Kayd said clearly that there will be no deal if Ethiopia does not recognize Somaliland before the signing of any agreement regarding a naval base. They want to sign a deal with Ethiopia
after it has recognized Somaliland. Listen from 2:25
Muuse Biixi made it clear that Ethiopia has to first recognize Somaliland "as an equal" before signing any agreement. listen from 12:04.
The problem is that Abiy can't give Somaliland the one thing they want. He can give them everything but ictiraaf. Why? Because of this:
View attachment 335404
And this:
View attachment 335405
If recognition is impossible, why go through 7 months of meaningless blathering?
The answer: to distract from the total failure that occured in Feb-Aug 2023 where Somaliland lost 40% of what used to be the British Protectorate. This MOU business is a distraction from that failure so that Biixi will be able to run on potentially gaining recognition come Nov.
Muuse Biixi will make a return to office on the back of the MOU. Somaliland voters are desperate for a win, and Wadani are seen to have undercut Isaaq unity at the crucial moment in the struggle against the Faqash.