Ethiopia: From Role Model to Cautionary Tale
- Thread starter Shamis
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Bro, if you're going to copy and paste entire articles, can you please just paste the link instead? I actually take time to read them thinking it's your own writing.
yup you caught me!
I'm sorry about that! I post the entire article because people don't read the links and then start arguing over summaries.
It's all good bro.
Just copy and paste a few paragraphs, that exemplify what you found interesting/want people to know about the link, and than the link beneath.
or above of course.
Young Popeye
Call me pops
@Cadmus i think your trolling or know nothing about history, so you make it up as you go along. this is the 1887 war https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Chelenqo you said egypt is going to destroy the dam and now hawiye created harar, i like this drug 
Nice intellectual reply, you completely bypassed all the evidence I laid out.
The harari's are intermarried GUEST'S of the Hawiye.
Egypt has already bought Assaba, Berbera, Bosasso (through UAE.) You're done. Harar will be the least of your worries by June.
That's all I'm going to say to you, as I should know better than arguing with a lying habashi/wannabe habashi..
We're done here.
Dire Dewa's son
Malik Obama 4 president.
I love the internet.
Where pseudo history and misguided pride all call home. 
but keep teaching fam. We all takin notes
on you.The Oromo's are going for the biggest raw nerve of the ethiopian government, foreign OWNED businesses, and it's creating massive panic in Addis, with a split between the old and new guard of the ruling party, as to how to deal with the protesting in the long term.
All ambassadors have been ORDERED to stay within Addis. Officially, this is for "their own safety," but unofficially, it's to keep foreign ambassadors from seeing all the carnage that has been done to foreign owned business, as the ethiopians are afraid that Germany will back out of the $500 million earmarked for industrial jobs and job creation for EU bound migrants."
Here's a little secret that Egypt just found out, Ethiopia were never going to create jobs for migrants with those $500 million, they were going to get MORE loans in the form of export credit from China, than keep the $500 million to pay off the Grand Renaissance Dam. Egypt found out, and the Oromo's were set in play by the Egyptian/GCC/Israeli/Jordanian coalition. If more businesses are destroyed, Germany will reconsider and divert that money to Algeria instead.
https://www.africaintelligence.com/...firms,108185514-BRE?CXT=CANP&country=ETHIOPIA
The Grand Renaissance Dam, is also starting to cause many problems, which worries the ruling party in ethiopia, as they both know that a compromise will never be found. Egypt and their allies won't give up drinking water, and ethiopia can't take such a massively FOREIGN DEBT leveraged project off-line. If Egypt compromises, millions will die of thirst and HUNGER, if ethiopia compromises, the country will have to default financially which means internal anarchy. There will never be a compromise. Unless Egypt et al, reimburse ethiopia $5 Billion, which I highly doubt.
https://www.africaintelligence.com/...nce-Dam-Egypt-Sudan?CXT=CANP&country=ETHIOPIA
"Ethiopia has learned the the hard way that it cannot do as it pleases where its neighbours are concerned in the same way it does at home."
"Not only has the 6,000 MW GERD costing $4.7 billion, always been strongly contested by Egypt, it has also brought financial problems, as repaying the loans exacerbates the country's lack of foreign currency and disgruntles importers.
Let the greatest show on earth begin.
All ambassadors have been ORDERED to stay within Addis. Officially, this is for "their own safety," but unofficially, it's to keep foreign ambassadors from seeing all the carnage that has been done to foreign owned business, as the ethiopians are afraid that Germany will back out of the $500 million earmarked for industrial jobs and job creation for EU bound migrants."
Here's a little secret that Egypt just found out, Ethiopia were never going to create jobs for migrants with those $500 million, they were going to get MORE loans in the form of export credit from China, than keep the $500 million to pay off the Grand Renaissance Dam. Egypt found out, and the Oromo's were set in play by the Egyptian/GCC/Israeli/Jordanian coalition. If more businesses are destroyed, Germany will reconsider and divert that money to Algeria instead.
https://www.africaintelligence.com/...firms,108185514-BRE?CXT=CANP&country=ETHIOPIA
The Grand Renaissance Dam, is also starting to cause many problems, which worries the ruling party in ethiopia, as they both know that a compromise will never be found. Egypt and their allies won't give up drinking water, and ethiopia can't take such a massively FOREIGN DEBT leveraged project off-line. If Egypt compromises, millions will die of thirst and HUNGER, if ethiopia compromises, the country will have to default financially which means internal anarchy. There will never be a compromise. Unless Egypt et al, reimburse ethiopia $5 Billion, which I highly doubt.
https://www.africaintelligence.com/...nce-Dam-Egypt-Sudan?CXT=CANP&country=ETHIOPIA
"Ethiopia has learned the the hard way that it cannot do as it pleases where its neighbours are concerned in the same way it does at home."
"Not only has the 6,000 MW GERD costing $4.7 billion, always been strongly contested by Egypt, it has also brought financial problems, as repaying the loans exacerbates the country's lack of foreign currency and disgruntles importers.
Let the greatest show on earth begin.
Posted this elsewhere, but relevant here.
https://financialtribune.com/articles/world-economy/39044/ethiopia-risks-economic-collapse
The Addis Ababa and London universities don was presenting his paper on foreign direct investment in Ethiopia and credit financing.
“What will happen if they stopped such financing tomorrow? What if, for instance, the Chinese government tomorrow says sell for me Ethio Telecom or sell to me Ethiopian Airlines or give me some share or buy my airplanes, or I will stop such credit financing? The country will collapse, I guarantee you,” he said.
And after the ethiopian economic crash, this will happen...
http://howafrica.com/coming-war-egypt-ethiopia-nile/
"But experts claim Cairo is deadly serious about defending its
historic water allotment, and if Ethiopia proceeds with construction of what is set to become Africa’s largest hydroelectric dam, a military strike cannot be discounted.
Egypt fears the new dam, slated to begin operation in 2017, that it will reduce the downstream flow of the Nile, which 85 million Egyptians rely on for almost all of their water needs. Officials in the Ministry of Irrigation claim Egypt will lose 20 to 30 percent of its share of Nile water and nearly a third of the electricity generated by its Aswan High Dam."
https://financialtribune.com/articles/world-economy/39044/ethiopia-risks-economic-collapse
The Addis Ababa and London universities don was presenting his paper on foreign direct investment in Ethiopia and credit financing.
“What will happen if they stopped such financing tomorrow? What if, for instance, the Chinese government tomorrow says sell for me Ethio Telecom or sell to me Ethiopian Airlines or give me some share or buy my airplanes, or I will stop such credit financing? The country will collapse, I guarantee you,” he said.
And after the ethiopian economic crash, this will happen...
http://howafrica.com/coming-war-egypt-ethiopia-nile/
"But experts claim Cairo is deadly serious about defending its
historic water allotment, and if Ethiopia proceeds with construction of what is set to become Africa’s largest hydroelectric dam, a military strike cannot be discounted.
Egypt fears the new dam, slated to begin operation in 2017, that it will reduce the downstream flow of the Nile, which 85 million Egyptians rely on for almost all of their water needs. Officials in the Ministry of Irrigation claim Egypt will lose 20 to 30 percent of its share of Nile water and nearly a third of the electricity generated by its Aswan High Dam."
U.S. citizens urged to defer travel to Ethiopia: State Department
The U.S. State Department urged U.S. citizens on Friday to defer all non-essential travel to Ethiopia because of ongoing unrest that has killed hundreds of people, led to thousands of arrests and prompted restrictions on diplomatic travel.
The Ethiopian government declared a state of emergency on Oct. 8 and issued a decree on Oct. 15 that permitted the arrest of individuals without court order for some routine activities like attending gatherings and engaging with foreign organizations, the State Department said.
An American woman was killed when her car was stoned earlier this month and foreign-owned factories and equipment were damaged during a wave of protests over land and political rights.
The U.S. State Department urged U.S. citizens on Friday to defer all non-essential travel to Ethiopia because of ongoing unrest that has killed hundreds of people, led to thousands of arrests and prompted restrictions on diplomatic travel.
The Ethiopian government declared a state of emergency on Oct. 8 and issued a decree on Oct. 15 that permitted the arrest of individuals without court order for some routine activities like attending gatherings and engaging with foreign organizations, the State Department said.
An American woman was killed when her car was stoned earlier this month and foreign-owned factories and equipment were damaged during a wave of protests over land and political rights.
Ethiopian unrest triggers collapse in tourism
Protests and state of emergency see bookings to historic sites grind to a halt
https://www.ft.com/content/f051ae48-9a9e-11e6-8f9b-70e3cabccfae
Protests and state of emergency see bookings to historic sites grind to a halt
https://www.ft.com/content/f051ae48-9a9e-11e6-8f9b-70e3cabccfae
US State Department Briefing
QUESTION: If I could ask about Ethiopia. The communications minister has called the State Department’s Travel Advisory absolutely ridiculous, says everything is coming back to normal, and that the state of emergency there is comparable to the U.S. Patriot Act. I’m wondering if you could respond to his assessment of the Travel Advisory and the – whether you think the current conditions in Ethiopia perhaps need to be looked at again.
MR KIRBY: Well, we don’t – look, we don’t issue travel warnings lightly. And when we update them, we do so with great care, because we know people pay attention to them. We want people to pay attention to them. The whole reason we do that is to help inform American citizens about their presence or their travel in various parts of the world, and Ethiopia is no exception.
We have – you may have seen my statement on their declared state of emergency. We continue to be troubled by the impact of the government’s decision to authorize detention without warrant and to further limit freedom of expression, including by blocking internet access, prohibiting public gatherings, and imposing curfews. And this declaration, as I said in my statement, if implemented in these ways, would further enshrine the type of response that has failed to ameliorate the recent political crisis.
So again, this was an updated Travel Warning, but we felt in light of what their own state of emergency declared it was the prudent thing to do. And we do that with nations all over the world.
QUESTION: If I could ask about Ethiopia. The communications minister has called the State Department’s Travel Advisory absolutely ridiculous, says everything is coming back to normal, and that the state of emergency there is comparable to the U.S. Patriot Act. I’m wondering if you could respond to his assessment of the Travel Advisory and the – whether you think the current conditions in Ethiopia perhaps need to be looked at again.
MR KIRBY: Well, we don’t – look, we don’t issue travel warnings lightly. And when we update them, we do so with great care, because we know people pay attention to them. We want people to pay attention to them. The whole reason we do that is to help inform American citizens about their presence or their travel in various parts of the world, and Ethiopia is no exception.
We have – you may have seen my statement on their declared state of emergency. We continue to be troubled by the impact of the government’s decision to authorize detention without warrant and to further limit freedom of expression, including by blocking internet access, prohibiting public gatherings, and imposing curfews. And this declaration, as I said in my statement, if implemented in these ways, would further enshrine the type of response that has failed to ameliorate the recent political crisis.
So again, this was an updated Travel Warning, but we felt in light of what their own state of emergency declared it was the prudent thing to do. And we do that with nations all over the world.
Ethiopia on the brink? Politics and protest in the horn of Africa
Ethiopia is 12 months in to a political crisis which has seen at least 1,000 people killed. But unless the government introduces significant reforms, it will get worse, says Andrea Carboni.
An unprecedented wave of protests has shaken Ethiopia since November last year. These protests have revealed the fragility of the social contract regulating Ethiopia’s political life since 1991, when the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front coalition (EPRDF) overthrew the Derg and assumed power. This tacit agreement between the ruling coalition and the Ethiopian people offered state-sponsored development in exchange for limited political liberalisation. After twenty-five years of EPRDF rule, frustrated with widespread corruption, a political system increasingly perceived as unjust and the unequal gains of economic development, hundreds of thousands of Ethiopians have now descended into the streets, triggering a violent reaction from the state.
As we enter the twelfth month of the uprising, violence shows no sign of decreasing in Ethiopia. In its efforts to put down unrest, the government has allowed the security forces to use lethal violence against the protesters. According to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project, more than one thousand people are estimated to have died as a result of violent state repression since last November. Thousands of people, including prominent opposition leaders and journalists, have been arrested and are currently detained in prison.
International concern
International institutions and non-governmental organisations have expressed major concerns about the deteriorating human rights situation in the country. The UN Human Rights Council called for “international, independent, thorough, impartial and transparent investigations” over the repression in Ethiopia, a request that was swiftly rejected by the government. Ethiopia’s Information Minister instead blamed “foreign elements” linked with the Egyptian and the Eritrean political establishments for instigating the rebellion and arming the opposition.
Rather than stifling dissent, state repression has contributed to escalating protests. Violent riots have increased after the events in Bishoftu on October 2, when a stampede caused by police firing on a protesting crowd killed at least 55 people. In the following days, demonstrators have vandalised factories and flower farms – including many under foreign ownership – accused of profiting from the government’s contested development agenda. An American researcher also died when her vehicle came under attack near Addis Ababa. Although protesters have largely remained peaceful and resorted to non-violent tactics, these episodes of violence raise concerns over escalating trends in the protest movement.
Unrest and repression
The geography of unrest is also telling of the evolving protest cycle in Ethiopia. The protests originated last November in the Oromia region, where the local population mobilised to oppose a government-backed developmental plan which would displace many farmers. The Oromo people, who constitute Ethiopia’s single largest ethnic group,accuse the EPRDF of discriminating against their community, and its local ally, the Oromo People’s Democratic Organisation (OPDO), as being a puppet in the hands of the Tigray-dominated ruling coalition.
Until mid-July, the unrest had largely remained confined to Oromia’s towns and villages. Local tensions around the northern city of Gondar inaugurated a new round of protestsin the Amhara region, where regionalist demands joined the widespread discontent with state repression. In the following weeks, protests spread further into the Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples', the native region of Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, as local communities began to stage anti-government protests. Episodes of communal violence and attacks against churches have been reported in Oromia as well as in other ethnically mixed areas of the country.
Despite increasing dissent, the government seems unwilling to mitigate its repressive measures. Internet access was allegedly shut down in an attempt to hamper the protest movement, which uses online media and social networks to disseminate anti-government information. On October 9, the government introduced a six-month state of emergency, the first time since the ruling EPRDF came to power in 1991. At least 1,600 people are reported to have been detained since the state of emergency was declared, while the Addis Standard, a newspaper critical of the government, was forced to stop publications due to the new restrictions on the press.
Polarised politics: government and opposition
These decisions notwithstanding, it is unclear how the EPRDF can manage to restore the government’s authority and preserve investor confidence by adopting measures that continue to feed resistance. After pressure from German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Hailemariam pledged to reform Ethiopia’s electoral system, which currently allows the EPRDF to control 500 of the 547 seats in Parliament. These limited political concessions are unlikely to satisfy the protesters’ demand for immediate and substantial change, since the proposed reform would only produce effects after the 2020 general elections.
According to the opposition, this is the evidence that the Tigray minority, which dominates the upper echelons of the government and the security apparatus, is unwilling to make any significant concessions in the short term. By labelling the opposition’s demands as racist and even denying their domestic nature, the government is leaving little room for negotiation and compromise and risks contributing to the escalation of the protests.
For over a decade, Ethiopia has been one of the fastest growing economies in Africa. Foreign investments – most notably from China – have funded large-scale infrastructure projects, including the recently inaugurated railway to the port of Djibouti.
The on-going unrest is likely to have a negative impact on Ethiopia’s economy, reducing the country’s considerable appeal among foreign investors and tourists. The demonstrations have revealed the growing discontent of the Ethiopian people, and especially of its disenfranchised youth, over the EPRDF’s authoritarian and unequal rule. The EPRDF therefore needs to implement far-reaching reforms and embrace dialogue with the opposition to prevent the current unrest from deteriorating.
Ethiopia is 12 months in to a political crisis which has seen at least 1,000 people killed. But unless the government introduces significant reforms, it will get worse, says Andrea Carboni.
An unprecedented wave of protests has shaken Ethiopia since November last year. These protests have revealed the fragility of the social contract regulating Ethiopia’s political life since 1991, when the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front coalition (EPRDF) overthrew the Derg and assumed power. This tacit agreement between the ruling coalition and the Ethiopian people offered state-sponsored development in exchange for limited political liberalisation. After twenty-five years of EPRDF rule, frustrated with widespread corruption, a political system increasingly perceived as unjust and the unequal gains of economic development, hundreds of thousands of Ethiopians have now descended into the streets, triggering a violent reaction from the state.
As we enter the twelfth month of the uprising, violence shows no sign of decreasing in Ethiopia. In its efforts to put down unrest, the government has allowed the security forces to use lethal violence against the protesters. According to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project, more than one thousand people are estimated to have died as a result of violent state repression since last November. Thousands of people, including prominent opposition leaders and journalists, have been arrested and are currently detained in prison.
International concern
International institutions and non-governmental organisations have expressed major concerns about the deteriorating human rights situation in the country. The UN Human Rights Council called for “international, independent, thorough, impartial and transparent investigations” over the repression in Ethiopia, a request that was swiftly rejected by the government. Ethiopia’s Information Minister instead blamed “foreign elements” linked with the Egyptian and the Eritrean political establishments for instigating the rebellion and arming the opposition.
Rather than stifling dissent, state repression has contributed to escalating protests. Violent riots have increased after the events in Bishoftu on October 2, when a stampede caused by police firing on a protesting crowd killed at least 55 people. In the following days, demonstrators have vandalised factories and flower farms – including many under foreign ownership – accused of profiting from the government’s contested development agenda. An American researcher also died when her vehicle came under attack near Addis Ababa. Although protesters have largely remained peaceful and resorted to non-violent tactics, these episodes of violence raise concerns over escalating trends in the protest movement.
Unrest and repression
The geography of unrest is also telling of the evolving protest cycle in Ethiopia. The protests originated last November in the Oromia region, where the local population mobilised to oppose a government-backed developmental plan which would displace many farmers. The Oromo people, who constitute Ethiopia’s single largest ethnic group,accuse the EPRDF of discriminating against their community, and its local ally, the Oromo People’s Democratic Organisation (OPDO), as being a puppet in the hands of the Tigray-dominated ruling coalition.
Until mid-July, the unrest had largely remained confined to Oromia’s towns and villages. Local tensions around the northern city of Gondar inaugurated a new round of protestsin the Amhara region, where regionalist demands joined the widespread discontent with state repression. In the following weeks, protests spread further into the Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples', the native region of Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, as local communities began to stage anti-government protests. Episodes of communal violence and attacks against churches have been reported in Oromia as well as in other ethnically mixed areas of the country.
Despite increasing dissent, the government seems unwilling to mitigate its repressive measures. Internet access was allegedly shut down in an attempt to hamper the protest movement, which uses online media and social networks to disseminate anti-government information. On October 9, the government introduced a six-month state of emergency, the first time since the ruling EPRDF came to power in 1991. At least 1,600 people are reported to have been detained since the state of emergency was declared, while the Addis Standard, a newspaper critical of the government, was forced to stop publications due to the new restrictions on the press.
Polarised politics: government and opposition
These decisions notwithstanding, it is unclear how the EPRDF can manage to restore the government’s authority and preserve investor confidence by adopting measures that continue to feed resistance. After pressure from German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Hailemariam pledged to reform Ethiopia’s electoral system, which currently allows the EPRDF to control 500 of the 547 seats in Parliament. These limited political concessions are unlikely to satisfy the protesters’ demand for immediate and substantial change, since the proposed reform would only produce effects after the 2020 general elections.
According to the opposition, this is the evidence that the Tigray minority, which dominates the upper echelons of the government and the security apparatus, is unwilling to make any significant concessions in the short term. By labelling the opposition’s demands as racist and even denying their domestic nature, the government is leaving little room for negotiation and compromise and risks contributing to the escalation of the protests.
For over a decade, Ethiopia has been one of the fastest growing economies in Africa. Foreign investments – most notably from China – have funded large-scale infrastructure projects, including the recently inaugurated railway to the port of Djibouti.
The on-going unrest is likely to have a negative impact on Ethiopia’s economy, reducing the country’s considerable appeal among foreign investors and tourists. The demonstrations have revealed the growing discontent of the Ethiopian people, and especially of its disenfranchised youth, over the EPRDF’s authoritarian and unequal rule. The EPRDF therefore needs to implement far-reaching reforms and embrace dialogue with the opposition to prevent the current unrest from deteriorating.
Investors shy away from Ethiopia in the wake of violent protests
ALAGA DORE, Ethiopia — The smell of rotting mango and passion fruit still hung in the air over the blackened shell of a juice factory near this village more than two weeks after the plant was looted and burned by an aggrieved mob.
As employees swept out the empty rooms, Abraham Negusay, AfricaJuice’s production manager, worked on his laptop in the former lab.
“We are evaluating the damage and destruction, cleaning up the factory and doing a cost analysis,” he said, noting that the Dutch company had yet to decide whether to keep its multimillion-dollar investment in Ethiopia.
The assailants, estimated by AfricaJuice farm managers to number in the thousands, descended on the factory in the Upper Awash Valley, about 90 miles southeast of Addis Ababa, on Oct. 4. Wielding axes, spears and some firearms, they overwhelmed the armed guards while workers fled into the nearby forest.
“It was not expected, so many people at once,” Negusay said.
The attack was part of a week-long spasm of violence that followed a deadly stampede on Oct. 2 during Irreecha, a thanksgiving festival held annually by the Oromo, Ethiopia’s largest ethnic group. That day, police fired tear gas into crowds chanting anti-government slogans, and in the ensuing panic, dozens died. The opposition put the death toll in the hundreds.
[Dozens killed in Ethiopia after police use tear gas on protest at festival]
In response, mobs attacked industrial farms and factories across the country, focusing on those with state ties or owned by foreigners. Several tourist lodges were also targeted, and at least two were destroyed.
ALAGA DORE, Ethiopia — The smell of rotting mango and passion fruit still hung in the air over the blackened shell of a juice factory near this village more than two weeks after the plant was looted and burned by an aggrieved mob.
As employees swept out the empty rooms, Abraham Negusay, AfricaJuice’s production manager, worked on his laptop in the former lab.
“We are evaluating the damage and destruction, cleaning up the factory and doing a cost analysis,” he said, noting that the Dutch company had yet to decide whether to keep its multimillion-dollar investment in Ethiopia.
The assailants, estimated by AfricaJuice farm managers to number in the thousands, descended on the factory in the Upper Awash Valley, about 90 miles southeast of Addis Ababa, on Oct. 4. Wielding axes, spears and some firearms, they overwhelmed the armed guards while workers fled into the nearby forest.
“It was not expected, so many people at once,” Negusay said.
The attack was part of a week-long spasm of violence that followed a deadly stampede on Oct. 2 during Irreecha, a thanksgiving festival held annually by the Oromo, Ethiopia’s largest ethnic group. That day, police fired tear gas into crowds chanting anti-government slogans, and in the ensuing panic, dozens died. The opposition put the death toll in the hundreds.
[Dozens killed in Ethiopia after police use tear gas on protest at festival]
In response, mobs attacked industrial farms and factories across the country, focusing on those with state ties or owned by foreigners. Several tourist lodges were also targeted, and at least two were destroyed.
http://www.voanews.com/a/ethiopia-cabinet-reshuffle-state-of-emergency/3574532.html
Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn has announced a Cabinet reshuffle, following months of often-violent protests which led the government to declare a state of emergency.
Serious political consequences already.
The activists don't care, protests will continue.
This one is magical "surprise."
https://www.africaintelligence.com/...aba,108185491-ART?CXT=CANP&country=SOMALILAND
"On 7 October, the minister to the presidency, Mohamoud Hashi Abdi, freed all the Oromo activists incarcerated in Hargeisa"
Even SL is on board now, now we know why Silanyo was summonedto Addis.
It has begun.
- Status