Abiy Ahmed Has Lost It!

[GLUE]

What do you mean, OLF are trying to liberate Oromia cities like Dire Dawa? First of all DD isn't part of Oromia, but is it part of their agenda to take over that region?

GaradShabeel, isn't the Somali Liyuu still intact???

 

[GLUE]

this is my theory. Abiy will try bribe the FANO, and OLF just as Barre bribed the Somali Abu, and OLF before, they will take his side and destroy Eritrea after Ethiopia gains aces to Eritrean ports wit U.S support they will become very powerful and will try expand to Sudan since Egypt is there bitter rival they never borderd Abiy will use the Fano, and OLF as foot soldiers into Sudan since they border eachother and the border ports such as suakin, and mainland cities will fall. after Ethiopia rises its peak FANO will merge with Eritrean forces to expand its land, and OLF will merge with TPLF these groups will invade as far as somalia and create there own country 30 percent of ethiopia 20 percent of somalia, 10 percent of Kenya, and thewhole of Djibouti in it

So you think this TPLF, OLF alliance would go to war with Somalia and Kenya??? What parts of Somalia would they annex???

 

[GLUE]

80 percent chance yes, Somalia is already fked rn if OLF FANO ET, and TPLF join forces they will destroy everything in there sight somalia will put up no reistance except AL shabab

Right, so you are telling me all these groups who have fought or are fighting eachother will unite to invade Somalia. Thats a pipe dream my friend

 

[GLUE]

80 percent chance yes, Somalia is already fked rn if OLF FANO ET, and TPLF join forces they will destroy everything in there sight somalia will put up no reistance except AL shabab

And who would help you guys with Logistics once inside Somalia considering that Somali Region would be hostile to your attempts to invade Somalia??? Wallahi, we would have you running back to Ethiopia like the Turks did to the Greeks in their failed attempt to invade Anatolia.

 

[GLUE]

you know what they say "war is used by the government to distract the populace from their internal problems" he is trying to use the war card, so the Amhara's and Oromo's forget about their squabble and cheer on for the invasion of the other horn of Africa nations.

Amharas and Oromos are joined at the hip. One can't survive with the other. They need Ethiopia to continue to exist.

 

[GLUE]

this is my theory. Abiy will try bribe the FANO, and OLF just as Barre bribed the Somali Abu, and OLF before, they will take his side and destroy Eritrea after Ethiopia gains aces to Eritrean ports wit U.S support they will become very powerful and will try expand to Sudan since Egypt is there bitter rival they never borderd Abiy will use the Fano, and OLF as foot soldiers into Sudan since they border eachother and the border ports such as suakin, and mainland cities will fall. after Ethiopia rises its peak FANO will merge with Eritrean forces to expand its land, and OLF will merge with TPLF these groups will invade as far as somalia and create there own country 30 percent of ethiopia 20 percent of somalia, 10 percent of Kenya, and thewhole of Djibouti in it

Eritrea is a pariah State I can see Ethiopia getting helped from the US. But I can't see that for Somalia considering that they are propping up the current Government and have US Soldiers on the ground training the Somali Military.

 

[GLUE]

Good idea, when the horn were united we ruled Yemen and sacked mecca, but now our president is a slave to coward arabs.

Make Ashabul Fil Great Again

The Horn was never united.

 

[GLUE]

Ilyasu was a Muslim in favor of Somalis we even accommodated him graciously in Harar.

He was actually very accommodating to Somalis. Infact there is this wild rumor that he became Muslim

 

[GLUE]

80 percent chance yes, Somalia is already fked rn if OLF FANO ET, and TPLF join forces they will destroy everything in there sight somalia will put up no reistance except AL shabab

Like Ethiopia isn't Fucked losing most of their experienced battled hardened soldiers and officers in the TPLF war and if it wasn't for the Turkish made drones Tplf would be back in power. The fact that they can't defeat FANO and OLF is proof of the fiasco that is ENDF is in.
Ethiopia is actually so broke that they wouldn't be able to finance a war with Somalia

 

[GLUE]

Good idea, when the horn were united we ruled Yemen and sacked mecca, but now our president is a slave to coward arabs.

Make Ashabul Fil Great Again

Homie there is no we, if you are Somali.

 

[GLUE]

And who would help you guys with Logistics once inside Somalia considering that Somali Region would be hostile to your attempts to invade Somalia??? Wallahi, we would have you running back to Ethiopia like the Turks did to the Greeks in their failed attempt to invade Anatolia.

The saying goes "never underestimate your enemy". Somalis had to swallow that pill in 1977, I hope it happens to Ethiopia, which would be the end of Ethiopia as we know it.

 

[GLUE]

GaradShabeel, isn't the Somali Liyuu still intact???

Wallahi when I was in Dire Dawa in the early 2000s, the Somali local administration was giving away land to any and all Somalis willing to settle in Dire dawa. Its been a point of emphasis to resettle Somalis in Dire Dawa by the Somali Region administrations.

 

[GLUE]

Why wouldn't he the whole history of ethiopia is the history of Amharas and Tigrayans

Dud

Somalia as a nation will not exist by the end of this century, unless they accept to pay tribute to their Oromo overlords.

My friend nothing in this World stays constant. History shows Empires come and go. France on numerous occasions in history was nearly wiped off the map. Poland didn't exist for a brief period. Im sure Somalia will rise up back but on the otherhand I believe Ethiopia is fragmenting and will in due time will disappear off the World Map. I do not believe Amharas will stay dormant in the coming decades with Oromos in power. They will not sit idle as the Ethiopia they know and crafted gets a new make over. They already incensed that Oromos students are writing their names in Latin in Addis instead of the Amharic script of the past.

 

[GLUE]

the Somali region is a region where the Somali people outnumber and dominate other ethnicities (even though some aren't), the oromia region is where the Oromo people outnumber and dominate the other ethnicity, the Oromo outnumber the somali 48-13 in dire dawa (not including the Gurgura since after 1991 they were not counted as somalis. the OLF, and

What parts of the Somali regions aren’t majority Somali???

 

[Zak12]

Why is everyone ignoring the fact that invading let alone annexing a country in 2023 is extremely difficult to pull off without incurring the wrath of the international community? Ethiopia will be sanctioned out the ass if they dare to invade and unlike Russia and Iran, it isn't self sufficient enough and will suffer tremendously from the lack of food and water.

You can argue that the west favors Ethiopia over all the other HOA countries but that doesn't mean they will tolerate blatant invasions. Hell, I've seen people claim that Djibouti will be invaded despite having military bases from numerous countries from U.S. to China lmao. Abiy is all talk and he can't do shit, but if he is truly willing to go to war, then Eritrea will be his target as Somalia has no strategic value whatsoever.

 

[Aseer]

What do you mean, OLF are trying to liberate Oromia cities like Dire Dawa? First of all DD isn't part of Oromia, but is it part of their agenda to take over that region?

*Dir Dhaba get it right

 

[Aseer]

He made some good points. If a war breaks out with a stronger nation, and you don't have military capability or alliance with like-minded countries, you will be on the loser end. The IC will only react with condemnations, and at best, with sanctions. Other than this, you have to accept your fate unless you can put up a resistance.

Although Abiy have increased his war rhetorics recently, I don't personally think that Somalia is part of his agenda (for now). But if God forbid, an invasion was imminent, my biggest worry wouldn't be the war itself, but instead how disunited we're amongst ourselves. It's no secret every clan operates independently for their own interests, even when it comes to the collective interest of the nation. This is a textbook definition of weakness in which dividee and conquer tactics can be used by foreigners for their advantage, and conquer us that way.

With that said, if everyone can put their differences aside and stand firm in defending the territorial integrity of the country, then no doubt, we can sustain for a long time. Unfortunately, given their military superiority, we have to turn to non-conventional warfare to deal with them. But then again, Somalia has been in a state of war for decades, with mostly light weapons available, and thus accustomed us to use whatever little we have to our advantage.

The reality is that Ethiopia already have military presence in Somalia, which makes it less likely for them to 're-start' the war with us again. However, I've always been opposed to using Ethiopians in fighting AS as you don't know what ulterior motives they may have. No one fights for free unless they get something in return. Especially now that Abiy's intentions are clear.

In the end, Ethiopia's weakness it their own internal ethnic conflicts. If a full out war start in Somalia, you only need to empower and reignite civil wars over there and ally with rebels. It will in turn force them into concession and hopefully lead to cessation of hostility on their end.

One thing I love about my people is that whenever a foreign invader tries to colonize us the previously beefing clans would put their differences aside and become one united force against the foreign enemy ESPECIALLY Ethiopians look at history when the British came and the Italians and the countless times the Ethiopians came from their HIV and Raw Meat infested stinking highlands the previously beefing tribes put their differences aside and united and took up arms to resist EVERY single time in history and I am 100% confident that if the Ethiopians try anything the Somali people will unite and fight them as one people and those raw meat eating highlanders know that very well for a FACT heck it's in their natural instincts after hundreds of years of trying to invade us which failed every time and when we did the same we reached the outskirts of Addis Adaba not ONE not TWO but THREE times and EACH one they had to cry and booty clap for their white masters to come save their black Christian raw meat eating damsel in distress. although it's quite dark to say this but I would say it anyways I would be happy if a foreign invader tries invading us right since we would all unite and become one force and that's what we need right now to be UNITED.

 

[GALAN]

So, it's over Somalia will have an 80% chance of dying and our future kids won't be able to have a place to call home... and it won't be hard for them to ethnic cleanse us its 120 M population versus a 20M population it was over for us from the very start damn and just when we were finally making small steps in rebuilding and developing as well, we really are unlucky.

Why other ethnicities? It's only ethnic Somalis that live in the Somali region. Maybe a percentage or two of foreigners. And most of them being recent settlers.



You got the wrong figures on the ethnicities of DD. Ethiopian census varies in that region, sometimes it's based on ethnicity and other times language.

Also, there's a reason as to why Dir Dhaba was never included in Oromia. If Oromos were majority, it would've occurred back in the 90s. But you guys are not. And if OLF dares to capture DD, it will lead to a war in the region. Mark my words.

no it was because Melez Zenawi's TPLF genocided the oromos and helped somalis take over Oromo land, TPLF was funding, and supporting Somalias Liyu Police to capture Oromo lands. there Original plan was that the Somali take over Oromo and Afar territories and the TPLF get a port whilst the somali get land.




for the ethnicity one this is your answer 48 percent oromo 13 percent somali, language 46 percent oromo 24 percent somali

What parts of the Somali regions aren’t majority Somali???

Gursum, Mulu, fafem, Tuli Guled (the jaarso there claim somali though.)

Gursum

 

[GALAN]

So you think this TPLF, OLF alliance would go to war with Somalia and Kenya??? What parts of Somalia would they annex???

they would go near the Negele-Luuq border since they have control is areas west, and south of Negele

 

[GALAN]

And who would help you guys with Logistics once inside Somalia considering that Somali Region would be hostile to your attempts to invade Somalia??? Wallahi, we would have you running back to Ethiopia like the Turks did to the Greeks in their failed attempt to invade Anatolia.

not now my friend, Oromos have already captured Babille recently check the thread, and they are now aiming for Jigjiga.