Sorry to tell you the naked truth. You have lost nothing, the East was never yours.
Why don't you stay in your areas?
Develop your areas, if you can, nobody needs you.
Why do you insist so much on dreaming of reaching and obtaining the East?
I can tell you why you need the East, because your quest for recognition requires reaching and obtaining the former borders of British Somaliland.
For many years, the Hargeisa government has been siphoning off millions of dollars of foreign aid intended for the Sanaag and Sool regions that was sent from Mogadishu to Hargeisa .
Hence, from now on, Sanaag and Sool regions should receive international aid funds directly from Mogadishu and not through intermediaries.
In my deep assessment I found SSC, Awdal, Makhir serve as useful distractions. The real issue is how severely divided the habars are for 30 years, it's like a cold war, each undermining the other, deploying obstacles, forming alliances, looking for timing and opportunities.
The rules are simple tho, winner takes all, zero sum as we witnessed by egal and his alliance did to HY for 30 years. Now Garaad knows the rules don't change, winner takes all, zero sum, no prisoners allowed.
So his firing of his shots because he knows, they will just do what egal did to them onto habar awal so that can free Ciiro to restart and move that irir samaale boat in consultation with HSM and IOG and political, military, economical, horgal proxies that will be used. I'm certain they will deal with Darods in phases like ciiro will wrap up the northern theater while being outside Garowe Yoocade.
HSM will wrap up JL, most likely thru pitting Marehan and Ogaden and reinforcing Marehan like jubba valley alliance days. They will throw them all under the bus tho. Before the final mission is executed on PL thru g town and hawiye, isaaq thru yoocade, and those mountain terrorists in Bari might begin the insurgency it's been waiting for to stop bari try to join and save PL.
That's the military predictions I have and scenarios I assume their planning. I know they will continue to use economical embargo, scholarship, etc in the mean time. Political one may emerge thru dir n hags having 122 mps and using it to sign in north and south federation and lowly governors for everyone else not even governors u appoint either but them.