Somaliland is headed for Civil War

[Sup]

Is he a hutu?

No Ayeeyo,
I’m not Rwandan

Are you menopausal ? I only ask because I’m worried, you seem to be in a bit of a roll these days with your “contributions” on Sspot. Maybe get a hobby, I’ve heard that helps. Anymore advice, I’m here for you Ayeeyo

 

[Nin123]

Is he a hutu?

No clue

 

[DR OSMAN]

@Garaad Awal

Habar awal need to be careful as irirism trinity is very strong behind closed doors in Djibouti, HY, and Mogadishu. The same thing your uncle egal encountered in the 90s, hasn't changed, it's still.there, it's still in the hearts of hawiye, hy, djibouti, it has only changed dimensions such as political, economic, military. Remember these dulis have 122 seats in Parliament the Dir and HAGS due to that haram 4.5 power sharing done under IOG blessing in Carta as he laid his cards in 2000 so I expect a huge war front to begin first politically before it switches to.military solutions.

I only support you habar awal because your secession is a lesser evil compared to what Ciro, IOG, HSM have in store.

I know your secession won't ever happen because I know it has to happen internally so I find your idealogy.more or less a better option vs the more deadly irir samaale trinity can do.

I am Kulmiye

 

[Aurelian]

What are your reasoning?

 

[Ya.dhahay]

SL is going to civil war soon. I give 6-12 months until we end up with a Hemedti vs Burhan Sudan situation. SL will not exist two years from now

Lol I predicted that all the dodgy politics in SL would eventually result in intra isaq conflict and the Somaliland project would not last the decade. A political project based on nothing but hate, envy and self-interest was bound to fail.

all it took for niggas to start wilding was for Habar Awal to lose power

 

[SilentE1001]

Sore losers these bixi and have fanatics. They lose and go crazy.

They were never loyal to anything but their clan. They want everyone to accept their leadership when they win and will stab you when they lose because of some tribal racism they learnt of their parents.

 

[Maakhri2024]

We welcome the safe return of Habar Amal Absame to her homeland .

 

[Arkan]

 

[Hared]

Now garad away, go on and put your pants back on.

 

[DR OSMAN]

 

[DR OSMAN]

@Yami

Your finally back in Power after 30 years of oppression.

HY are all walking around like bosses rite now

I must admit I didn't expect for the jeegaan alliance to crumble.

 

[SilentE1001]

@Yami

Your finally back in Power after 30 years of oppression.

HY are all walking around like bosses rite now

I must admit I didn't expect for the jeegaan alliance to crumble.

Tribalism is a disease.

Waddani works for all, 14 years kulmiye just focused on enriching 1 particular tribe and preferential treatment to certain areas.

This is why we lost the east, insha'Allah we work and get back those areas through diplomacy and development and create a fairer society for all

 

[DR OSMAN]

Tribalism is a disease.

Waddani works for all, 14 years kulmiye just focused on enriching 1 particular tribe and preferential treatment to certain areas.

This is why we lost the east, insha'Allah we work and get back those areas through diplomacy and development and create a fairer society for all

Well this guy @Garaad Awal

Will see things like this and reinforce his views that HY is a threat to his clan well being. He knows its winner takes all, zero sum between HA and HY. He will see how hateful and bitter ciiro is in 2017 and how humble and patriotic muse is and see your the issue.

 

[Somali Saayid]

It's already started

Where all "the good somalis" now?!

 

[DR OSMAN]

It's already started

Where all "the good somalis" now?!

Yeah shots fired by @Garaad Awal

He knows revenge time is coming for 30 years of HY oppression, I'm certain his elite are in rooms rite now talking about best way forward, what obstacle to deploy, timing, opportunity. I think their waiting to see the cabinet also and that will say enuff about ciiro and what type of HA he puts into positions and they will check if his a duli among them who can cause division inside them so ciiro can get execute his vision and get square and put them into political wilderness for 30 years. Once done he can dust off the north n south project of his inspiration abdirahman tuur and aideed and call HSM and IOG and say SL is back in the trinity.

Yeah Game on as u said. Everyone awaits garaad and his clan moves in the next 8 years.

 

[Maakhri2024]

Tribalism is a disease.

Waddani works for all, 14 years kulmiye just focused on enriching 1 particular tribe and preferential treatment to certain areas.

This is why we lost the east, insha'Allah we work and get back those areas through diplomacy and development and create a fairer society for all

Sorry to tell you the naked truth. You have lost nothing, the East was never yours.

Why don't you stay in your areas?
Develop your areas, if you can, nobody needs you.

Why do you insist so much on dreaming of reaching and obtaining the East?

I can tell you why you need the East, because your quest for recognition requires reaching and obtaining the former borders of British Somaliland.

For many years, the Hargeisa government has been siphoning off millions of dollars of foreign aid intended for the Sanaag and Sool regions that was sent from Mogadishu to Hargeisa .

Hence, from now on, Sanaag and Sool regions should receive international aid funds directly from Mogadishu and not through intermediaries.

 

[DR OSMAN]

Sorry to tell you the naked truth. You have lost nothing, the East was never yours.

Why don't you stay in your areas?
Develop your areas, if you can, nobody needs you.

Why do you insist so much on dreaming of reaching and obtaining the East?

I can tell you why you need the East, because your quest for recognition requires reaching and obtaining the former borders of British Somaliland.

For many years, the Hargeisa government has been siphoning off millions of dollars of foreign aid intended for the Sanaag and Sool regions that was sent from Mogadishu to Hargeisa .

Hence, from now on, Sanaag and Sool regions should receive international aid funds directly from Mogadishu and not through intermediaries.

In my deep assessment I found SSC, Awdal, Makhir serve as useful distractions. The real issue is how severely divided the habars are for 30 years, it's like a cold war, each undermining the other, deploying obstacles, forming alliances, looking for timing and opportunities.

The rules are simple tho, winner takes all, zero sum as we witnessed by egal and his alliance did to HY for 30 years. Now Garaad knows the rules don't change, winner takes all, zero sum, no prisoners allowed.

So his firing of his shots because he knows, they will just do what egal did to them onto habar awal so that can free Ciiro to restart and move that irir samaale boat in consultation with HSM and IOG and political, military, economical, horgal proxies that will be used. I'm certain they will deal with Darods in phases like ciiro will wrap up the northern theater while being outside Garowe Yoocade.

HSM will wrap up JL, most likely thru pitting Marehan and Ogaden and reinforcing Marehan like jubba valley alliance days. They will throw them all under the bus tho. Before the final mission is executed on PL thru g town and hawiye, isaaq thru yoocade, and those mountain terrorists in Bari might begin the insurgency it's been waiting for to stop bari try to join and save PL.

That's the military predictions I have and scenarios I assume their planning. I know they will continue to use economical embargo, scholarship, etc in the mean time. Political one may emerge thru dir n hags having 122 mps and using it to sign in north and south federation and lowly governors for everyone else not even governors u appoint either but them.

 

[Garaad Awal]

Well this guy @Garaad Awal

Will see things like this and reinforce his views that HY is a threat to his clan well being. He knows its winner takes all, zero sum between HA and HY. He will see how hateful and bitter ciiro is in 2017 and how humble and patriotic muse is and see your the issue.

You see @SilentE1001 promoting fake propaganda that HA was enriching itself and yet claims to be a non-tribalist nationalist

Many of his clan already started speaking about making sure HA areas starve even though we are the economic engine of SL and he is also a big fan of such a political program of clan persecution.HY are too low iq to understand what a state it is, they were forced into every they ever been apart of. All they know how to do is behaving badow

 

[Ya.dhahay]

Somali politics is just niggas fighting over scraps the international community gives out 5 bananas yearly to each clanstate, 2 goes to developing the cities of ones own subclan, and 3 goes straight to the president who builds himseld a new apartment complex in Nairobi

Im not surprised Garad Awaal is upset, his kin will be banana less the next 7-8 years LOL, see you in Muqdisho walaal

 

[Ya.dhahay]

There are new monkeys in town and they are not willing to share their bananas