyse. Hamar is also not the same as administering the countryside and smaller cities. Life has changed in Muqdisho in the last years. Just look at how most young people dress, and I don’t even mean it from a western or religious perspective, I mean people are more tied to what is going on globally and social media. Muqdisho feels a lot more like a modern city with more activities to partake in. (again, I don’t mean from a religious perspective). shabab comes in and starts banning music, stopping football etc, regulating trouser length, I think there will be a reaction. That is, if they reach Muqdisho. I think they maybe testing their capabilities and using psychological warfare with these sudden attacks.

On the other hand, one can’t deny they have sympathisers across Somalia and their model seems satisfying to some.
 

Shimbiris

بىَر غىَل إيؤ عآنؤ لؤ
VIP
Shabaab is just a mafia group. HSM knows it’s time to submit to the IC how the country should go forward with the election process. Remember the IC wants “inclusiveness” (all regions have to be involved and agree including PL/JL).

I believe the deadline for this is in a couple of months. HSM made agreements with shabaab to take over the south so he could use it as a pretext to extend this deadline simply by virtue of fighting shabaab.

Won't lie, @Burqad is not entirely incorrect that I'm a bit out of my element with them. I'm more familiar with the politics up north like PL. But this was indeed my general impression of them. I've been told frequently by relations with business holdings in Koonfur that they essentially operate like a mafia where they'll visit business owners and basically work out a "You pay us canshuur and we don't bomb you" agreement with them. Typical mafia type extortion. Was also told they sell drugs? Legit found all this wild when one considers the supposed religiosity they claim.
 

FBIsomalia

True Puntlander
VIP
The troops just haven’t been paid in 3 months and morale is very low with it being Ramadan .

you know when abiy Ahmed came to xamar the police station was raided by the army and all the guns and other valuables were stolen so they can be sold for food.

the damn police are running low on guns and bullets now

that’s the state of affairs and people think Somalia can handle it self without help from the AU . lol
South Somalia only cant handle it, North Somalia ( Puntland - SSC and SL ) Terrorist has no place in our lands.
 
According to Askari the only hope for the city is AU forces right now, without them xamar would have been taken looooooong ago

but Al shabab are certain they plan of leading taraweeh in xamar on the 15th
Idk about that but Im aware that they might try to activate their sleeper cells in the city and carry out attacks, to take xamar they’d need thousands of fighters mustering there, and that doesn’t seem likely due to the other fronts.
 

IKHALIIL

WW3 ENJOYER
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Breaking the siege imposed by the government on galmudug is more of a priority than attacking a capital that has multiple bases both within and around it supported by direct air and land support from just a few kilometres away and no possibility of shutting down telecommunications.
 

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