CC votes will go towards HSM making his total 125, since he dropped out in the second round voting.
Here is were my prediction is that Shariif will rally and get ahead of Farmaajo in this round, with Ossoble's votes including minority going for him, the deal between Farmaajo and Shariif is in this round, whoever gets the highest will become President.
HSM crew is hoping for a final showdown with Farmaajo, they feel they can win that comfortably but not against Shariif, Farmaajo is basically relying on none-darood votes here to win, much of the Darood vote has gone against him as predicted so far.
Much of P/land will be voting for HSM because they want the PM position, DIINI/CC combined have like 50 or so votes, that's a maximum 150 for HSM, still not enough to win this in the final from a possible 329 total votes.
The reason HSM is hoping for a showdown with Farmaajo is due to his unpopularity with DIR, D&M blocks, including South-West and P/land, even half of J/land, including the obvious fear mongering of Darood presidency on top of this.
I just can't see Farmaajo winning unless something dramatic happens, this would mean P/land doing a 360 and I cannot see P/land MP's doing this, they would rather get the PM post then sacrifice for change, it's never about Somalia for these elites, just their own.