Somali fertility rates dropping FAST

In Finland the somali fertility rate fell faster than among native finns.

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Similar trend in Norway, massive decrease within a year

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Majority of somalis in the west (including newer fobs) will most likely have 2 kids on average, maybe even less in more ’liberal’ countries like scandinavian ones..

Even in Sweden they’re noticing a similar trend, second-generation immigrants who are somali are putting off marriage until they have a degree and a stable job, for many this will not be a reality until they’re atleast in their mid/late 20s.

https://sverigesradio.se/artikel/children-of-migrants-choosing-studies-ahead-of-starting-a-family
 

Sigmundd

PINKYANDTHEBRAIN (partially inactive)
Finally. Somalis don't suite having so many children. You have to be financially stable and look after and follow up all your children so not a single one go loose which Somali parents failed in doing.
 

Somali Saayid

Cilaanle - Bangeele - Caabudwaaq
VIP
Don't have kids if your gonna struggle to provide for them. Make sure the ones you have are succeeding in life before popping out next batch
 
This a normal trend not specific to somalis, of course it will drop.
Take this as good or bad news,
Also its a bit unfair to make the comparison with swedes, their TFR is already at replacement level.
Also somalis were just 1st generation in the 2010s and 2000s, now the people born there are more integrated and realize they cant have too many children, maybe economic reasons, cultural.
 

rayxn3

🧚‍♀️
Wow. If Somalis back home started to prioritise education, I wonder if they would also start having less and less kids or get married later into their adult life
 

El Nino

Cabsi cabsi
VIP
This is definitely calculated incorrectly and as a person who lives here it doesn’t match the reality.

For comparison, somali TFR in Usa was 4,32 based on the 2020 census (can’t find the source quickly) You are meant to tell me there is that much of a different between the 2 populations.

These scandi countries are calculating this extremely differently or my guess, correctly but selectively.


TFR factors in the age range 15-49. 2/3 of the population here are under 20 years of age(source in finnish).

The 15-25 dwarves massively the rest of the age range. You can calculate fully or use age specific calculation which I think the finns and the rest of nordic countries are not doing. This gives us the small tfr of somalis.
 

Garaad Awal

War is coming.
Non-fob Somalis under 40 barely have any children. The typical person will have zero.
I’m in my late 20s and I know a few like me who are married with at least 1 kid. We are definitely a minority among Somali Canadians. We are still doing better than the White Canadians in terms of fertility tho. Black Caribbeans have higher fertility rate and have kids much younger because they don’t need to get married tho
 

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