plus in any event Ethiopia was to invade and annex Assab, Egypt and all other countries who are part of the Redsea council they would block Ethiopian forces access to the sea
Egypt controls the entire Suez canal
Btw what's your thoughts on this analysis i shared?
1- Egypt will strongly reject, simply because Ethiopia presence in the Red Sea will touch Cairo national security
2- Eritrea too will not allow as it see Ethiopia as a threat to it’s sovereignty and national security and any attempt to have Ethiopia boots on the Red Sea water will boost it’s distress
3- Djibouti GDP and domestic revenue significantly relays on Ethiopia usage of its port infrastructure as it has heavily invested on that and any Addis aim to get red sea will not be welcomed and that will be national security threat.
4- UAE whom we understand support Abiy economically will also reject his dream unless they are part of that destructive agenda, since it has invested on Berbera purely for Ethiopia market and any attempt to derail their outlay will not work
5- Houthis will confront Ethiopia as it could sense Israel presence in the event Abiy manage to acquire sea. It will also encourage Houthis to support and provide missiles to the arm groups like Al-Shabab, ISIS, and any other nationalist movements to fight off Addis’s attempt to access the Red Sea.
View attachment 351211